• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00From the National Football League now to college football quarterback news injury news
00:05That's front and center always following a week in the NFL
00:08same story in Ann Arbor following week three of the
00:132024 college football season for the reigning national champs the Michigan Wolverines
00:18It has been not exactly a picture-perfect start Joe for the reigning champs this year. We're at the quarterback spot
00:25They got drubbed by Texas at home. They are owing three against the spread in non-conference games
00:31Despite a two and one straight up record
00:34So Sharon Moore in his debut year as the head man of the Maize and Blue makes a change at the quarterback spot
00:41Davis Warren now on the bench
00:43Alex orgy will make his first career start for the Wolverines as Michigan gets ready to host USC on
00:51Saturday
00:53Alex orgy now steps up and in Joe throughout fall camp. There was a quarterback competition between orgy
01:01Warren they were hoping the veteran the Indiana transfer from San Diego
01:05Jack Tuttle, but he is really still dealing with a shoulder injury did not really factor into the quarterback race
01:12So now Alex orgy who is described more as an athlete run first quarterback as opposed to your pure passer
01:19Takes the reins. Here's what I will say for Michigan against USC
01:23They are going to run the football orgy played in three possessions last week against Arkansas State
01:29Did throw a touchdown on his opening offensive drive to start off the fourth quarter
01:34But then two punts and only seven plays to follow he was two of four for 12 yards a touchdown toss
01:40He has two touchdown throws this year and ten carries on the ground for 58 total yards
01:47Is it a good sign that Michigan is making the move at the quarterback position or is it worrisome that they have to make this?
01:54change already
01:56Well, it's very worrisome that they had to move on from Warren
02:00But I mean when you throw what your sixth interception of the season against Arkansas State like you've you got to get something
02:08Different here. Hey, listen, I think we can all agree that
02:12You know JJ McCarthy who feels like he was there for what 19 years?
02:16Right there was going to be a
02:20Serious turnover on the offensive side of the ball this year. I think everybody knew it
02:25You were hoping that the defense would be good enough to carry you and hopefully you'd be able to figure it out
02:30With one of these two guys Ben, but that's that's a big ask and now you've got one of the most
02:36Explosive offensive teams in a country that you got to take on in USC and how are you gonna play from behind?
02:42And that's the problem you're gonna be able to run your way to a victory because I doubt very much they're gonna be able to
02:48Play from in front. I think this has got Texas written all over it again
02:55Look at where you stand from this perspective now a five and a half point spread in favor of
03:00USC when this line opened up in the summer months
03:03Southern Cal was a nine and a half point road underdog in Ann Arbor USC
03:08Of course now ranked 11th in the country, Michigan has moved back to number 18
03:13So you've got a USC team that is higher ranked than the reigning national champs and now a substantial road favorite when that not was
03:20Not necessarily what we expected
03:22Entering this year. We thought it would be a USC team still developing with Miller Moss
03:27Now is the starting quarterback in the era parent to Kayla Williams in year three under Lincoln Riley
03:33But in fact our questions are with Michigan Alex orgy played in six games last year 15 carries for 86 yards
03:41He did not need to start he came in during blowout
03:45Times or with offensive schemes designed for him to run the football 15 carries for 86 yards
03:51But not a single passing attempt last year Davis Warren this year. It was a struggle against Arkansas State
03:58He was perfect. They passed did not hit the ground 11 of 14 for a hundred and twenty-two yards in
04:04Three interceptions did not throw a touchdown. He had two touchdowns to six
04:09Interceptions in his three starts this year averaging less than a buck fifty through the year the good for Michigan
04:16Against the Red Wolves on Saturday
04:18They had three hundred and one rushing yards as a team with three touchdowns
04:23Kalel Bowling's 15 carries for a buck 53 on the ground and two scores even Donovan Edwards more than 80 yards and a
04:31touchdown
04:32But the bad news is Arkansas State is a terrible rushing defense
04:36USC much improved in their first two games on that side of the football and Joe when you look at the Wolverines
04:42I think the decision to move to Alex orgy is actually a statement on this year being a disappointing one following a national
04:50Championship look at where the market has moved on the maze and blue and if the odds are correct
04:56Michigan might be off to a two-and-two start with all four games inside the big house this season
05:01Yeah, what it sounds to me like Ben is that nobody's buying Michigan and the Wildcat offense
05:07They are about to roll out here and think that it's gonna have any success. They'll beat the teams. They're supposed to be there's that
05:15They're the underdog this week and they lost as an underdog protect
05:21We now use this time to get you ready for a new weekend in college football
05:25It is week four of this
05:272024 CFB season and we'll take an early look at the early lines on the show
05:34Known as the early line for right versus right FBS matchups in week four
05:39That's double the amount we had in week three. We only had one on
05:44Saturday of this past weekend. We now have three ranked versus ranked tilts this
05:50Upcoming Saturday that includes Joey top 15 matchup in the SCC opener for the Oklahoma
05:58Sooners they host Tennessee on Saturday in
06:02Norman the line was north of a touchdown
06:05It's now under what could be a key number of seven
06:09But the Vols are still a road favorite
06:11Against OU Josh Hypel former, Oklahoma quarterback used to work at OU now the head coach
06:17Of course of Tennessee and Joe when you look at dominance and impressive to start off the year
06:23The volunteers one of four FBS programs to be booked as a favorite in all three games this season and to cover the number
06:30And Tennessee's been doing that in a very large way
06:34Sure, Kent State and Chattanooga in weeks one and three
06:38But week two in a ranked matchup in a neutral site in Charlotte against NC State
06:43They blew out the Wolfpack 51 to 10. What do you make of the line now under a touchdown in favor of the Vols?
06:50Doesn't change the way I'd be betting this listen, Oklahoma's offense is putrid people. It is terrible
06:57It is not good in any way shape or form
07:00Any real defense
07:02Is going to limit them and it's gonna have to be all on the shoulders of the defense this year and for them
07:10It's a pretty good defense
07:12But I I think what's gonna happen in this game Ben is that the defense is gonna be out on the field
07:17Way more than the OU offense and that's going to be a problem
07:22Josh Hypel is a covering machine in the first half of games both at home and on the road
07:28There is no reason to change that
07:31Handicapping aspect with them Tennessee early and often and then we'll see if they can hold on in the second half
07:38But you can't bet OU even at home with that kind of offense going up against the firepower of Tennessee
07:45Tennessee beat Kent State
07:4771 zip the golden flashes out of the Mac are a very bad team
07:51But still and I think they scored like 56 of the 71 in the opening quarter
07:56It was so fast for the Volunteers. That's exaggeration, but does go to stress the point
08:02Tennessee Joe looking a lot like they did in
08:042022 and they were ranked number one in the very first CFP rankings of
08:09That season with a very prolific offense both through the air and now on the ground with head and hooker in
08:162022 they were one of the best passing outputs in the country last year
08:20It was more ground game with the trio of backs and Dylan Sampson remains
08:25And it was Joe Milton more athletic despite the arm strength on the ground that may be through the air now
08:30They're doing it both ways with the freshman quarterback
08:34Niko, I am a layover really taking strides week in week out, but they're also
08:39Really good defensively. They've allowed 13 total points three to Chattanooga
08:45Ten to NC State who is maybe not the ranked team
08:48We thought in the preseason with Grayson McCall and the transfers this year under Dave Doran and they blank Kent State
08:54A week ago. They've got a guy named James Pierce jr. Who is a top 5 NFL draft pick in
09:002025 this upcoming April, Tennessee is the second best scoring defense in the country as
09:07Well as well being the second best total defense in the country. This Tennessee team is darn good
09:13I would lay the number even in Norman and frankly Jackson Arnold the freshman quarterback for Oklahoma
09:20Has been really shaky did have 97 yards on the ground and two touchdowns against Tulane last week
09:25But we saw Tulane get run on by K State a couple of weeks ago in New Orleans
09:31Keep an eye then on what Dylan Sampson can do against, Oklahoma on
09:36Saturday we'll keep it in the panhandle
09:39We'll look at Oklahoma State top 15 tilt and the big 12 opener for both of these teams
09:44It's the pokes your Cowboys Joe taking on Utah
09:49We see that spread now working back to the youths
09:53We're not entirely sure what cam risings prognosis is Joe 45 seconds here
09:59We'll continue with this game on the other side of the break. What do you make of the early lines here for this big 12 bash?
10:05Well, I did. Yeah, I think you nailed it
10:08No without having any idea what cam rising is doing and quite honestly, I'm kind of shocked
10:13He didn't play last week knowing this game was coming up here to kind of shake the cobwebs out
10:18I think the line tells us he's not playing Ben. That's what I think this line tells us
10:24See, I'm not entirely sure. I swear when we talked about this game yesterday
10:28It was the Cowboys laying a number at home in Stillwater and now I think it's worked the other way
10:34We'll get confirmation on that and we'll talk about this matchup next with more college football on the early
10:41Live right here on the early line on sports grid the early lines for week number four of this
10:472024 college football season. He is germinary. I am Ben Stevens. So Ranieri we've been trying to diagnose
10:54What exactly is the market movement for the big 12 bash on Saturday in Stillwater Oklahoma State actually on?
11:01FanDuel opened as a slight favorite. They are now a very slight underdog, Utah a point-and-a-half
11:08Favorite that would seem to believe Joe that regardless of where you get your numbers in the market regardless of where it opened
11:15Starting to buy in on Utah that cam rising is going to play on Saturday
11:21Listen, it is very very difficult. It is deja vu. It is buyers remorse
11:26It is almost like everything we saw last year when we thought cam rising might play week one
11:31After the torn ACL two years ago in the Rose Bowl and then never played in
11:372023 what exactly are we going to learn?
11:40It was a surprise Joe prior to the matchup in Logan on Saturday against, Utah State
11:45We even learned days before that rising was going to miss the game
11:49Isaac Wilson younger brother of Zach was pretty good through three touchdowns at a much higher scoring game than I expected the youths did win
11:5738
11:5821 going well over a low total of 43 and a half
12:02Here's what Kyle Whittingham had to say. Yes, or Winningham had to say
12:06Last week ahead of the diagnosis for cam rising and it was one of my favorite college football coach
12:12Coach speak where you don't really need availability reports or injury reports. He said there's going to be no update
12:19We do not give an update unless it is a season-ending
12:23Injury, so I'm not sure we're going to know if cam rising is going to play
12:27We can only follow the market and some reports if he plays of course is a huge
12:33Perspective for this big 12 opener for both teams, but let's say he's in there Joe
12:38Let's talk about the magic and break it down as it is
12:41How do you match up these two teams that will face off in Stillwater on Saturday?
12:46Yeah, top place to play and you know again, don't forget Utah was not in the big 12
12:53Just a year or so ago
12:54So this is a little bit of unfamiliar territory
12:57Then showing up here in the middle of Stillwater with an Oklahoma State team that is yet
13:02to get Ollie Gordon rolling on the ground here, this is a
13:08extremely experienced offensive line
13:11And right now they just have not been able to get him rolling
13:16Simply because teams have decided they're gonna let Bowman and others beat him and Presley and and so and you know what?
13:23They've been doing just that. So I think this is going to be fascinating to see how they approach
13:30Defensively Utah on the road who they're gonna opt to stop. Are they gonna play more to take the passing game away?
13:37I think it's to me. I just I don't believe in Utah
13:41I don't think dropping cam rising out of the sky out of nowhere and being like, all right
13:45He's ready to go is somehow going to be a recipe for success for them
13:50I think all the value lies with the home dog in a impossible place to play right now in Stillwater
13:57And Joe when you think about Oklahoma State your pokes a season ago that made it all the way to the big 12
14:02Championship game. They were not expected to be there
14:04They had a win total of six and a half seven and a half in the preseason
14:08The reason they got there is because early on the market was overlooking based on the odds perspective Mike Gundy and the Cowboys
14:15They were four and two both straight up and against the number last year as an underdog and that included
14:21Not covering in a large way in the big 12 title game
14:25Against Texas OG to man the nation's leading rusher more than 1700 yards a year ago so far only
14:32216 in three games
14:34he has rushed for less than 50 in their last two against Tulsa and
14:39Arkansas an Arkansas game that featured 70 points in double OT and the hogs put up nearly 700 yards
14:46Total offense this week's total of 52 and a half would say it's a defensive struggle where the youths
14:53Physical dominant up front are going to contain Ollie Gordon the second again
14:57And also just one of the quirks of college football in today's day and age the combined age of the two starting
15:04quarterbacks assuming that Cameron rising is going to play on Saturday in Stillwater
15:0949 years old both playing in their seventh year of college football
15:14Rising is 25 Alan Bowman is 24 Joe
15:18It's more than three years older than the combined
15:21quarterback age of when Kayla Williams and the Bears take on Anthony Richardson and the Colts on
15:27Sunday in week three of this 2024
15:31NFL
15:32Season so some veteran signal callers to say the least now
15:37Let's go to another matchup in the Big Ten
15:39It's our fourth ranked versus ranked game of this college football weekend, but it's not Saturday
15:45It's Friday night under the lights once again inside Memorial Stadium
15:51Nebraska has started at least in the afternoon to evening hours each and every week so far throughout the college football
15:59Campaign to rank 22nd
16:01They were back in the AP top 25 with their highest ranking two weeks ago since 2016, Illinois
16:07Hey top 25 team for the first time since 2022
16:11So Joe as we go to Friday night
16:13Nebraska now nearly a double-digit favorite lay a nine and a half against the Illini total 43 and a hook
16:19Yeah, well, I mean listen, but there's optimism in Nebraska for the first time in a long time, right?
16:26So Matt rule, we have always said it when he shows up at universities with struggling football programs
16:33The biggest jump the program makes is usually that second year. He was there
16:38Mind you this was a team that lost five games last year by one score
16:44Or less than one score is so they were close now. He's got his quarterback
16:49He's got these kids believe in at home. I this all comes down to how much do you trust?
16:55Illinois's offense to go toe-to-toe with Nebraska
16:58The defense is gonna have to play out of their mind on the road the limit, Nebraska
17:03I don't know this feels like if they're truly back then if the Cornhuskers are back
17:09This is an easy double-digit win for them
17:12Yeah, and that's really the question always in Lincoln, isn't it? Are the Huskers truly back what we do?
17:18Know both of these teams are perfect three, you know against the spread
17:23One of those four FBS programs that have been booked at a fave as a favorite in all four or three games that is covered
17:29in all three Ole Miss
17:32alongside as is Nebraska and then of course
17:35Texas Illinois's three and oh against the spread including that outright victory in Champaign
17:40Against a ranked foe in Kansas week number two. Okay, you maybe not the team we thought and during the year
17:48They also fell at home against you and LV on Friday night a week ago
17:53But we've got two teams Joe that have been under in both of their games two teams that live up to the Big Ten
17:58Ideal they are going to be great on the defensive side of the football very sound and they are going to run it at all
18:05Costs. Here's the difference Nebraska the sixth best rushing defense in the country a year ago
18:10Allowing just 70 yards per game this year, Illinois giving up more than a buck 25. Can they slow down?
18:16Dante Dowdell and Ramir Johnson, that is the test for the Illini. It's a large spread though
18:23It's nearly double digits and the total is 43 and a half
18:27I'll guarantee you who is establishing the run this weekend
18:31It's the Michigan Wolverines as we shared earlier Alex or G makes his first career start for Michigan on Saturday inside the big house
18:39Against USC the Trojans a five-and-a-half point road favorite when they were a nine-and-a-half point road
18:45Underdog when these lines came out in the summer months Joe is the drastic swing of two touchdowns, correct?
18:53Yes, I think this is I don't think Michigan is currently constructed
18:58It's going to be able to go toe-to-toe with the USC offense
19:01They're as good as their defense is they're gonna be on that field a lot Ben and that's unfortunate a
19:07Lot
19:08USC's offense has been great 27 points against LSU in that game Miller Moss throwing for 370
19:15They put up 48 in blank
19:18Utah State in week 2 USC coming off a bye
19:21Refreshed and ready for this matchup in the big house Joe if you were to tell me that Michigan
19:26Entering this season the reigning national champs after what they accomplished inside Ann Arbor the last three years
19:33We're an underdog it all at home this year
19:35I would have said you're crazy
19:36They were a touchdown dog against Texas came nowhere close to covering that number
19:40Thoroughly dominated in this game and they're an underdog once again the loss to Texas ended a 23 game home win streak again
19:48It goes to show you there's some issues plaguing this Michigan offense
19:53And I think the line is correct USC defense that was gonna get a heck of a test on
19:59Saturday

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