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How many games does Jimmy Butler need to play in order for the Miami Heat to be successful?
WQAM-AM / AM 560 Sports WQAM
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9/26/2024
Jimmy Butler was at the Netflix 'Starting 5' premiere with style. The guys give their "over and under" of games Jimmy is to play this season.
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00:00
Jimmy Butler was at the Netflix premiere last night and he is he is ready to go.
00:04
He is in game mode and if you think this guy is not ready for the season, you're sorely mistaken.
00:10
Rest assured, rest assured, Jimmy Butler is ready for the season.
00:33
Jimmy ready to play 55 games, right?
00:36
Over, under, right now.
00:40
In order for the Heat to be successful, I tell you, he has to play 70 games.
00:48
Under.
00:50
Slightly.
00:51
65.
00:52
That's my magic number.
00:53
So, 17 games?
00:55
Yeah.
00:57
65 is my magic number.
00:58
And if I may, I'm just going to say this.
01:01
She even says Pat Riley just threw his phone into Biscayne.
01:04
Right!
01:05
I can't, like, you understand.
01:08
This team is not in a position for him to miss 17 games.
01:14
You understand this, right?
01:16
They literally have been in position.
01:18
They just need, it can't be 60, it can't be 50s, 65.
01:22
That's my magic number.
01:23
Because here's what, here's, can I just tell you?
01:24
My magic number is 70.
01:26
Okay, but it's never happened.
01:26
It's not gonna happen.
01:27
You're setting it, you're setting yourself up for disappointment.
01:29
Why are you pissed off that nobody want to pay him for the Heat when your number is 65?
01:34
750, baby.
01:36
He don't miss the playoffs.
01:37
Okay, see.
01:38
What was that last year?
01:39
65 games for you.
01:41
Well, just last year though, one time!
01:42
65 games for you.
01:44
Yeah.
01:45
Okay, that's, he's not hurt.
01:48
He's not banged up the whole year.
01:51
Then that's 65.
01:52
What happens if he gets banged up and it becomes 60 or 55?
01:57
That's not, that's not, that's not good enough.
01:59
That's not good enough.
02:00
That's my point.
02:01
See, if you, if you tell me, I'm just 70.
02:04
I'm 70 and I'll give him five.
02:05
But asking a guy who never played 70 to play 70 is ridiculous.
02:08
Like you said.
02:08
Yes, he wants to get paid.
02:09
That's what this team needs.
02:10
He deserves to get paid.
02:11
No, this is what this team needs.
02:13
I agree.
02:14
So, but if they need him to play 70 games to, to, to, to not be in a play-in
02:21
and to have a legitimate chance to, to do anything in the playoffs.
02:24
Cool.
02:25
And you say, and you say, hey, we need 70 out of Jimmy.
02:28
He goes, I'm going to give you 65.
02:30
How does, how do you want Pat and those guys to handle that?
02:33
Well, first of all, they're not going to pay him anyway, because here's the thing.
02:36
The Dwayne Wade, because here's a little thing about history.
02:39
It wasn't that long ago.
02:39
He's healthier than Dwayne Wade.
02:41
Uh, yeah.
02:42
And Dwayne Wade did the exact same thing with like, Dwayne, we're not going to pay you.
02:45
You don't play enough games.
02:46
What did Dwayne Wade do?
02:48
Came out, played 70 games.
02:49
He was awesome.
02:50
Still their best player.
02:51
They go to the playoffs.
02:52
They don't have Chris Bosh.
02:53
Sean Whiteside gets hurt.
02:54
And guess what they did?
02:54
They said, Hey, cool.
02:56
We're still not paying you.
02:59
Okay.
02:59
So, so you think, you think that's, that's the, I just think it's arbitrary.
03:04
Like I would say Jimmy is healthier than D Wade was.
03:10
Okay.
03:10
Cause at this point in time, that knee was really getting to, uh, to D way.
03:16
Okay.
03:16
So that that's, I'm trying to be as fair with this as I can.
03:20
Right.
03:21
However, asking a player to play 70 of the 82 games, when you make them 500 large,
03:33
a game, what's the minimum of, uh, getting awards is probably 65, 65.
03:38
That's why he needs to be award eligible.
03:41
That's my line.
03:42
That's my line.
03:44
So you've moved from, I didn't move.
03:47
I've been on this.
03:48
He has to be award eligible.
03:50
I say 70, the most he's played in the, I say, I say if Jimmy Butler plays 70 games, this team
04:00
can be evaluated for what they have.
04:02
And don't have, I would love it.
04:03
If he, if he plays 65 games, that means you're spinning in the wind for 17 games.
04:11
What if he only is not going to win every game?
04:13
Jimmy plays it.
04:14
What if he only skips Pistons games?
04:16
Pistons and Hornets.
04:18
Somebody says 68 is the sweet spot.
04:21
We're quibbling.
04:21
I could, I could, I could go with 68 games.
04:24
We're quibbling, but there's still a lot of game.
04:26
Don't think about this.
04:27
It would be the most he's ever played in the heat.
04:29
Regular season.
04:31
Isn't that, isn't that about where like you, we've, we've been playing this game
04:36
with injuries for the last four years.
04:40
Technically though,
04:41
the year, the last time he played 64, he played 22 playoff games.
04:46
Okay.
04:47
So, okay.
04:49
There's that the last time Jimmy was award eligible was 2016.
04:54
Nah, he, uh, he's right about that actually.
04:56
Really?
04:57
A lot.
04:58
And by these standards.
04:59
Yeah.
05:00
Yes.
05:00
That would have been 2016.
05:01
Come on.
05:03
Like here, he gets hurt a lot.
05:06
I'm just saying he doesn't get hurt a lot.
05:09
He gets hurt a lot.
05:10
I'm just saying he does, but, but, but, but, but, oh, okay.
05:14
But the thing with him is he gets like hung over.
05:16
It doesn't count.
05:17
There's one time he might've been hung over one time, but he does.
05:20
He plays a very physical style.
05:22
That's again, a lot of lower body injuries.
05:24
Are you got to rev it up?
05:26
Are the people you got to rev it up at the end?
05:29
Okay.
05:29
It didn't do it.
05:30
We played that game.
05:31
We played that game once we played that game.
05:34
And as a older player, he couldn't rev it up.
05:38
And now we're just supposed to assume he go rev it up older.
05:42
If you're playing a game of duck, duck goose.
05:44
All right.
05:44
Every once in a while, you're going to be the goose happened last year.
05:49
But most of the time, you know what?
05:50
If I'm goose, I just get up and chase the guy around.
05:53
If they're goose, they're giving away 50, 60 million.
05:57
But who are you going to give it to?
05:59
Who's getting that money?
06:00
Tyler.
06:01
No, he's another duck, duck goose.
06:04
He better.
06:04
It's goose, goose, duck.
06:05
He better.
06:06
Tyler Herro is goose, goose, duck.
06:07
Tyler Herro better play 75 games this year.
06:08
He need to play all 82.
06:13
Like, let's work for 82.
06:16
And then if you get to 75, that'd be great.
06:18
Tyler Herro misses more games than Jimmy.
06:20
Yes, I know.
06:21
But you can't.
06:22
Both of your stars doing that.
06:23
I understand.
06:24
Like Tyler Herro, we don't even count on him anymore.
06:28
Yeah.
06:29
So you got Tyler Herro.
06:31
Now you're thinking about Jimmy, who we always could count on this.
06:36
Jimmy doing this.
06:37
Jimmy doing this at the end of the season.
06:39
And this year he didn't do it.
06:40
But Jimmy's injuries usually come.
06:42
It did not this year, but it usually comes with a playoff payoff.
06:46
Yeah.
06:46
Okay.
06:46
But, but guess what?
06:48
As you get older, you can't keep playing that game.
06:50
I agree.
06:51
So like, yeah, listen, I'm not mad at Jimmy for wanting the money and for what he does
06:57
for the organization, he probably deserves it.
07:00
Right.
07:01
But what I'm saying is this.
07:04
If you're Pat Riley and you're the organization.
07:07
All right.
07:08
What if I make you the owner?
07:09
You'll go to Pat and say, man, you write a lot of big checks for guys sitting next to me.
07:16
Yeah, I get.
07:16
I understand.
07:17
I understand.
07:18
So what is, as if your boss comes down to pass that along to you, then you go down and
07:23
say, Hey guys, we need to play more games.
07:27
Like, then what?
07:29
I understand all of the things that are annoying about it with the heat.
07:32
And the thing was with Jimmy, when you play this game, it has to come with, it has to,
07:37
it has to come with better pay off.
07:39
If it doesn't, then you're just a pain in the ass.
07:42
But if it doesn't, then you can't turn around and be mad that they don't pay.
07:46
I get you.
07:47
Okay.
07:49
I get both sides.
07:50
Me too.
07:51
I get both sides.
07:52
I'm just on the side of, I like Jimmy Butler playing basketball for the heat.
07:55
I don't like Jimmy Butler making a stink.
07:57
And now if this, and I would have thought, all right, does Jimmy Butler deserve one more
08:02
year?
08:02
Forget the money.
08:03
All right.
08:03
Okay.
08:03
Because the money is extreme.
08:05
All NBA players make exorbitant money, especially the stars.
08:08
If Jimmy Butler would have come to me at the end of last year and be like, Hey, just put
08:11
one more guaranteed year on my, on my contract.
08:14
I would have been for 60 million.
08:16
Everybody makes crazy money though.
08:18
Everybody makes crazy money.
08:19
Everybody makes crazy money here.
08:21
Don't look at this situation from everybody makes crazy money.
08:27
Look, look at the situation from the Miami he's perspective and how much money you're
08:34
spending on guys, not playing.
08:37
And then one of those guys saying, give me another year for 60 million.
08:41
Okay.
08:41
But the only guy, but the guy who has been in the president's words, the biggest needle
08:48
mover.
08:48
Yes.
08:49
I need that needle to be on the court fair, but the guy just wanted an extra little sweetener
08:54
year.
08:54
That's not a little sweetener.
08:58
60 million is not a little sweetener, baby.
09:01
60, 60 million.
09:03
It's not a sweetener, dude.
09:05
Like I love the way you can play these games.
09:07
Hey, my money.
09:07
I don't care.
09:08
It's all my money, dude.
09:09
Right.
09:10
But what is the TV?
09:11
What was the TV?
09:12
Joe?
09:12
Just right.
09:13
It goes.
09:16
Louis Benito says it perfectly.
09:18
It's like Tobin ignored what he saw.
09:20
Jimmy saw from Jimmy in 2023, 24, 26.
09:25
23.
09:27
He took us to the finals, dude.
09:28
Come on.
09:29
No, that was 22, 22, 23.
09:32
Yeah.
09:33
You're making it sound like it was last year.
09:35
You bum.
09:36
It wasn't last year.
09:37
Look, it was an unfortunate thing.
09:38
Kelly Oubre fell on his knee.
09:40
You know, can we just say bad luck happened, man?
09:42
It's okay.
09:44
These things happen.
09:45
So you know what?
09:47
When you don't know when they're going to happen, that means you put yourself in the
09:51
best possible position so that you can withstand that.
09:55
So that means, you know what?
09:57
If you can play, you play.
09:58
Don't just, you know what?
10:01
Hammy.
10:01
I'm going to sit this one out.
10:03
Go watch some tennis.
10:04
Do you want Jimmy Butler to be a Nick?
10:07
No, don't know.
10:08
Nobody wants Jimmy Butler to be a Nick.
10:10
Do you want him to be a warrior?
10:13
No, that's not the point.
10:15
That's not the point.
10:16
Think about it.
10:17
Okay.
10:17
So let me get this straight.
10:19
You would pay him because you don't want him to be a warrior, but you wouldn't pay him
10:24
based on what his services have been.
10:27
I would pay him.
10:28
I'm here saying I'd pay him.
10:30
Yeah.
10:30
Because I would have already given him the deal.
10:31
I would have said, Hey, baby, if I was Pat Riley, which I'm not, I'm not handsome.
10:35
I don't have aura, but if I was Pat Riley, I would have said, give me a big fellow.
10:40
And he goes, what's up?
10:41
He goes, listen, don't worry about Kelly Oubre.
10:44
That was bad luck.
10:45
Here's your extra year.
10:46
All right.
10:47
Heat lifer.
10:48
Heat lifer.
10:50
But it never works like that with Pat.
10:51
Every one of them ends frosty.
10:53
You know why?
10:53
Every one of them.
10:56
Because he understands that age and amount of games normally don't increase.
11:05
Okay.
11:06
Dangerous game.
11:06
It ended with Dion way to getting a four-year deal last time.
11:10
But again, so you're saying he should pay him.
11:15
Why?
11:15
And what if they end up in a plan again?
11:18
After you give him an extension, unfortunately, because he didn't play, but 60 games.
11:22
Unfortunate.
11:22
You wouldn't be mad.
11:24
Depends how it happened.
11:27
If Jimmy plays 60 games again, if he plays 65 and they still end up in the plan, is that his fault?
11:33
Still miss 17 games, dude.
11:35
All right.
11:35
70.
11:35
That's 20% of the season.
11:37
What if he plays 70?
11:38
Wait, 20% of the season.
11:39
So think about this.
11:41
Wait, wait, think about this.
11:42
Think about this.
11:43
Let's put it into perspective of what we do.
11:45
Yep.
11:46
If you miss 20% of day's work.
11:53
Yep.
11:54
Could you go to Linda, ask him for a contract extension?
11:57
Probably not.
11:58
Why?
11:59
It's going to be like, you didn't do enough shows.
12:02
Yeah.
12:02
I need you to show.
12:04
Why don't you think that applies to Jimmy?
12:07
Well, I don't have any other hobbies.
12:08
Jimmy seems like he has a lot of stuff he's into.
12:10
That's not what we're talking.
12:11
We're talking solely from the work.
12:15
I don't like pickleball.
12:16
Wait, so I do like coffee, but I understand that would mean that you would miss 20% of
12:24
365 is what?
12:26
10, 20, 72 days.
12:27
Right?
12:28
72 days.
12:31
But if the day you can't say, Hey, I'm going to meet.
12:34
You could be number one.
12:35
But if I told him I was number one during the Dolphins playoffs and the heat playoffs,
12:40
when they could make the most revenue, I'd be like, you're going to give that up.
12:43
Yeah.
12:44
72 days, dude.
12:47
72 days.
12:48
And that's not even counting.
12:49
Damn.
12:50
Well, it is calm weekends, but whatever.
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