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Key Insights on NCAA Football Matchups and Predictions
SportsGrid
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12/6/2024
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Sports
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00:00
I got to ask you about these, you know, you mentioned tomorrow, Clemson SMU, sir.
00:08
We already bit that one.
00:10
Let's go to the other three, Iowa State and Arizona State in the big 12 championship.
00:18
I think they're playing that one in Arlington, right?
00:20
And then Georgia and Texas at the bends in Atlanta, and then Penn State and Oregon at
00:27
Lucas Oil in Naptown in Indianapolis.
00:30
What do you think of those three puppies tomorrow?
00:33
I think if anybody, if there's any handicapper out there that is selling, I have the lock
00:38
of the century in the Arizona State, Iowa State game run far away because this is sort
00:43
of the old coin to flop, you know, flip, isn't it, man?
00:48
This is like a lot of these games.
00:49
They're all all the point spreads are all pickles, one and a half, two and a half, etc.
00:53
But to me, guys, the difference in this football game is going to be special teams and third
00:59
down.
01:00
And now I'll bust out some X's and O's here on this.
01:03
Listen, Arizona State lost their top wide receiver, all right, the guy that they throw
01:07
to like 75% of the time on third down is not playing in this game.
01:12
So they lose their number one target.
01:15
Number one wide receiver, their go to guy.
01:18
And to me, that's a big time loss.
01:21
All right.
01:23
On the other side, the Iowa State Cyclones, bro, they have like the 13th ranked secondary
01:28
and pass defense in college football.
01:31
They terrorize you like they really do.
01:33
Like they're it's almost impossible to throw the ball on these guys.
01:36
Now Scatterbowl is a badass back, right?
01:39
But they're going to be kind of one dimensional here.
01:42
And you know, looking into the numbers here, Scott, as expected, like a team like Iowa
01:46
State, they're really good on special teams, right?
01:50
They've got a good field goal kicker.
01:51
They got a really good punter.
01:53
They pin you.
01:54
You don't.
01:55
They minimize punt returns.
01:56
Meanwhile, oh yeah, by the way, they have one of the best punt returners in the game.
02:01
There's a differential of 20 yards per special teams play, which I think is going to add
02:08
up over the course of the game for Iowa State.
02:12
Just the little things.
02:13
And hey, Dillingham's done a great job, all right?
02:16
And this guy, he's a big motivator, Scott, if I pick ISU right now, he's going to find
02:20
this and he's going to find every clip of anyone that ever picked against him and use
02:24
it as motivation.
02:25
But without being stated, bro, Matt Campbell's a very good coach.
02:29
This guy's been around for a while.
02:30
He was the youngest coach.
02:31
They'd call it football at Toledo.
02:33
He went to Iowa State.
02:34
He's done a great job here.
02:35
First time they've ever won 10 games.
02:37
I think Campbell gets to the playoffs.
02:39
I think Iowa State's, you know, Beck has been there forever, bro.
02:43
Like they're just, they're an experienced football team.
02:46
ASU kind of came out of nowhere, right?
02:49
Like, oh my God, they're a three and nine football team.
02:52
I just think, I like, I just think ISU can systematically make this, you know, the little
02:57
plays here, the punt here, the missed field goal or whatever there, punt return, good
03:01
field position.
03:03
I think it'll add up.
03:04
Iowa State wins a close game in my opinion.
03:06
What about Georgia, Texas?
03:09
This one, well, listen, we got a rematch, 30-15 from the last time they played.
03:14
You know, let's remember in that football game, Quinn Ewers had just come back from
03:18
injury.
03:19
A lot of people thought they should have just left Manning in there.
03:21
So that was Ewers' first game back.
03:23
Was he good?
03:24
No.
03:25
Georgia's defense was really balling at that time of the year and their offense was kind
03:28
of struggling.
03:29
Now, like it's kind of reversed a little bit.
03:32
People are moving the ball on Georgia now, but suddenly Beck isn't turning the ball over
03:36
as much.
03:37
But the big key to this football game, guys, the Texas Longhorns are ranked six in the
03:43
country in first half scoring, all right?
03:48
They score 21 points, 21.6 points per game in the first half.
03:53
The Georgia Bulldogs, and in the first quarter, Texas averaged like seven and a half points
03:59
a game in the first quarter.
04:01
So overall, they score early, Texas.
04:04
That's what they like to do.
04:05
They like to score early, rely on their defense, run the ball, you know, dink and dunk passing.
04:10
But Georgia are very slow starters, guys.
04:13
Look at all these Georgia Bulldog games this year, right?
04:16
I mean, hell, even the Clemson game in week one was like six nothing at the half or whatever,
04:20
right?
04:21
It was, you know what I mean?
04:22
They don't, they're very slow starters on offense, Georgia.
04:26
And in fact, they're ranked 79th in the country, all right?
04:29
They only scored 12 points a game in the first half and a lot of it sort of come in the last
04:33
couple of weeks.
04:35
I think the first half is key here.
04:37
I think Texas are going to get that lead and I think they will get the Carson Beck.
04:41
I think the old cliche, hard to beat the same team twice in the same season as in this instance
04:47
comes into play here.
04:48
Give me the, give me the horns here, Scotty.
04:50
All right, and real quick, Penn State, Oregon in the Big Ten.
04:53
Well, you know, I know it's cliche to talk about, oh, Jay Franklin doesn't win big games.
04:57
This isn't about Jay Franklin.
04:59
This is about Dan Lanning having the best team in college football.
05:01
This is about Dillon Gabriel making the right decisions.
05:03
They're good on offense.
05:04
They're good on defense.
05:05
Ducks win, Ducks cover.
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