Analyzing Miami vs Green Bay Football Game Strategy

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00:00Let's dive into this football game and figure out what we expect.

00:06Three and a half point favorites for the home pack, total in this one is 47 and a half.

00:12Talk to me, Leecey.

00:13What do you like?

00:14Well, I do think the line is a little fishy, knowing how Green Bay dominated San Francisco

00:18last week.

00:19And I understand that San Francisco was undermanned.

00:21They went with Braden Allen.

00:23They had a lot of key injuries.

00:24Deibo's not the same, but they were catching five and a half, six in that matchup and knowing

00:29how bad Miami is in terms of cold weather.

00:31I was expecting to see four and a half fives throughout the rest of the week.

00:36We're at three and a half, which is basically Miami has to win the game.

00:39In my opinion, I don't think it's going to come down to a field goal.

00:42So I do, from the spread perspective, lean to the Dolphins.

00:45I'm not betting it, but I would take the points.

00:48I do like the over here.

00:49I do believe that Jordan Love and that offense can move the football.

00:53He only threw for 163 yards last week.

00:56Turnovers gave them a short field.

00:58Josh Jacobs, Donnie broke out with 106 yards on the ground.

01:02Another dominant performance offensive line is producing, but I think it's a Jaden Reed

01:06game.

01:07I think Jaden Reed can hit pay dirt.

01:08I think he can go over his number and Tucker Craft, I think as well.

01:11I do think it is a cheap number because you're right, Joe, this line opened up at three and

01:15a half.

01:16Like, oh, I wonder where that moves this week.

01:17Didn't move anywhere.

01:18Just stayed at three and a half.

01:19And the same thing with the total.

01:20He tickled at 47 and a half.

01:21That's not moving much either.

01:22Now there are really cold conditions in Green Bay tonight for the Green Bay Packers.

01:25It feels like a little bit balmy temperatures here at 27 degrees.

01:28But keep in mind, no precipitation.

01:29So we're not going to have a slippery field with any, you know, rain sleet or any of the

01:33snow conditions and winds manageable right around 10 miles an hour.

01:36So I don't think that's going to play all that much into it.

01:39Also, we always talk about the Miami teams or the Southern teams going up north to play

01:42in cold weather.

01:43I do think it's actually a benefit here for the Dolphins that they played last year with

01:46Kansas City.

01:47So it's not like you're shocked into that game, by the way, minus 10, minus 15, way

01:51colder than this one's going to be.

01:52So I do think the passing game will be open.

01:54If I had to ask myself, one player of the game that I'm taking a look at in this game,

01:58it's Josh Jacobs.

01:59If he can control the ground game here for Green Bay, I think they win it.

02:02Four straight games of at least 75 yards coming into this one, I think it's his game to win

02:06it here, which also puts the onus on Devon Achan to say, I got a counter with a running

02:10game as well.

02:11The battle of the running backs tonight, I think is going to be won by Green Bay.

02:14Therefore, if that line sits at three and a half, that's the way I do lean, guys.

02:17So I look at this kind of spot here, and the weather is, certainly you're talking, right?

02:24Because it should be with what we've seen from the Dolphins.

02:27We remember how their season ended against Kansas City.

02:30Well, Tua has been addressing that straight on saying, Tom, we're ready to prove some

02:35people wrong here.

02:36Now, listen, at the end of the day for the Dolphins, proving people wrong is winning

02:40this game, right?

02:41By any score, 14-7 is as good as 41-17.

02:45But I think that Miami's offense is going to feel the pressure to produce in this situation.

02:52And everything I'm seeing suggests they will.

02:56Tua Tungivailoa, since he's come back from his most recent concussion, I don't know if

03:01them putting him on IR gave him all the time he needed, where he knew when his return date

03:06was.

03:07He has been unbelievable, 76.5% completion percentage, 11 touchdowns to just one interception,

03:17a passer rating of 116, which is the only other quarterback above a 110 on the season

03:25is Lamar Jackson.

03:27I understand that that is a five-game window.

03:30And yes, you could certainly say, oh, come on, who was it against?

03:33You could argue the best game Tua's played since he came back was the second one on the

03:37road against everybody's favorite AFC contender, the Buffalo Bills.

03:41Tua has been brilliant for this team.

03:44And we learned during the Dolphins' time without Tua that, yes, McDaniel's really good.

03:50Tyreek is a first ballot Hall of Famer, in my opinion, eight chains, got all the juice

03:55in the world.

03:56Jonu Smith breakout.

03:57That's great.

03:58Tua's the MVP of this football team.

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