Strategic Bets and Player Insights for Tonight's MLB Games

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00:00A very, very good week of taters on The Lion's Share brought to you by BetMGM.

00:05Why don't we start in Toronto tonight?

00:08Because what do I tell you I like to do, Scotty?

00:10I like to go after the pitchers who give up the most home runs around the league.

00:15I mean, honestly, it should be just as simple as that, right?

00:18Oakland's coming into town and we have Jose Barrios on the mound in Toronto.

00:22What has Barrios done this year, Scotty?

00:24He's only allowed 25 homers.

00:25Is that enough for you for Jose Barrios?

00:28And our boy Brent Rooker comes in with the A's.

00:32He's got two homers in the last week.

00:34Believe it or not, how about this for you?

00:37Six homers on Friday nights this year.

00:39I'm even giving you day of the week homer stats here.

00:42He's got six homers on Friday nights.

00:45So he's been very good to us on this day of the week.

00:47We will go with Rooker.

00:48Nice price for him as well, sitting at plus 360.

00:52And I'll tell you this too.

00:54The Butler has a homer in his career off of Barrios and Vladdy is red hot.

01:00So if you want to go to Vladdy too, on the Toronto side of things, I got no problems

01:04with that either, Scotty.

01:06Yeah.

01:07Friday night lights.

01:08All those guys will hit home runs tonight, all three of them.

01:12The great Mitch Spence, who going for Oakland tonight.

01:16So yes, if you would like to get involved with Vladdy, we could do that.

01:20But Rooker is where we're going to focus our things.

01:23Next, the Braves have been struggling, but where are they going?

01:26A place where sometimes you can get the offense cooking, and that is in Colorado, Coors Field

01:32tonight for Atlanta.

01:34And Austin Riley has been getting it done.

01:37Three home runs already in the month of August, and we're facing Tanner Gordon tonight for

01:42the Colorado Rockies.

01:44He's only given up six homers in 21 innings this year.

01:48So quite the ratio for young Tanner as he gets ready to take on the Braves.

01:51And usually, Scotty, you get the big power hitters in Coors, and you're paying $250,

01:58$275, $300, plus $360 for Austin Riley tonight.

02:03Ozuna was $240.

02:04I said, I need a little bit more than that.

02:05I want to eat tonight.

02:07Riley at plus $360.

02:08Let's go.

02:09Yeah, I like that play, and they'll take advantage of the Rockies this weekend, just like the

02:16Mets did.

02:17You know, they lost one game, but they still won the series.

02:21No doubt about that.

02:22They will take advantage of them, indeed.

02:24Next, we will go to Tampa.

02:27Orioles and the Rays getting together at the Trop.

02:31Interesting here.

02:32You have Zac Eflin going for Baltimore, facing his old team in the Rays.

02:35Now, the Orioles guys have been good, Scotty.

02:38Santander has been very good to us.

02:40I think Gunnar Henderson has an excellent matchup.

02:42In fact, Gunnar Henderson against Zac Littell, five for 10 with two homers.

02:48But Gunnar's been cold, Scotty, and we've played him a few times in the last two weeks

02:51on the lion's share, and he has not been ringing the bell for us.

02:54But if you'd like to play Gunnar, go ahead.

02:56I'm going to go with Christopher Murrell on the other side of the coin for Tampa.

03:00Two for three with a homer off of Eflin in his career.

03:04He's got three homers in his last six games against the Orioles.

03:07Christopher Murrell, plus $450.

03:10He's got a couple since he joined the Rays from the Cubbies.

03:13We'll go big ball with him tonight.

03:15Why not?

03:16He's swinging for the lake.

03:19Oh, remember that?

03:20Right before he got traded?

03:22Swinging for the lake.

03:23And he's been swinging it good for the Rays so far as well.

03:27Next, this guy has been cashing tickets for us.

03:30I feel like sometimes we just have to stay with what's working.

03:34And we have the Royals and the Cardinals tonight getting together.

03:37And you're giving me five to one on Bobby Witt Jr. tonight in that series.

03:43Come on.

03:44He's got three homers already in the month of August.

03:47Your boy, Mikolas, has allowed 18 homers so far this year.

03:52Let's load up the lumber again with Bobby Witt Jr. tonight.

03:55As long as he doesn't catch all rise for the MVP, I'm gladly allowing another Bobby Jack

04:04tonight to ring the bell.

04:07Ring the bell.

04:08That is correct.

04:09All right.

04:10The Reds are in Milwaukee against the Brewers.

04:13And this is just straight another one of going after the pitcher, Scotty.

04:16Aaron Savalle for the Brewers tonight.

04:19He's allowed 22 homers in 112 innings pitched.

04:22Your boy loves giving up long balls.

04:25So we have a lot of guys on the Reds we can go with.

04:27Of course, Ellie's been very hot.

04:29You've got Steer.

04:30Friedel's got homers in the last couple games.

04:32But I'm going to go with Candelario here.

04:35It was more price for me, plus $5.75.

04:38Maybe not as good on the left side, but I'm not worried because Savalle gives up so many

04:41long balls.

04:42So Heimer Candelario plus $5.75 for the Reds in Brewtown.

04:47I love that price.

04:48I mean, you had so many big tickets with, you know, gigantic odds like that would just

04:54be incredible.

04:55Another $5.75 piece.

04:57Let's go.

04:58All right.

04:59Now, I usually like to send you in the weekend with a couple of big balls.

05:03At least we'll try a couple of really long shots to get us juicy here on a Friday night.

05:09And I had to get the Buccos involved at some point going into L.A.

05:13I know they've been slumping, but we're going to try to turn them around here.

05:16And our boy, Rowdy, Rowdy Tellez in L.A.

05:22Now listen, this is a dark play for Scottie.

05:25He has not homered since July the 24th, so he hasn't homered in a while.

05:29But he's actually seen Flaherty pretty well in his career.

05:33He's 3-for-5 off of him.

05:35Plus $7.00.

05:36So Monday, for Rowdy, you know he's going to be in the lineup against the righty.

05:40Let's go and take a shot with the big fella tonight in L.A.

05:45Let's go, big fella.

05:48Swing that big stick, Rowdy style, son.

05:51Out in l-l-l-l-l-l-lipstick city.

05:56And this last one is an even deeper shot, but honestly, I was making this a play no

06:00matter what the price was because he's been hitting the ball so well.

06:04Jackson Merrill for the San Diego Padres.

06:07He just tortured you in Pittsburgh against the Pirates.

06:11Now they go to Miami where Cabrera's on the mound tonight.

06:15He's allowed 10 homers and 48 innings pitched.

06:18Not good against lefties either.

06:19Merrill's got two homers in the past week.

06:22Plus $800 for Jackson Merrill.

06:24I saw some good prices on the other guys as well, Scottie.

06:27Machado, Profar.

06:29But I'm going to go for the big stick here.

06:31Plus $800 for Jackson Merrill.

06:33Yeah, I mean, I like this play because he's been hot this week.

06:37So I like guys that are seeing it and hitting it, and he's doing that.

06:41So I love that price too, and it's a nice long shot.

06:44Let's go.

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