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Report
Tropical downpours to drench Gulf Coast
AccuWeather
Follow
10/11/2023
Flooding rain and a few severe thunderstorms are likely across the Gulf Coast states as a system tracks over the region.
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Transcript
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00:00
Well, so much needed rain.
00:01
That's what we're going to be
00:02
talking about across the central
00:04
Gulf Coast states and the Southeast.
00:05
As we go over the next 24 hours,
00:07
I say much needed.
00:08
Take a look at the drought monitor here.
00:11
You know when when the season started,
00:12
when the early summer started,
00:14
where was the drought?
00:15
It was in West Texas,
00:16
but as we continue to see that heat build,
00:19
not only across Texas,
00:20
but the central Gulf Coast states.
00:22
The drought then started to extend
00:24
eastward and does include most of
00:26
Mississippi Southern Mississippi
00:26
and also in the Louisiana area.
00:28
And now you're starting to see that
00:30
drought start to encroach to the
00:32
Northeast across southern parts of
00:34
Georgia, Alabama and the upstate
00:36
of South Carolina.
00:37
But we are looking at some much needed rain.
00:39
I want to show you the water vapor loop here.
00:43
Now we've had rain this morning from
00:45
what was a very powerful Hurricane Lydia.
00:47
It made made landfall near Porta
00:49
Vallarta yesterday afternoon.
00:51
That moisture going into Texas.
00:52
That's why it's been raining here,
00:54
but we've also watched this.
00:56
Look at this area.
00:57
Tropical moisture.
00:58
You see the dark greens and the white.
01:01
That's an area of low pressure that's
01:03
been moving northward from the Bay of
01:06
Campeche now I don't think this is going
01:08
to develop I think there's too much
01:10
wind shear here but there's a lot of
01:12
moisture with this and that is all
01:14
headed where and you can see as far
01:17
West as New Orleans as far east as
01:19
Tampa and Orlando within this zone.
01:21
We're going to be picking up a lot
01:23
of showers and thunderstorms and
01:24
actually some locally heavy rain here.
01:26
On on the satellite and radar you
01:28
could see already that rain falling.
01:30
Here's our an area of low pressure
01:32
now north of this warm front.
01:34
We have a drier air mass in place.
01:36
And what are you doing?
01:37
You taking all this tropical
01:39
moisture to ram it northward.
01:40
It's going to comply,
01:41
collide with that dry air.
01:43
That's why you're going to see a
01:45
large shield of rain with this as
01:47
we move through this afternoon and
01:48
tonight there it goes with the rain
01:50
getting all the way up toward Interstate
01:52
20 now from let's say Birmingham
01:54
toward Atlanta toward Columbia.
01:55
I don't think we're getting heavy rain,
01:57
but it's going to be a soaking rain.
02:00
I could see about 1/2 inch,
02:01
maybe up to an inch of rain,
02:03
and that's going to cause travel delays.
02:05
The heaviest rain that was going to be
02:07
farther South right along Interstate 20.
02:09
Soaking rain around New Orleans toward
02:11
Gulfport, Mississippi toward Mobile,
02:12
Alabama.
02:12
Watch that rain after 2 o'clock.
02:14
Start to spread into where Pensacola,
02:16
Panama City, Apalachicola.
02:16
Still, there's that soaking rain,
02:18
southern parts of Alabama and Georgia.
02:20
The other thing I want to point you out
02:22
with point out with the rain is that
02:24
I want to point out right now is look
02:27
at this what we call is a V notch signature.
02:29
You see that on the southern tail of this.
02:32
This is where you have severe weather.
02:34
Now this is at 6 o'clock where
02:36
watch where that area is going.
02:38
It is going into North Florida tonight.
02:40
I'm worried that we could be looking
02:42
at severe weather well after dark
02:44
tonight across North Florida and
02:46
that will include the big bend of
02:48
Florida toward Tampa as well and I
02:50
can see Orlando in this as well.
02:52
There's a heavier rain continuing
02:54
also across the eastern Carolinas.
02:56
And even tomorrow morning you see
02:58
these thunderstorms, southern Georgia,
02:59
and into the panhandle of Florida.
03:01
I'd worry about that.
03:03
These are severe,
03:04
so we have a very nasty night coming
03:06
here weather wise across North Florida
03:08
and southern parts of Georgia.
03:10
Then everything ends from West to
03:12
East as we head toward tomorrow and
03:15
will start to improve the weather.
03:17
However, keep an eye on this
03:18
area tomorrow afternoon.
03:19
Once again across the central
03:21
Florida Peninsula.
03:22
There may be additional strong
03:23
to severe thunderstorms.
03:24
How much rain?
03:25
Quite a bit now it's going to be
03:27
falling in about an 18 hour period,
03:29
so I don't think we're looking
03:31
at flash flooding,
03:32
but this rain will cause at least
03:34
localized flooding and there's going
03:35
to be a ponding of water on the roads.
03:38
I-10 is going to be impacted even I-20
03:40
and the reduced visibility will
03:42
cause slowdowns certainly from
03:43
New Orleans toward Appalachia,
03:45
Kola, Pensacola,
03:45
Tallahassee toward Jacksonville.
03:46
2 to 4 inches of rain,
03:48
but even from Tampa toward Savannah
03:50
and close to Montgomery there will
03:52
be an inch or two and then we can't
03:55
forget about the severe weather.
03:56
Some risk means spotty,
03:58
severe thunderstorms that will
03:59
have isolated tornadoes,
04:00
water spouts,
04:01
locally damaging wind gusts,
04:02
and there's certainly going
04:03
to be some downpours here.
04:05
Once you get in that moderate area,
04:07
that's where you're looking at the
04:08
orange from Cedar Key toward Miami.
04:10
Now you're talking that the severe
04:12
thunderstorms are going to be more numerous.
04:14
As I mentioned,
04:15
this is going to be a very stormy
04:18
night across the southeast,
04:19
specifically Central and Northern Florida.
Recommended
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