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Thermax Q1: Profit Jumps 82% To ₹109 Cr | NDTV Profit
NDTV Profit
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8/2/2024
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00:00
Hello and welcome. We are in a special conversation with Ashish Bhandari, MD and CEO of Thermax.
00:12
Thermax reported numbers that largely on some parameters beat street expectations while
00:17
on some others was in line with what the street was expecting. Ashish, good morning. Thank
00:21
you very much for joining in. Ashish, walk us through your numbers. Revenues and margins
00:26
were tad lower than what the street was expecting, but profits have seen a big jump on back of
00:33
a lower base. You want to walk us through what went behind those earnings this quarter
00:39
and what lies ahead for the rest of F525? Sure. I would say the numbers have got three
00:46
sub themes going on and I'll cover both the orders and the revenues bit and the profit
00:52
bit. On the profit side, last year we had one single item which was relating to a lawsuit
01:03
here where we had taken a 51 crore hit to our numbers, which is why the profits were
01:10
lower last year. If I correct for that, our profitability margins would show that we were
01:17
in line and this year as in wasn't that much better. If I take a second parsing of the
01:24
numbers this year on the operational front for two parts of our business, both first
01:32
one being our bio CNG business, which is where we have set up a new line of business to deliver
01:39
bio CNG plants for some customers of ours. We have realized that the engineering that
01:47
we need to do needs significant changes relative to the commitments and the designs that we
01:54
had previously worked on. So in that business, we have taken a 45 crore hit for changes that
02:00
we will have to make over the next couple of quarters on that business on a separate
02:05
set of projects where we are executing some really, really large projects. There also for
02:14
completely different set of reasons, we have had engineering issues where again, we have taken a
02:22
hit between 20 to 30 crores. So both of these negative to some extent surprises have affected
02:32
our profitability numbers for the quarter, which has masked strength in many, many other parts of
02:39
our business, including our chemicals and our industrial products business, which continue to
02:44
go from strength to strength. Even our large boilers business is performing extremely well.
02:51
That is on the profitability side revenues, nothing in particular to note our backlog
02:57
continues to get work through. I would say there was some slowdown on the revenues because of site
03:03
related issues and, and some customer slowdowns, which are more than what I've seen in the last
03:11
one year, but they are still peripheral. Some of this could have been election related slowdowns
03:17
and that will pick up again, kind of as we go through this quarter in the next. On the orders
03:23
front, we were flat relative to last year, my last comment, and then I'll pass it back.
03:28
On the orders front, we were flat relative to last year. Again, kind of some amount of slowdown
03:35
in February and March, but we are seeing good comeback come in now. And we should post some
03:41
good orders and good growth overall on the orders front as the rest of the year gets delivered.
03:47
Ashish, thanks, because you've actually summed up my next couple of questions as well into one answer.
03:52
But from what I understand, a number of factors that impacted your earnings seems to be a one-off.
04:00
Do you feel like going into the rest of F525, earnings will be robust and there should be
04:05
significant growth both on top and bottom line? I think what is significant is a relative number,
04:13
I guess, but I would expect improvement both on, on bottom line, top line and on orders. Yeah,
04:19
and I think some of that will start to show from the next quarter itself. So the one big question
04:26
on the orders front, which we have been speaking about, we have been talking about how
04:31
we have been delivering orders growth, but the large orders we haven't seen for some time.
04:37
In April, which is right after, sorry, July, right after the finishing of this quarter,
04:42
we announced one big 500 crore plus order that we received. We expect to receive more such orders
04:49
in the rest of the year as well, which would mean that even on the large orders, which are
04:55
more kind of drive one-offs, but we are in a period of our company where I would expect to see
05:02
frequent one-offs as well. So at least that gives me confidence that even on the order side,
05:08
beyond the steady growth that we are seeing in different parts of the business, we will have
05:12
good growth on some of these one-offs as well. Right. Also, I mean, there could be an election
05:18
impact like you indicated, but does that mean that orders may be lumpy then in nature? So
05:23
maybe not in this quarter, but Q2 or Q3 could see, you know, front-loading of some of these orders.
05:29
The reason I want to ask you that is because if there are going to be one-offs,
05:33
have you been bidding significantly for some of those large orders?
05:37
So our bidding activity has gone up. Yeah, our overall pipeline of larger orders has gone up.
05:43
And Siddhi, I've always been very clear in sharing that, take a look at our Thermax as the four
05:51
parts in which we are now reporting our numbers in. The two big parts of Thermax, the industrial
05:59
products, which is where we provide product-related solutions around water, clean air,
06:09
clean energy across multiple sectors. So this is not dependent on the large industries or the
06:15
large sectors. This sells across the entire breadth of industrial activity in India and
06:21
outside India as well. Here we have been seeing consistent strength and we continue to do well.
06:27
The portion that slowed down here was the ethanol market and some portion of the Spanjayan market.
06:33
And like you said, in my view also, that was election-related slowdown. That is now getting
06:39
released and picking up. I do expect good pickup out here. Yeah, the bigger projects are more from
06:45
power, steel, refining, petrochemicals, those sectors, which are more cyclical also in nature.
06:52
But there also, our bidding activity has now picked up and let's see what our win rates are.
06:58
We will see that in the rest of the year.
06:59
Rashi, so for F5-25, in your opinion and assessment, and of course, the orders that
07:05
you're bidding for, which segment do you think could drive growth in the financial
07:11
year and over the next two to three years as well?
07:14
I think the Indian story right now is a multi-engine story and I think we should
07:19
look at it like that. There is not one sector which should be looking to drive. We have
07:27
broad-based demand, which will mean that across sectors, we should see investments.
07:34
And not only that, with the larger demand around how do we get water for industrial solutions,
07:40
how do we, the norms across are getting tougher. So, and those are happening across sectors.
07:47
So, that is driving one more part of Thermax. The only portion that I think that can be
07:52
really lumpy, and there is a discussion which is coming very quickly on that, is thermal projects,
07:58
where the government wants to put in 80 megawatts of thermal power plants again in a very
08:06
accelerated fashion. Those projects can be very big and can be very lumpy.
08:13
And if the government does even half of those, I think that is the one sector which we all call
08:19
out as particularly lumpy, nothing beyond that. Everything outside should be good broad-based
08:25
growth. Shish, it's amazing. You've got so much clarity and thought as well when you talk to us.
08:31
But one quick question on margins. Can you share with me a guidance or an outlook,
08:37
an expectation of what margins will look like for the rest of the financial year?
08:43
Look, I don't think we have been sharing forward guidance, and for good reason. Yeah, kind of
08:50
surprises we had this quarter, I really wasn't expecting, but in parts of the business that we
08:56
have, that's a reality. That said, if I take these, what the kinds of surprises we had in Q1,
09:03
not to repeat, I would expect that our margins will also continue to improve the way we have shown
09:09
continued margin growth over the last couple of years. I would expect margins to continue to
09:16
improve. One last bit that I would say is that this is also a period where companies like Thermax
09:23
have to spend money investing, because we are reaching a period where a lot of new segments,
09:31
BioCNG, which is where we took a hit, is an example of a newer segment. Hydrogen is another
09:37
example of newer segment. There'll be a lot more similar areas that we are touching as we look
09:44
towards the future. And it is important that we continue to invest and not be afraid as we enter
09:51
these spaces, because they will come with some amount of uncertainty. But you have to go through
09:56
that uncertainty to reach a place where these businesses become a big part of Thermax of the
10:02
future. So Ashish, how much have you earmarked for expansion then in this financial year and
10:07
maybe the next one too? And also while we're at it, how would you consider funding these expansions?
10:13
Because you're right, you can't be left behind and you've got to create all this before the
10:17
demand starts flowing in, right? Very much so. Thermax is very clear, we will not bring debt on
10:24
our corporate balance sheets. We are a debt-free company and will stay so. In very specific
10:33
renewable projects, we bring debt, but that's a project-specific debt, as is the industry model.
10:39
At a corporate level, our books will be clean. There is a big discussion within Thermax going on
10:45
right now into the extent that we want to build out into these newer segments a deeper
10:52
introspection on the kinds of funding that will be needed, the sources of those funding,
10:58
and it's a very exciting period in that sense. As we are ready to share some of that information,
11:04
we will come back and present that. Currently, I would say there are a lot of very
11:13
intense discussions at our board level that are continuously going on. At the right level,
11:18
we'll come and share. Right. Also, just a quick update on your new manufacturing facility
11:24
capacities. Update on that. What are you going to add? Where are utilizations going to be at
11:30
in the first year and any incremental growth that it will contribute to? Yes, very much,
11:35
Suvya. In our water business, we added a new capacity with an idea that clean water and
11:45
wastewater, both are areas where India's industrial needs and also commercial needs
11:50
are expanding rapidly. We started the plant and it's filling up much faster than what we
11:57
had originally anticipated. In our chemicals business also, we are putting up new capacity
12:04
and we'll continue to add new capacity on chemicals because we are doing
12:09
newer things and especially construction chemicals is a big area of growth for Thermax.
12:14
We announced a JV out there as well, but there'll be more coming in that space. In our
12:21
small boilers, which is what we call as our heating range boilers, we have got a plant
12:26
expansion underway and de-bottleneckings in our large boiler business, especially getting ready
12:34
for a much bigger pipeline that may happen. So even within Thermax, we are investing quite a bit
12:40
and we are also investing in areas relating to R&D, technology partnerships,
12:47
variety of new things, which are more back-end today, but in the near future, we expect to
12:54
come to the fore and become front-end. Well, thank you very much, Ashish. Good luck.
12:59
Congratulations. I know things are tough and of course, there are curveballs quarter on quarter,
13:04
but hopefully the next couple aren't too bad. Good luck and we'll hopefully see you soon again.
13:08
Thank you, Sameena. Thank you for your time. Thank you very much, Ashish. That was great.
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