New York Jets Season Wins Prediction & Betting Insights

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00:00So let's start with the New York Jets here, regular season win total over seven and a

00:07half is gets you plus 140 under seven and a half gets you a minus 172 so the book is

00:12leaning that way.

00:13But this number has changed since this most recent performance and Joe, you have a theory

00:17talk to us.

00:18Yeah, look, this was six and a half before the Houston game and then after the Houston

00:22game, it went to seven and a half, which Okay, that makes sense.

00:26But the juice didn't change, which I also thought was kind of interesting.

00:28You just got to stay at exactly where it was.

00:31So it still feels like they're pretty confident that the Jets are an under and I am too and

00:36it's really intriguing because they want to kind of loop you in that plus 140 as you start

00:40to look at the schedule, the schedule remaining for the New York Jets, they play at Arizona.

00:44I don't think that's a gimme game by any stretch.

00:46They play the Indianapolis Colts, then at home, then they have a by now the Colts with

00:50Joe Flacco, very different offense you have to contend with, I think.

00:55After the by they play Seattle, winnable game in theory, then they have Miami in Miami

01:00at Jacksonville, the Rams, Buffalo and Miami again.

01:03So it's possible that they could get near this mark.

01:07But I think we also have to take with a grain of salt what we saw on Thursday night, which

01:12was the first half of this game.

01:14They were chanting, sell the team, sell the team.

01:18Now they play the Houston Texans without Nico Collins and Stefan Diggs on a short week going

01:24on the road.

01:25And they snuck out a victory.

01:26They had one of the great catches we were going to see all year from Garrett Wilson

01:29to score a touchdown.

01:31And we saw a couple of miscues by the Texans defense and by their kicking game as well

01:37with that missed field goal, that chip shot there, where this game kind of just got away

01:42from the Texans in the second half.

01:44So before we go anointing, the Jets is, oh my God, they're back in at plus 140, give

01:49me the eight win Jets.

01:51I don't know if I'm there yet.

01:53And I don't think anybody should be either.

01:54I think Vegas is telling you something very strong, which is this is still not a very

01:57good team.

01:59And if you're going to keep betting them, you better be careful.

02:02Now I know there were favorites going into this game on Thursday night, and I understood

02:06why.

02:07I still thought it was wrong.

02:08And the Houston Texans certainly had their moments and opportunities to win this football

02:12game, and they did not take advantage of them.

02:14Now the Jets defense is still very good.

02:16Aaron Rodgers stats in the first half of the game were terrible.

02:18And I think he got saved by Garrett Wilson a lot in that game.

02:22There were some balls in that, in that contest.

02:24There were just Garrett Wilson made some plays.

02:26Let's be honest.

02:27And so did Devante Adams made some plays and Devante Adams to me watching him, it was hard

02:31to tell if he lost a step because the quarterback play was so bad and that offense was so disjointed

02:37in Vegas.

02:39But now you're seeing with the Jets and it does feel like Devante might've lost a step.

02:42So I'm just saying, take a look at this number.

02:44I bet the under, cause I just don't think they're going to have four more wins ahead

02:48of them.

02:49The other team too, that's got a really low number is the Carolina Panthers.

02:52Now I don't know how many more outs the Panthers have to win games.

02:56They are not in the best situation right now.

02:58The Carolina Panthers are sitting there as a one win team.

03:01I look at the rest of the schedule.

03:03I don't see where the three wins are.

03:04I don't see where it's coming from with Bryce Young playing quarterback, and that's probably

03:07what you're going to get.

03:08And then Bryce Young is going to go somewhere else.

03:09So the juice is really heavy again, but just something really intriguing the rest of the

03:14year too.

03:15Like this is a team that's going to have another number one pick probably or close to it.

03:19I mean, are they going to blow it for a third year in a row?

03:20It's very possible.

03:21Then we get to the MVP race.

03:23Now the MVP race right now is a stands Matt plus two 70 for Josh Allen.

03:27He's in the lead Lamar off that loss plus three 80, but Holmes has been perfect, but

03:30his stats have been less than perfect so far.

03:33Plus 500.

03:34Then there's Jared Goff who has played great these last few games.

03:38We just talked about him in the deep dive plus 600 and then Jalen hurts at 20 to one,

03:43which I think is really intriguing with the way they've played.

03:46Jaden Daniels has gotten into this conversation too.

03:49So at the halfway mark, what would you be wagering on in terms of the NFL MVP?

03:54Because it seems like it's still pretty wide open at this stage halfway through.

03:59It's a great question.

04:00And at this stage, I'm going to be looking and circling the Jared Goff number.

04:04I'm just going to look at what the schedule looks like.

04:06We talked about some of his stats earlier in our one of this show.

04:09So to me at this point, if I can return six to one, I'd like Jared Goff, but the chalkier

04:14play for me.

04:16You look at the most valuable player.

04:18Lamar Jackson is the most valuable player.

04:20Actually Derrick Henry is.

04:21Lamar Jackson is the most valuable player to his team.

04:23Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes are in the same breath.

04:26But for me, Lamar Jackson is special, but I would pivot to Goff just trying to look

04:29for that plus number, Joe.

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