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Will Terrifying AI Destroy Humankind?
Unveiled
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11/20/2024
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Fun
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00:00
In 1997, IBM's Deep Blue defeated the world champion, Garry Kasparov, at chess.
00:07
In 2016, DeepMind's AlphaGo beat Lee Sedol, one of the world's top Go players.
00:15
In the future, it will be much more than just board games.
00:19
So what do you predict for tomorrow's AI?
00:24
It was actually during ancient times that we first created myths surrounding artificial
00:28
intelligence.
00:30
Greek legends were the earliest, such as the story of Talos, a bronze automaton gifted
00:35
with intelligence tasked to defend Crete.
00:38
For most of our history, though, machines that could think have been far from the realms
00:41
of reality.
00:42
It wasn't until around the middle of the 20th century that serious research into AI
00:47
began.
00:48
Alan Turing was the earliest pioneer of the field, publishing Computing Machinery and
00:53
Intelligence in 1950.
00:55
In it, he coined the Turing Test, which is a way to determine if a computer can indeed
01:00
think intelligently.
01:01
It's been over 70 years since this paper, and now a variety of different AI is commonly
01:06
used in daily life.
01:08
Language translation, facial recognition, online advertising, search engines… there's
01:13
an ever-growing list.
01:16
Slowly it's starting to feel like there isn't a field we haven't applied it to.
01:19
And clearly, we have quickly found a lot of benefits to AI.
01:23
For example, they can easily handle large quantities of data, are free from human error,
01:28
and of course, they can work 24-7.
01:30
Generally, it seems that technology is improving society, and should continue to do so.
01:36
AIs are a route to ultimate efficiency.
01:38
However, many believe that we should be extremely cautious.
01:42
Renowned physicist Professor Stephen Hawking once said, quote, the development of full
01:47
artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race, end quote.
01:51
He followed this up by saying that AI would far exceed humans, since our advancements
01:56
are limited by biological evolution.
01:59
The late scientist thought we should be extremely careful.
02:02
How justified, exactly, were his fears?
02:05
Where AI is in its current state, already people worry it can be used maliciously.
02:10
We're currently in a worldwide race for legal autonomous weapons, or LAWS.
02:15
In 2024, the US Department of Defense promised $1 billion for the Replicator program, which
02:22
aims to field thousands of autonomous war drones.
02:25
Shortly, it's expected that drones will be able to use widespread facial recognition
02:30
to target and attack specific individuals.
02:33
Overall, warfare is one of the simplest fields we can apply AI to.
02:37
And as a result, the United Nations has been debating a worldwide ban on autonomous weapons.
02:43
Unfortunately, quite a few countries oppose such a ban.
02:46
So, governments worldwide are weaponising artificial intelligence… but can we be sure
02:51
that those AI weapons will stay loyal to their creators?
02:55
While the US, for example, is against banning them, they still want to ensure humans are
03:00
ultimately controlling them.
03:02
The concept of emergent behaviour, however, implies we might not be able to control them
03:07
forever.
03:08
In the case of LAWS, it's when, in a near-future time, they're connected in such a way that
03:12
they can easily communicate with each other, independent of human behaviour.
03:17
Some military minds have pitched the idea for teams of hundreds of LAWS, for instance,
03:22
connected in a widespread hive mind.
03:24
No humans necessary.
03:27
Communication between them would expand, but to where is almost impossible to predict.
03:32
At the least, we might expect whole new tactics arriving via emergent behaviour, turning weaponised
03:37
AI into a force of its own to be reckoned with.
03:40
The Pentagon is reportedly making a big push to develop what some have labelled Slaughterbot
03:45
Swarms… all of which means that, like it or not, they are likely to become a reality.
03:50
Again, we have no idea what a heavily-armed and highly-connected flock of AI intelligence
03:56
will do.
03:57
Hopefully, fail-safes will be put in place to prevent serious issues… however, some
04:02
worry that any attempted block or limiter will eventually be overridden.
04:06
Meanwhile, the US Air Force is also working on something called Project Venom.
04:11
This aims to develop powerful F-16 fighters which are capable of flying themselves.
04:16
Currently, about $50 million has been invested… and on the bright side, AI jets will certainly
04:21
reduce the need to risk human pilots.
04:24
If we can rely on AI's loyalty, and if we have the proper fail-safes in place, then
04:29
they should only ever be a danger to enemy targets.
04:32
However, once again, this is entirely new ground.
04:36
Can Venom really be realised exactly as its developers want it?
04:40
Won't there always be a risk of it turning against its maker?
04:43
Or of it misinterpreting or refusing mission orders?
04:47
Or just going on a rampage?
04:49
These are the sorts of huge questions that dog any plans to push forward.
04:53
In general, as we haven't yet completely solved AI even in a non-military context,
04:59
many believe it's just too far too soon to try weaponising it.
05:02
One positive note is that most major nations agree AI should never be given access to nuclear
05:08
weapons.
05:09
Although, alarmingly, not everyone is quite in agreement here, either.
05:13
But of course, AI isn't only about lethal autonomous weapons.
05:17
Yes, they could prove our doom… but what about everything else in the AI bracket?
05:21
Currently, AI still isn't truly sentient.
05:25
We've likely all used some type of virtual assistant, such as Apple's Siri… but these
05:29
are not intelligent enough to overthrow humanity, no matter how spooky they can sometimes seem.
05:35
Truly sentient AI is predicted in the very near future, though… so should we be worried
05:39
about that?
05:40
In even a non-military setting?
05:43
In 2017, news broke that Facebook had developed two chatbots tasked to converse with each
05:48
other over a fictional trade negotiation.
05:51
Machine learning was used to create them, and the chat was monitored.
05:55
Scarily, the two bots quickly deviated from any predicted script.
06:00
They developed their own language, and started conversing in this instead.
06:04
It was at this point that Facebook shut the study down.
06:07
Other AIs have done similar things, with Google's translation AI also creating artificial languages
06:13
before now.
06:14
Broadly, it's thought that the seeming nonsense to us acts as an intermediary language, an
06:19
unreadable link to the machines.
06:22
While it's true that neither of these examples is particularly dangerous, given their lack
06:26
of power, both cases do highlight how an AI world could lead in all new and unknown directions.
06:33
The Facebook and Google stories might easily be explained away as glitches right now…
06:37
but what happens when there are more than one-off peculiarities?
06:41
Are these small moments a sign of more significant things to come?
06:45
Creative AI, the most readily available form at present, can generate images, videos, text,
06:51
and solve equations.
06:52
And the tech can already do a lot of damage… for example, by replacing certain jobs.
06:58
Such as in China, where reports claim that about 70% of video game illustrators have
07:03
been axed, partly due to growing reliance on AI.
07:07
Gamers have critiqued the AI products, saying they lack human creativity… but there's
07:11
little sign of the trend stopping.
07:13
Perhaps the most infamous contemporary issue of all, however, is the ongoing appearance
07:17
of deepfakes.
07:19
These involve using someone's likeness to create an exact copy of that person… which
07:24
rapidly leads to false images and video involving them, made without their consent.
07:29
Such AI was the trigger for the Hollywood Strikes of 2023… but these tools could ultimately
07:34
impact far more than simply those in the media.
07:37
How far can these new realities take us?
07:40
On the one hand, as current, generative AIs are usually trained using human data, it's
07:46
at least thought and hoped that they couldn't yet learn to do things that we can't.
07:51
Generative results draw on what's been done prior.
07:53
In other words, human knowledge will likely be the limiting factor.
07:56
And so, the general consensus is that AI in this state can't directly turn against us.
08:03
Replace us?
08:04
Maybe.
08:05
Dislike us?
08:06
Possibly.
08:07
But break away from us?
08:08
Probably not.
08:09
There is a darker extension, though.
08:11
True AI, also known as Artificial Superintelligence, is a different ballgame.
08:17
Right now, it remains in the realm of science fiction.
08:20
But were fiction ever to become fact, then it's proposed that this more advanced AI
08:25
will learn so well that it will exceed human understanding.
08:29
Humans will no longer be the most intelligent lifeforms on Earth, and we'll all be painfully
08:34
aware of our demise.
08:35
Today, many may consider it speculative territory, but others say that it's vitally important
08:40
for us to speculate in order to heat it off.
08:44
According to Stephen Hawking, for one, there are no physical laws preventing AI from one
08:48
day – perhaps one day soon – operating better than the human brain can.
08:53
At which point, it could turn against us, just as easily as it could do any number of
08:58
other things.
08:59
Will supreme AI crave power?
09:02
Will it recognise life on Earth as valuable?
09:05
Or see it as a threat?
09:06
Or merely an annoyance?
09:08
Will it one day scrub back through all the media of now – the books and films and YouTube
09:13
videos – with admiration, relish, or disdain?
09:17
For all the concerns, generative AI should remain beneath us, but is generative only
09:23
the first generation?
09:24
And will what's coming next care two hoots about us that came before?
09:29
What do you think?
09:30
Is there anything we missed?
09:31
Let us know in the comments.
09:33
Check out these other clips from Unveiled, and make sure you subscribe and ring the bell
09:37
for our latest content.
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