Thursday afternoon forecast 02/11/23

Met Office

02 November - National weather forecast presented by Aidan McGivern

Transcript

00:00Hi there. Storm Ciarán is now moving on. The worst of the weather is now easing

00:05but it has been, in places, a very lively night. Let's take a look at how the

00:09rainfall radar evolved over the last day or so. This is Wednesday afternoon, the

00:15first signs of the storm coming into the southwest there. Heavy and persistent

00:18rain and a sudden increase in the winds with some very lively scenes across

00:23southern and southwestern parts of the UK. Now, not everyone was affected by the

00:28storm. We saw the low-pressure centre pass across southern parts of the UK and

00:33as that happened, winds really dropped out across many southern parts through

00:38the night. With the strongest of the winds on the forward side of it, running

00:42through the southeast and, more especially, on the rear side of the storm

00:46and it was at this time, 5 a.m., that we saw the strongest winds across the Silly

00:51Isles, western parts of Cornwall with gusts into the 70s of miles an hour, 77

00:55there for St. Mary's Airport and for Jersey, that's when the winds peaked at

01:0093 miles an hour. That followed a night in the Channel Islands where we saw

01:05significant thunderstorms and very large hail. So, no surprise with those kinds of

01:11wind speeds and the hail, we've seen such devastating scenes in the Channel

01:16Islands as we've started Thursday. Northern France also subject to

01:20hurricane-force winds with gusts in excess of 100 miles an hour in places

01:25so it was English Channel coasts and the Channel Islands as well as northern

01:30France where we saw the worst of the effects of Storm Ciarán and the

01:35strongest winds there during the morning, pushing eastwards to bring a gust of 78

01:40miles an hour, Langdon Bay in Kent. But further north across the UK, well, although

01:45we've seen spells of rain for England and Wales, winds haven't been as strong

01:48and for Scotland and Northern Ireland, largely avoiding the worst of the

01:52impacts, although it has been very windy for the Northern Isles. Then into the

01:57rest of Thursday, we're still battling with areas of rain and there are still

02:01warnings in force for wind and rain but the strongest wind gusts are easing, 50

02:06perhaps 60 miles an hour around the south coast for a time before that comes

02:09down and the spells of rain falling onto saturated ground could cause further

02:13impacts, especially for eastern Scotland, northeast England, parts of Wales, the

02:17south and southwest, so further river response possible, further localised

02:22flooding during the rest of Thursday, not quite out of the woods yet but by

02:26this stage, the circulation there indicates the position of Storm Ciarán

02:30into the North Sea as a weakening feature and once again, western Scotland,

02:35northern Ireland, faring best for dry and largely bright weather. 9 or 10

02:40Celsius here, 10 to 13 Celsius elsewhere, not feeling very pleasant I suspect with

02:46the spells of heavy rain moving through and gusty winds. Into the evening, it's

02:51slow improvements with further persistent rain likely for the north and

02:56the east of Scotland, parts of northern and eastern England as well, turning

03:00increasingly showery and we've got further showers pushing back into

03:03Northern Ireland, parts of Wales and the southwest, in between some clear spells

03:06and where we've got a bit of shelter from the winds across some central

03:11and southern parts of the UK, temperatures will dip into the mid single

03:15figures, so a fresh start to Friday here but actually that's where the

03:19sunshine will be at its most prevalent, further showers feeding into parts of

03:25Wales and the southwest for a time as well as some of these English Channel

03:28coasts, nowhere near as windy as we started Thursday and some heavy

03:32downpours for Northern Ireland, western Scotland also seeing showers but the

03:35more persistent rain will continue there across eastern Scotland, parts of

03:38northeast England, a lot of cloud cover and quite a strong breeze blowing as

03:43well but again nothing compared to what we've seen in places as we started

03:48Thursday, so a blustery showery day on Friday but nothing particularly

03:52exceptional and it's going to feel on the cool side with temperatures reaching

03:5611 to 13 Celsius. We continue to see those slow improvements through Friday

04:03with the showers becoming a little bit more scattered and the longer spells of

04:08rain turning more showery but we keep a lot of cloud cover, we keep a blustery

04:12breeze into Friday night and we keep some showers going towards the northwest,

04:16best of any clear spells towards the southeast, if I step out the way you can

04:19see the next band of rain moving in first thing Saturday, another wet and

04:24breezy spell but nothing compared to what we've seen over the last few days,

04:29that clears to showers for the rest of the weekend, so we're back to a mix of

04:34weather over the next few days but the storminess thankfully easing for now.

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