Analyzing Dak Prescott & the Cowboys' Offensive Strategy

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00:00What can we look forward tonight from that Dallas Cowboys offense, particularly from

00:08a Dak Prescott perspective?

00:10This passing prop, 256.5, touchdowns over 1.5 at that minus 146 price now, an interception

00:16at minus 114.

00:17What are we looking at from a Dallas perspective, particularly with Dak Prescott?

00:21I think this has to be a classic Dak to CD game early and often, get him 10, 12 targets,

00:28get him over that 100-yard mark, get him a touchdown.

00:31I don't want to say they have to quiet the critics, but the contract talks coming into

00:35the season, the sideline thing from last week, like you said, they need to be more professional

00:40as a team, individually.

00:42Get the ball early and often to CD your best player, operate as rationally as possible,

00:48lead yourself out of third and long, do everything the right way, cover the number, keep the

00:52defense in check, keep Malik Nabors in check if you possibly can, and win this game if

00:58they want to course-correct on their season.

01:01So let's now go to the New York Giants.

01:03In Beckel, you see Daniel Jones's number.

01:05It's humble in comparison to Dak, 199.5, but in the only win for the G-Men this year, last

01:12year in Cleveland, he went over this number well over two bills.

01:16His favorite target has been Malik Nabors, the top target in the National Football League

01:21with 37 of them so far through three weeks.

01:24That's the rookie wideout out of LSU, Malik Nabors.

01:28How would you describe this connection so far between Danny Dimes and Nabors through

01:33the first three weeks?

01:35It's been nothing short of amazing.

01:37And granted, I'm not very high on Daniel Jones long-term, I wasn't high on him coming into

01:41the season.

01:42Obviously, Nabors is a phenomenal talent.

01:43I'm going to say now that Nabors is approaching what I say in the NBA when it comes to like

01:49an Atencio Cumpo or a Donchic, where you don't take unders on him.

01:53If you want to go to one of his props, you take the over.

01:56I'm not saying I'm going to take the over every single time, but I'm not willing to

01:59take an under on a player that's going to command a 35% target share, that has this

02:03much skill that, and especially the Giants defense continues to be bad.

02:06They're going to be constantly forced into these passing game scripts and Nabors is going

02:10to see 10 plus targets every single week, regardless of how good the defense may be.

02:15He's going to get yards.

02:16So I'm just not willing to take an under on him at all.

02:20If we look at also from a tight end perspective here, Jake Ferguson, four and a half catches,

02:2542 and a half yards.

02:27How do you deal with a player that was explosive last week, talking about a lot of targets

02:30coming in direction, but also from the game flow perspective, where he was down late in

02:35the game and getting a lot of targets, how does that transfer over to a game where you

02:38don't expect to be down late in the third quarter, the fourth quarter by two touchdowns

02:42to the Giants on a guy like Jake Ferguson?

02:44Right.

02:45I think Ferguson's a good talent and like you said, the game script against the Ravens

02:49poured directly into his usage.

02:51That's why I was getting so yards.

02:52I'm a little hesitant, especially on a short week, you know, he missed a two weeks ago

02:55when he was dealing with that knee injury after week one against the Browns.

02:58So I'm generally a little hesitant on players that I think are good, but ultimately they're

03:03secondary options in the offense and then the short week, the injury.

03:06So I would stay away from Ferguson again, if we look directly, that game script influenced

03:11him having a lot of yards.

03:12So it's kind of just a move on for me.

03:14And if I miss out on an opportunity to take it over, so be it, we can just look at the

03:19change in things next week, I would say is the best way to go about it.

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