Exploring Top BMW Championship Picks: Morikawa, Thomas, McIlroy

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00:00All right, Brady, give it to me the outrights for you this week in Colorado.

00:09Well first of all, I'm right there with you.

00:11I didn't play it, but I absolutely agree with your Morikawa play.

00:15I was on him last week.

00:16I like to go on this guy when driving accuracy I feel is more of a factor.

00:21And he's been so close.

00:23I said basically the same thing that you just said.

00:26It would be wild if we went through this entire year without Morikawa winning.

00:30He's been so close.

00:31So I'm rooting for you.

00:33We do land on the same guy in Justin Thomas.

00:36I got him at like 52 to 1.

00:40Isn't that amazing?

00:4150 players in the field and Justin Thomas is 52 to 1.

00:45That's crazy.

00:46But it just tells you where his game has gone the last couple years.

00:48But we've started to see it turn around.

00:50A couple things I looked at this week were how have guys done when playing at elevation

00:56and how have they done on Jack Nicklaus designs?

00:59Well Justin Thomas has done tremendous at the Memorial.

01:02He's got a number of top 10 finishes there, top 15 finishes at the Memorial.

01:06And then also when they played that Workday Charity Open, remember when they went back

01:11to back weeks at Muirfield Village in 2020, Thomas lost in a playoff actually to who?

01:18Your guy, Colin Morikawa.

01:20And he also finished runner-up at Sherwood Country Club in Thousand Oaks, California.

01:24Another Nicklaus design when they played the Zozo there in 2020.

01:29So he's got the Nicklaus chops.

01:31And at the WGC Mexico, when they used to play there at elevation, they played that tournament

01:35for four years at Chapultepec.

01:38And Thomas was a machine there.

01:40Every year, all four years, he finished top 10 and he was runner-up one year as well.

01:44So, you know, it just makes sense from those two angles.

01:47And I said, okay, 52, let's try it with JT and see if he can recreate what he's done

01:52in the past at elevation and at Nicklaus design golf courses.

01:56And then like you said, I went to a big dog.

01:59I went with Rory McIlroy.

02:00Okay, there's 50 guys in the field and let's be realistic.

02:04Let's say 30 of them have a realistic chance to win, right?

02:07So Rory McIlroy at 16 to one in a field of 30, basically, I thought that was a pretty

02:13good price.

02:14We're getting a little bit of value because he finished second to last, last week in Memphis.

02:19I talked about total driving.

02:21There's nobody better.

02:22He's second on the PGA Tour in total driving is Rory McIlroy.

02:26There's reports that he's just been blistering the golf ball out there.

02:29He might hit it 400 yards one time this week.

02:32If he can find the fairways, he's going to be tough to beat.

02:35And then I went a little deeper at 25 to one to another guy that just mashes the ball off

02:40the tee long and straight.

02:43Number three on tour in total driving Ludwig Obert.

02:48Also great on approach.

02:49You know, I just think, again, a fit for this golf course and I think we may have gotten

02:54some value on his price as well with him finishing 40th last week.

02:58So I was a little surprised to see him as high as 25.

03:02Now he's creeped down a little bit.

03:04I've seen him closer to 20, 21 to one.

03:06I thought 25 was a tick too high.

03:09And then I went with Mr. Red Hot.

03:11Billy Horschel has three top ten finishes in a row.

03:15Comes off of the runner up at the Open Championship.

03:18Finished eighth at Valhalla earlier this year.

03:21Another Nicklaus design.

03:22Has won at Mirafield Village before the Memorial Tournament, a Nicklaus design.

03:27And has won at Elevation.

03:29The last time the BMW Championship was in Colorado, 2014, 17 miles away at Cherry Hills.

03:36Who was your winner?

03:37Billy Horschel.

03:38And he went on to win the FedEx Cup that year.

03:40So give me McIlroy, Oberg, Horschel and JT for a four pack.

03:45I think you're absolutely right, Brady.

03:46You're getting two guys there at this, really three if you count JT.

03:50You're right.

03:51That's a discounted price with only 50 guys in the field.

03:53But Rory's been coming off between five and ten and you're getting him at 16.

03:57Ludwig's been between 15 and 20 and you're getting him at 25.

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