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Samhi Hotels' Revenue Growth Outlook | NDTV Profit
NDTV Profit
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8/5/2024
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00:00
So, we are going to be speaking about two interesting managements today.
00:03
I'll start off with Saami Hotels.
00:04
Now, Saami Hotels came out with its Q1 FY25 numbers.
00:07
They reported a 31% of a revenue growth while the asset EBITDA in line with this was about
00:13
31.7% growth.
00:14
The margin stood at 37.7% as compared to 37.6% last year.
00:20
Coming to the ESOP and one-time expenses, now they've gone down by about 75.2% at 4.4
00:25
crore, but the net profit remained in the positive range at 4.2 crore as compared to
00:30
a loss of 83.5 crore last year.
00:33
But to discuss more on the Q1 FY25 performance and the outlook going forward, we are now
00:37
joined in by Ashish Chakhanwala, the Chairman, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer
00:42
at Saami Hotels.
00:43
Hello and welcome to the show, Mr. Ashish Chakhanwala.
00:47
Thank you so much.
00:48
So, my first question to you is on the Q1 FY25 number, we've seen a decent set of numbers
00:53
over here, revenue 31% growth, EBITDA margins also excluding the ESOP expenses and the one-time
00:58
expenses have remained major in line.
01:01
I want to understand what's the trajectory going forward.
01:03
You expect an improvement in the EBITDA numbers going forward as well.
01:07
So, can you share your outlook on this and along with this, how has the quarter been
01:11
for you?
01:12
Thanks so much.
01:13
So, let's break up the existing quarter so that we have a good base for the coming next
01:19
few quarters.
01:20
So, if you look at our room revenue, which is typically measured in terms of REF bar
01:24
or revenue available per room, we saw a room revenue growth of about 13% on a year-on-year
01:29
basis for comparable hotels, same set of hotels as we call it.
01:33
Total revenue growth for the same store was about 7%.
01:37
The reason why 13% revenue growth led to a 7% total growth was because this quarter was
01:42
slightly weak in terms of food and beverage because of elections, so large groups, conferences,
01:46
all of that got deferred.
01:48
So, we actually had a great start in the quarter one with a 13% REF bar growth.
01:53
That pretty much sets the tone, Anushi, for the rest of the year.
01:57
We feel that maintaining a high single-digit to early double-digit revenue growth is what
02:02
we would target and we should be satisfied with.
02:05
And we have already started seeing that starting July, we've started seeing the revenue growth
02:09
kind of ramping up to what we had achieved in quarter one.
02:12
So, all in all, we feel that whatever REF bar growth we achieved in quarter one will
02:16
start reflecting and being actually total revenue growth in the subsequent quarters.
02:21
Well, that's fair to understand.
02:23
But can you quantify in terms of EBITDA margins now, where do we see this number going forward
02:28
for the overall of FY25?
02:30
And even if in terms of revenue growth, now we are adding about 302 more rooms in Q3 of
02:36
FY25.
02:37
Along with that, there's some renovations and rebranding which is taking place.
02:40
So, with the effects of all of these taking place in the second half of the year, what
02:44
is the trajectory of the company in terms of its margins as well as its revenue growth?
02:50
So, in terms of EBITDA margins, if you see, our stable portfolio did about 38.5% EBITDA
02:56
margin.
02:57
Overall reported slightly lesser because of the acquisition we had made last year, which
03:01
was ACIC.
03:02
ACIC has been showing tremendous margin improvement for the last four quarters post-acquisition.
03:09
We feel that by the end of the year, our overall portfolio should be in the zip code of about
03:13
40% EBITDA margin, largely happening because ACIC keeps correcting every quarter post-acquisition.
03:19
So in terms of EBITDA margins, we think 40% is the zip code that we are targeting before
03:24
we end the fiscal year.
03:25
All right, that's fair.
03:27
And now you mentioned a very interesting point about the REFPAR growth, which was at 13%.
03:31
But if I go back a couple of quarters ago, the REFPAR growth has remained in the 15 to
03:37
20% of range.
03:38
So, from there on, now it is at 13%.
03:40
Are we seeing this sustaining forward?
03:43
Are we looking at the 13% number as the range going forward?
03:46
Or what's the outlook over a year now?
03:49
So I think if you take a three-year view, three to five-year view, we feel and we reiterate
03:54
that anywhere between high single digits to early double digit is a very achievable and
04:00
sustainable REFPAR growth target, not just in the short term, but in the longer term.
04:06
All right.
04:07
And now if I were to do a segmented breakup, now the upper upscale continues on this 21%
04:13
of growth, while the mid-scale range of hotels has seen about a 4% growth.
04:16
I want to understand what's the contrast over here, while one segment has shown a tremendous
04:22
growth over here, the other one seems on a muted path.
04:24
So is it because of the cities in which they are placed or what's the colour on this, if
04:30
you can share?
04:31
No, so thank you for giving part answer.
04:34
It's not just that the segment is underperforming or outperforming.
04:38
Each segment has a certain diversification or concentration in cities.
04:43
What we've seen is that the big office markets like Bangalore, Hyderabad, Pune, Delhi, they
04:47
have outperformed the rest of the cities in terms of REFPAR growth.
04:51
And because all of our upscale hotels are in these core markets, you see a concentration
04:55
of the growth being there.
04:56
And a bunch of our mid-scale hotels are dispersed across markets like Nasik and Coimbatore and
05:02
Vizag, which are not core office markets in India.
05:05
And therefore, you've seen their REFPAR growth being relatively lower.
05:08
So if instead of the segment, if you were to look at cities in our portfolio, we've
05:13
seen Hyderabad leading the pack, Bangalore leading the pack at about 17% REFPAR growth.
05:16
Hyderabad, Pune would be in the zip code of 16, NCR at about 10%.
05:20
And then of course, then it starts tapering down into other markets.
05:23
So it's more how cities have performed in terms of REFPAR growth.
05:27
And that shouldn't be a surprise, right?
05:29
If you see almost 65-70% of new office absorption happens in those four or five key markets.
05:34
And that's been a big driver for demand for lodging services.
05:38
So it's all about the cities and mid-scale just tends to get a little muted because of
05:42
the fact it's got presence in broader markets.
05:45
Okay.
05:46
So the concentration remains on city level growth as compared to the segment level as
05:50
you've mentioned.
05:51
Absolutely.
05:52
Yeah.
05:53
So now if I were to look at the net debt to EBITDA figure, now this has come down tremendously
05:55
with the IPO proceeds, of course, which have taken place last year, 8.8x number last year.
06:02
Comparing that with this quarter, we've seen this going down to 4.9x, same as last quarter.
06:07
But now I want to understand on the way ahead, you aim this number to come down to 3.5x.
06:13
So what levers have you put in place to ensure that there is a further reduction that we
06:17
are seeing place in the net debt over here?
06:19
See, really, there are really two levers for net debt to EBITDA.
06:23
One is EBITDA and the other is how we reduce the debt.
06:26
We are seeing the business producing reasonable amount of free cash.
06:30
Our own estimate is that for FY25, we remain fairly comfortable in the range of 225 to
06:35
250 crores of free cash before any material capital expenditure or acquisition.
06:40
That means our net debt goes down by that much.
06:43
At the same time, you've seen our EBITDA growth being extremely, extremely humbling, you know,
06:47
and we expect to maintain a very high EBITDA growth during the course of the current year.
06:51
So combined effect of a very high growth in EBITDA, and of course, the free cash that's
06:57
building in the company, you know, helps us achieve the targeted net debt to EBITDA number.
07:02
In addition to that, it's worthwhile to mention that even the growth opportunities that we are
07:08
pursuing or what we have pursued over the last decade, you've seen that they are largely
07:12
acquisition led, we don't do greenfield development per se.
07:15
And therefore, if at all we invest any incremental capital in acquisitions, it actually leads to a
07:21
very quick turnaround of that capex into revenue in EBITDA.
07:24
Therefore, any capex that we deploy, unlike a greenfield development, tends to actually
07:28
help our cause of deleveraging the balance sheet sooner than later, right?
07:33
So it's really multiple levers that we have put in force.
07:35
We remain fairly convinced as to where our balance sheet is headed.
07:39
And it gives us the flexibility now to look at growing the business.
07:43
Okay, well, that was insightful.
07:45
Now, a final question to you is about the pipeline of opportunities that we are looking
07:49
at for the next one, two years.
07:50
Of course, in the second half, we are seeing a lot of it taking place.
07:53
But what's the way forward over here?
07:55
Are we planning to add more geographies?
07:57
What's the course of which hotels are we targeting?
08:00
Is it in the upper upscale segment also going forward?
08:03
And also about the F&B mix, are we planning to increase our F&B mix also as we move forward?
08:09
So I think we look at opportunities in really two buckets.
08:13
One is internal and the other is external.
08:15
We have a very good pipeline of internal growth opportunities.
08:19
One you have mentioned, which is opening in the next two months, which is 302-odd rooms.
08:23
In addition to that, we have incremental inventory being added in our hotel in Pune,
08:28
our hotel in Hyderabad, and our hotel in Chennai.
08:31
All of this is well within the control of the company.
08:33
The most of the investment in the asset has already been incurred.
08:36
It's about implementing additional inventory.
08:39
In addition to that, we are looking at some pipeline.
08:43
And that pipeline, as I mentioned earlier, is a combination of acquisitions and turnaround,
08:47
something we've done for the last decade.
08:49
But also some long-term variabilities, which tend to be very capital efficient.
08:53
I'll hesitate to use the word asset light, but they're very capital efficient.
08:58
So we continue to look at those opportunities.
09:00
In terms of geographical selection, I think our numbers have taught us and further
09:06
kind of reinforce the belief that we feel that the best use of capital continues to be in
09:10
core markets, where we feel that for the next several years,
09:14
the expansion of the economic activity reflected in the growth of the office and the aviation
09:19
market will make sure that there's adequate margin for safety for us to deploy capital.
09:23
So it will be within the markets that we operate in right now.
09:27
At this point of time, we don't expect diversification of markets beyond the core cities.
09:32
In terms of segment, we have a pretty balanced approach.
09:37
About 50% of our income comes from upper upscale, upscale assets.
09:42
On a year-on-year basis, you may see some variation because acquisition is a very
09:46
opportunistic business.
09:48
But in the long term, we expect to maintain a balance between our upscale and a broader
09:53
mid-scale portfolio.
09:54
Coming to your last bit, which is on food and beverage, that's a very interesting question.
09:59
What we have realized is that a bunch of our assets, especially in the upscale space,
10:04
they have tremendous opportunity of us improving our market share in the food and beverage
10:10
segment.
10:10
And that's where a lot of our CAPEX is going to help ensure that we increase our F&B income.
10:15
Right.
10:15
Thank you so much, Mr. Ashish, for giving us those insights.
10:18
And the focus remains on the upscale.
Recommended
9:29
|
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