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Intip Peluang Investasi Pasar Modal Memasuki Bulan September
IDXchannel
Follow
9/10/2024
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Power Breakfast, Selasa (10/09/2024) dengan Tema Intip Peluang Investasi Pasar Modal Memasuki Bulan September."
Category
📺
TV
Transcript
Display full video transcript
00:00
Thank you for joining us on MarketBuzz.
00:04
I'm still talking with Mr. Herman Cahyadi,
00:06
Chief Investment Officer of BRI Management Investasi.
00:09
Let's talk about the development of investors in BRI Management Investasi.
00:13
What is it like?
00:15
And what are the investment instruments
00:18
that are getting more attention from investors
00:23
under BRI Management Investasi?
00:25
What is the trend, Mr. Herman?
00:28
In the last year,
00:30
our AUM growth in Reksadana
00:33
is very good.
00:35
It's more than 15% year-on-year per July.
00:39
We also see that
00:42
the interest of BRI investors
00:46
in our ecosystem
00:48
is that they are very used to
00:53
investing in the financial market
00:55
and balance fund.
00:57
Why is this an investment instrument
01:01
that has been favored by investors
01:05
under BRI Management Investasi?
01:07
In the last year,
01:09
when there is a lot of volatility in the market,
01:12
we educate our clients
01:16
that money market is one of the
01:19
Reksadana that has a stable performance
01:22
in high volatility in the last year.
01:26
And also for our mixed Reksadana,
01:29
such as Balanced Regular Income Fund,
01:31
it is also a fairly conservative Reksadana,
01:34
but also provides dividends every month.
01:37
So it is very suitable for
01:39
most of our client's risk profile.
01:42
Okay.
01:43
It means that the risk can be measured,
01:45
but in terms of outside potential,
01:47
there are still possibilities to get money.
01:49
It's still interesting.
01:51
That's why this is favored by investors
01:54
under BRI Investment Management.
01:56
Okay.
01:57
Talking about the market conditions,
01:59
of course, this is influenced by several things.
02:02
Then it becomes a sentiment
02:04
that becomes a concern from the point of view of investors.
02:07
For example, the chance of a 12% increase in PPN
02:09
which affects the drop in purchasing power.
02:14
Then there are other phenomena
02:18
related to the middle class
02:20
whose share then drops.
02:23
How far does this become a discussion?
02:26
And actually, if it is analyzed,
02:28
what is the significance of Mr. Herman's influence
02:33
related to investment climate in Indonesia?
02:36
Yes.
02:37
So if we look at it,
02:38
indeed the PPN increase of 12%
02:43
can indeed be one of the factors
02:47
that can stimulate the sentiment of the domestic market.
02:52
From the point of view of the people's purchasing power.
02:55
But we are still optimistic
02:57
that the cabinet that will be formed in October
03:01
will of course also calculate the positive and negative.
03:06
So we see that they will have a certain strategy
03:10
to boost the consumption of purchasing power in this society.
03:15
So we still have to wait for their policy in the future.
03:21
Okay. What are the incentives prepared
03:24
for the middle class in Indonesia
03:26
so that the purchasing power does not decrease?
03:28
As we know, in the future there will also be
03:31
some mandatory pensions
03:34
which are then deducted from the salary of the employees themselves.
03:37
One of them is related to additional pensions.
03:40
Then there is also a mandatory vehicle insurance.
03:45
Then there is also a pension that is done.
03:48
Does this also become a discussion, sir?
03:51
And when will this finally become a concern?
03:58
Because when we talk about funds allocated by the community
04:02
to invest,
04:04
of course, although some communities have already posted,
04:08
it has become a fixed budget.
04:10
But if we talk about urgent needs,
04:13
it seems that there are other budgetary posts that can also be taken.
04:17
It means that the investment portion may also be reduced.
04:21
What is your point of view, Mr. Herman?
04:25
Yes, so of course, if the additional expenses are still carried out,
04:33
it will of course also increase the purchasing power of the community.
04:37
That's why we still have to wait for the policies
04:41
that have been managed by the newly formed cabinet.
04:45
And we are sure that they already have their own assessment
04:49
regarding the current economic situation in Indonesia.
04:52
And for the future, we also see that there is a positive
04:56
with the reduction of the BI rate in the next few months.
05:01
It will also be very helpful.
05:03
And also, the program will be free of charge,
05:07
which will be launched after the cabinet is formed.
05:10
It will of course also help the export from the middle to the bottom.
05:17
Especially the ones below.
05:19
Okay, then what is your point of view on the property-based sector,
05:22
Mr. Herman?
05:23
Is it related to the issue or sentiment related to the reduction
05:28
of the BI rate in Indonesia?
05:30
Is it recommended or is it on the radar?
05:33
Yes, so the interest rate-sensitive sector,
05:37
such as banking and property,
05:39
will be the main beneficiary of the sentiment of the reduction of the BI rate, sir.
05:45
So the property sector is included in our investment radar, sir.
05:51
Okay, hopefully we will have one more segment in the next session, Mr. Herman.
05:56
We will continue and stay tuned, we will be back soon.
06:00
Thank you for staying tuned with us, sir.
06:02
And now we will look at the opening of ISG.
06:05
This morning, ISG is still operating in a positive zone with 0.5% strength
06:09
at level 7,741.439.
06:12
Meanwhile, from the sectoral movement,
06:15
Finance, one of the financial sectors,
06:17
is leading the strength on this occasion in the opening of the C1 system,
06:20
strengthening 1.59%,
06:22
then supported by infrastructure-based companies
06:25
and also property,
06:27
with 0.82% and 0.79% each.
06:31
Top Gainers are PANI, BRPT, PTPP, KLBF,
06:39
then Top Losers are ITMG, Filmsy, Logoto,
06:43
MLPL, Avias, Mill, Kitchy, and Pico.
06:47
Okay, I will continue the conversation with Mr. Herman Cahyadi,
06:50
Chief Investment Officer of BRI Investment Management.
06:53
If we talk about the energy sector or the oil and metal sector,
06:58
Mr. Herman, in your opinion, what is the view?
07:02
Yes, so if we analyze it more deeply,
07:05
if we look at the history,
07:07
every time there is a decrease in the FED rate,
07:11
the cycle of the decline of the flow rate by the FED,
07:14
it means there is a global economic weakness.
07:18
And if there is a global economic weakness,
07:21
it will have a negative effect on the price of commodities.
07:25
So that's why we see that the price of commodities
07:29
may not go up fast either,
07:31
there may still be a downside risk.
07:35
Especially in China now there is a deflation,
07:39
not inflation, but they are experiencing a deflation.
07:42
It means that for the oil and metal sector or the commodity sector,
07:45
it has not yet been seen as interesting from your point of view.
07:48
Yes.
07:49
Okay.
07:50
Mr. Herman, the last tip on capital market investment for investors,
07:53
wherever they are, what is it?
07:56
Yes, so for investors or those who have been investing for a long time
08:03
in the business or beginners,
08:05
we always remind our clients
08:07
that it must be adjusted to each individual's risk profile.
08:12
Maybe there is one emitter that is suitable for investors who are more aggressive,
08:17
but maybe it is not suitable for investors who are more conservative.
08:22
So everything must be adjusted to each individual's risk profile
08:26
and the valuation must also be looked at.
08:29
Okay.
08:30
Get to know yourself, don't be a FOMO,
08:32
and also be careful or maybe look in detail
08:35
about the fundamentals of Samsung
08:38
which has been talked about for a long time, more or less.
08:42
Mr. Herman, thank you for joining Market Plus this time.
08:45
Good luck to you. Stay healthy, Mr. Herman. See you.
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