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Dangerous Helene could make landfall as Category 4 hurricane
AccuWeather
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9/26/2024
AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan DePodwin says Helene could make landfall as a Category 4 storm. The storm will bring destructive winds, storm surge and catastrophic flooding to the southeastern U.S.
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00:00
Dan, I know that you were watching some of the Hurricane Hunters flying on in and
00:03
bringing us some interesting development here over the last hour or so.
00:07
Yeah, yeah, Aurelia. The Hurricane Hunter planes are still flying in and out of Haleen. We'll be
00:10
doing so all afternoon and evening, getting us the latest stats. And the most recent pass
00:15
from southeast to northwest through the eye of Haleen indicated that the winds have at least
00:21
maintained, if not slightly increased in strength. We'll see the latest update here in a few minutes
00:25
at the 2 p.m. Eastern Advisory. But we think that Haleen will at least hold, if not slightly
00:30
increased, its maximum sustained winds. The eye is tightened up a little bit too, which is
00:34
an indication that Haleen is continuing to gain wind intensity as it moves off to the northeast.
00:40
And gain wind intensity is what we knew was going to happen, Dan. We here at Acura have been
00:45
taking a look at Haleen each and every day and keeping close eyes here. So you can see the point
00:50
here of Haleen at a two, but look at the four there at landfall. Yeah, we still have about 10
00:56
hours or so, eight, 10 hours until landfall later on this evening. And that is time for Haleen to
01:01
still intensify over the very warm waters of the northern Gulf of Mexico. Still fairly low
01:05
wind shear environments. That's not as disruptive to the storm. And we also look for
01:10
thunderstorms all around the center of Haleen. And that's what we have seen over the last couple
01:14
of hours. So there's still time for further intensification, which is why we are still
01:17
concerned of a significant and catastrophic impact really for the area near landfall due
01:22
to storm surge and damaging winds. And Dan, we know with tropical systems, they just hold so
01:27
much moisture. But has there been anything else that we've been watching that is adding to these
01:32
amounts of rain that people see on the map behind us? So the moisture for Haleen would be enough to
01:36
cause significant flooding in a lot of places. But the problem here is that we've had, in some cases,
01:41
eight inches of rain already before Haleen and parts of the southern Appalachians, northern
01:45
Georgia. And so there's already been flooding from Wednesday night into Thursday morning in
01:49
places like Asheville, North Carolina. And that's our concern with another eight inches or more on
01:54
the way. And that's why this area is where we expect an extreme to catastrophic risk of flash
01:59
flooding Thursday night. There could be a flooding disaster in some communities with roads washed out
02:04
for days, if not weeks, and some communities could be inaccessible. So have a plan to receive
02:08
flood warnings and be able to move to higher ground should you receive a warning. A very
02:12
serious situation when it comes to the water. And that is why AccuWeather went with a catastrophic
02:18
risk to lives and property. Dan, that's not something we issue often. No, it is not. The
02:23
catastrophic risk is our highest risk level we can issue. And that's why we have that in the
02:26
mountains of North Carolina. Anytime you get rain, four, five, six inches of rain in areas of
02:32
significant terrain, that's when we would be concerned. And we're talking double or even
02:35
triple that amount of rainfall. Really a once in a generation storm for some places in the interior
02:39
southeast.
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