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2024 NFL Season-Opener: Ravens vs. Chiefs Betting Preview
SportsGrid
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7/3/2024
Category
🥇
Sports
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00:00
And the opener in Arrowhead, KC opens on that flat number of three, a field goal, 46 and
00:11
a half is the over under.
00:14
It is the earliest line for week number one of this 2024 NFL campaign.
00:19
Hey, if the Chiefs don't make a ton of mistakes, probably should they win their opening game
00:23
this year?
00:24
Probably so.
00:25
But I do think it's an even line out there, basically giving the Kansas City Chiefs home
00:28
field advantage with those three points and letting it play out.
00:31
Total sits at 46 and a half.
00:32
And let's just say we're all going to get warm weather and good conditions on opening
00:35
night.
00:36
I always love the way the Baltimore Ravens come into the regular season because they're
00:39
one of the few teams here, Ben, we can agree on that take the preseason seriously, which
00:44
puts them in a great mindset by the time they wake up, I should say, on that Thursday night,
00:49
September 5th.
00:50
I do expect the Ravens to give up right now.
00:52
I'll probably take the plus three points at this point if we're angling towards that.
00:56
I just think it's an even matchup here.
00:58
I'll take the points opening night and I do expect a great performance because the Ravens
01:01
are usually great performers in the regular season.
01:05
I mean, DRS, when you look at the numbers under John Harbaugh, who has been the head
01:09
coach in Baltimore since 2008, that's now 16 seasons, year 17 on the horizon.
01:16
It's a similar story for Pittsburgh and Baltimore, the two bitter rivals in the AFC North.
01:21
The Steelers, a 62.2% cover percentage as an underdog in that span since 08.
01:27
That was year two of the Mike Tomlin era, the debut year of John Harbaugh, 2008, 61.8%
01:35
cover percentage, 55, 34, and six against the spread as an underdog in the last 16 years.
01:42
Who could fault you taking that flat number of three at this moment line open to two and
01:47
a half in favor of Kansas City.
01:50
We have already seen some movement.
01:53
Now Donnie, we looked at the Superbowl 59 odds and you said something on the Ravens
01:58
that if they couldn't get past Kansas City a year ago, how are you going to bet them
02:03
to do that this time around?
02:05
They had home field advantage as the number one seed in the AFC, the best regular season
02:10
record in the entirety of the NFL a year ago at 13 and four.
02:15
But you said you would expect the Ravens to probably be in contention for that top
02:20
spot again.
02:21
So you expect no hangover in Baltimore then looking at the Ravens team win total of 10
02:26
and a half.
02:27
Yeah.
02:28
And they should be ramped up too, because let's just take a look at that 10 and a half
02:30
and also equate it to opening day.
02:32
The one thing I do love is I think we can all agree, like for me heading into that game
02:37
last year in the playoffs was boy, if they just stick to their game plan for Baltimore,
02:42
they have such an advantage over Kansas City and they didn't do that, which was so mind
02:45
boggling that I hope this off season goes, you know what guys, let's just bring our normal
02:49
game plan into game number one and see what happens.
02:52
And I think the win, which is so hard because sometimes dealing with Lamar Jackson on a
02:56
week to week basis in the NFL, when so many things are swirling around so many different
02:59
franchises, it's tough to get ahold of.
03:01
But when you have that one singular focus with that one game on the week, you have to
03:05
worry about the game after it to focus on Lamar Jackson.
03:07
A lot of teams have done very well against Lamar Jackson in the playoffs.
03:11
So I just take a look at week number one.
03:12
Is there going to be a quarterback that's going to be faster on his feet?
03:15
And I heard, you know, hey, Lamar Jackson lost a couple pounds here in the offseason.
03:19
He's going to look like an absolute lightning bug out there in week number one.
03:23
I expect a good performance and again, the ten and a half, even though that division
03:27
is so tough from top to bottom, talking about the AFC North.
03:30
I still think at the end of the day, they're the best team in that division, which in order
03:34
to win that division, you're going to need to have 11 wins.
03:37
That's a really good division.
03:38
So I like their win total over and I like them opening night here in the NFL.
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