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ISW: Ukraine has managed to significantly curtail Russia's activities in the Black Sea
euronews (in English)
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26/02/2024
As the end of February also marks the 10th anniversary of Russia’s invasion and the consequent illegal annexation of Crimea, the UK defence ministry says: Russia’s tactics against Ukraine’s creative warfare on the Black Sea are falling short.
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00:00
Russian officials and state media largely refrained from publicly discussing the two-year
00:09
anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on the 24th of February, likely
00:14
in an effort to avoid addressing Russia's failure to achieve its stated war aims at
00:19
significant human costs, says the Institute for the Study of War.
00:24
As the end of February also marks the 10th anniversary of Russia's invasion and consequent
00:29
illegal annexation of Crimea, the UK Defence Ministry says Russia's tactics against Ukraine's
00:35
creative warfare on the Black Sea are falling short.
00:41
At the outset of the full-scale invasion in February 2022, the Russian Navy maintained
00:46
the freedom to manoeuvre throughout the entirety of the Black Sea, most significantly in the
00:51
north-west.
00:52
Following Ukraine's success in employing asymmetric alternatives to its lack of a traditional
00:57
navy like guided missiles and uncrewed vessels, the Russian Navy has been repeatedly forced
01:03
to reassess its appetite for risk.
01:06
Ukraine has continued to push Russian threat perception to new highs through combined strike
01:10
activities on land and the sea, forcing the Black Sea Fleet units to relocate their main
01:16
operating areas to the eastern Black Sea.
01:20
This UK Defence Ministry map shows Russia's main maritime operational areas in the Black
01:25
Sea.
01:26
The first area is where the Black Sea Fleet is operating at lower risk, the second at
01:31
increased risk, the third at higher risk, and here, the fourth area, is where the Black
01:36
Sea operations are denied.
01:40
Britain's Defence Minister said in late December that Russia had lost around 20% of its Black
01:45
Sea Fleet in the previous four months.
01:48
At a strategic level, Ukraine's approach has denied Russia the ability to interfere with
01:53
its maritime trade routes.
01:55
[SWOOSH]
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