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Report
Experts Predict the Future of Technology, AI & Humanity
WIRED
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10/6/2023
WIRED asked experts from all corners of society and academia to answer questions about the future of technology, artificial intelligence, and humanity itself.
Category
🤖
Tech
Transcript
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00:00
If space is expanding, WTF is surrounding space
00:03
for it to expand into.
00:05
It doesn't expand to end anything.
00:07
Everything is just spreading apart.
00:09
And what keeps it from spreading apart
00:11
are sources of gravity, like stars and planets.
00:14
Like where's it all going into?
00:16
What does this even mean?
00:17
Put it simply, nobody knows.
00:19
But maybe you'll be the astronomer that figures it out.
00:22
Whoa.
00:23
[upbeat music]
00:27
From Shubh Gautam 52, "Will AI replace lawyers?"
00:32
You probably don't want an AI lawyer anytime soon.
00:35
A lawyer is not just simply a machine
00:37
that knows what the law is.
00:39
A lawyer is a person with, theoretically,
00:42
years of expertise that can help you strategically
00:45
to achieve your goals.
00:47
And that's not something that AI is well-positioned
00:50
to replace anytime soon.
00:52
What I suspect is going to happen is that AI
00:55
is going to make a lot of the drudgery of practicing law
00:58
way easier, and it will allow lawyers to focus
01:01
on the really value-add stuff
01:03
and allow them to think strategically
01:05
and to better represent their clients in the future.
01:07
So I welcome our AI overlords.
01:09
- The next question comes from Hassan Babaji.
01:12
"Can light bend around corners?
01:15
"If yes or no, give one reason."
01:18
Yes, light can bend around corners.
01:20
In fact, that's why we have glass inside your glasses.
01:24
When light goes into glass, it slows down slightly.
01:28
Because it slows down, it deviates from a straight line.
01:31
And that's why we have your glasses, telescopes,
01:34
microscopes, because glass bends light.
01:37
Also, gravity can bend light, as Einstein showed us,
01:41
and we can actually see the bending of light
01:44
as it goes around a galaxy.
01:46
Then the next question is,
01:47
"Can you bend light completely around an object
01:50
"so the object becomes invisible?"
01:53
And the answer is yes.
01:54
It's well within the laws of physics
01:56
that if you could govern the atomic structure of glass,
02:00
then light would bend in a way
02:03
such that it would completely go around an object
02:07
so anything inside that object becomes invisible.
02:10
One day, we will build a metamaterial
02:12
out of nanotechnology that will bend visible light
02:16
so that anything inside that capsule will become invisible.
02:21
Harry Potter, watch out.
02:23
@Eggysalt asks, "What happens when you travel faster
02:28
"than the speed of light?"
02:29
You can't.
02:30
You can't travel faster than the speed of light.
02:32
I'm sorry, you just can't.
02:34
You see, as you get faster and faster,
02:37
as you approach the speed of light, you have more energy.
02:41
And in relativity, energy takes more work to accelerate.
02:45
So you end up requiring an infinite amount of energy
02:48
in order to travel faster than the speed of light,
02:50
and so it's just forbidden.
02:52
@NinoClutch asks, "Spider-Man is so raw.
02:55
"Maybe we should try that DNA biotech cross-gene splicing."
02:59
Well, I'm not sure we're gonna see Spider-Man anytime soon,
03:01
but there is a lot of interest from biotech companies
03:05
and academic labs to understand spider silk,
03:07
which is five times stronger than steel.
03:10
Spider silk is very biocompatible,
03:12
very good for wound healing,
03:14
especially for wounds of the eye and the brain.
03:16
And there's been many efforts to engineer spider silk
03:18
outside of spiders to make it in a recombinant way,
03:22
meaning not in spiders, but in other organisms
03:24
like bacteria or plants.
03:26
Probably the best known example
03:28
of a recombinant protein is insulin.
03:30
This has helped millions of people
03:32
across the last four decades
03:34
since the first insulin was produced in bacteria.
03:37
- Next question, what do you think?
03:39
How will our future cities look like?
03:41
A, B, or city?
03:43
Any highly advanced city is gonna need to make sure
03:46
that there is an integration of green spaces,
03:48
not only for our oxygen,
03:49
but just for our enjoyment and well-being.
03:51
The more that we get rid of our natural green spaces,
03:54
the less we are able to have that oxygen
03:56
naturally generated in our environment.
03:58
I see that they're all high vertical structures.
04:00
And that really speaks to the fact
04:01
that we're gonna need to get more and more comfortable
04:04
with building up, 'cause building out
04:06
isn't gonna always be an option.
04:08
- @pristinemartian asks, how far away
04:10
is superhuman intelligence with a brain-computer interface?
04:14
Currently, we are fairly close
04:16
to having brain-computer interfaces
04:19
really help a process called neuroplasticity in the brain.
04:23
And neuroplasticity is the brain's normal process
04:25
to learn and adapt to the outside world.
04:28
I think that's something that we're going to likely see
04:31
within the next several years.
04:33
The idea of having a Bluetooth implant in the brain
04:37
that helps you Google something on the fly,
04:40
we are talking decades upon decades
04:44
before we would see something like that occurring.
04:46
- @seochase, do you think robots
04:49
will one day take over all of our jobs?
04:51
The real benefit of robots is taking over the three Ds,
04:55
the dull, dirty, and dangerous jobs
04:57
that we probably don't want human beings to be doing anyway.
05:00
People are working on underwater robots
05:03
that can detect underwater landmines.
05:05
Some people have worked on robots
05:07
that can go into nuclear facilities after an accident
05:11
and shut off different valves.
05:13
But I do hope that robots are able
05:16
to make people better at their jobs
05:18
and free people up to do things
05:19
that they're actually good at
05:21
and that they actually want to do.
05:22
- @nick asks, will computer programming jobs
05:25
be taken over by AI within the next five to 10 years?
05:28
This is such a frequently asked question nowadays,
05:30
and I don't think the answer will be yes.
05:32
And I think we've seen evidence of this already
05:34
in that early on when people were creating websites,
05:37
they were literally writing out code
05:38
in a language called HTML by hand.
05:40
But then of course software came along,
05:42
tools like Dreamweaver that you could download
05:44
on your own computer that would generate
05:45
some of that same code for you.
05:46
More recently though, now you can just sign up
05:48
for websites like Squarespace and Wix and others
05:51
whereby click, click, click,
05:52
and the website is generated for you.
05:54
So I dare say certainly in some domains
05:56
that AI is really just an evolution of that trend,
05:58
and it hasn't put humans out of business
06:00
as much as it has made you and I much more productive.
06:04
AI, I think, and the ability soon
06:05
to be able to program with natural language
06:08
is just gonna enhance what you and I
06:10
can already do logically but much more mechanically.
06:12
And I think too it's worth considering
06:14
that there's just so many bugs or mistakes
06:16
in software in the world,
06:17
and there's so many features that humans wish existed
06:20
in products present and future
06:21
that our to-do list, so to speak,
06:23
is way longer than we'll ever have time
06:25
to finish in our lifetimes.
06:27
And so I think the prospect of having
06:29
an artificial intelligence boost our productivity
06:32
and work alongside us, so to speak,
06:34
as we try to solve problems,
06:35
is just gonna mean that you and I and the world together
06:38
can solve so many more problems
06:39
and move forward together at an even faster rate.
06:42
- @SmokeAway asks, "What is the best case scenario for AI?"
06:46
Well, the reason I work on AI
06:47
is because I think it could revolutionize science
06:49
and technology, especially biological science.
06:52
Biology is really complicated.
06:54
You have something like 20,000 genes,
06:56
and they make something like 100,000
06:58
or a million different proteins.
06:59
AI could help us make much better solutions for medicine.
07:02
We have things like Alzheimer's.
07:03
We've been working for 50 years.
07:04
We don't have a good answer.
07:06
AI could probably help us, if we had a better AI,
07:09
help us figure out how the brain works.
07:10
That would be awesome.
07:11
AI could help us with climate change
07:13
by helping us build better materials.
07:15
Another case, I think, is eldercare robots.
07:17
So we're getting to a point
07:19
where we have a lot more elderly people than young people.
07:22
If we could have robots that are smart enough
07:23
and trustworthy enough that they could really take care
07:25
of the elderly people, I think that would be a big win.
07:28
Last case is tutors.
07:29
Of course, people are using ChatGPT as a tutor,
07:31
but you could imagine really fantastic
07:34
individualized tutoring once the systems understand
07:36
the people who are learning better
07:38
can help figure out where are they having a problem.
07:41
@start_soul asks, "How will the human species evolve?"
07:45
The future of our species is a big question
07:49
and open to question, but we know a lot
07:51
about human evolution from looking at the past.
07:54
And the story of human evolution is really, in many ways,
07:58
the story of brain size.
08:00
And each time we've seen some increase
08:03
in the capacity of our brains,
08:05
biologists and anthropologists
08:07
have associated that with some change in human behavior
08:11
that allowed us to gain more calories.
08:14
Because brain tissue is what physiologists call
08:18
metabolically expensive.
08:20
It takes a lot of fuel to run a brain.
08:23
As many as 20% of our daily calories go to fuel something
08:27
that's only 2% of our body weight.
08:30
So if you want a bigger brain,
08:31
you're going to have to have more calories to run it.
08:34
And we've seen that through time
08:36
as our species has adopted new characteristics,
08:40
new traits, new habits that have given us more to eat.
08:44
Those things include tool use and social behaviors
08:48
and cooking the food.
08:49
So now we are at a period of time
08:52
where food for many people is plentiful.
08:54
Calories are plentiful.
08:55
One question for future biologists then will be,
08:58
how did that change the human brain?
09:01
@enterobang_2, will humanity ever leave the solar system?
09:06
Probably not, but some future species maybe,
09:10
you know, humanity may evolve and change
09:12
where we couldn't breed with ourselves.
09:14
That species may leave the solar system.
09:16
Not sure where they would go or what they do.
09:19
We might send an instrument,
09:21
a spacecraft to another star system.
09:23
I could imagine that easily.
09:24
We'd use a solar sail
09:26
and we'd give it a push with a laser.
09:28
Be cool.
09:29
[buzzing]
09:31
Except it'd be in space, there wouldn't be any sound.
09:33
It would just be.
09:34
[upbeat music]
09:39
[BLANK_AUDIO]
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1:48
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