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Tropical Storm Philippe to eye Bermuda, northern New England
AccuWeather
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10/4/2023
AccuWeather forecasters say Philippe could skirt Bermuda before making landfall in Maine, threatening heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge early next week.
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00:00
Tropical Storm Felipe is the only organized system in town here for the Atlantic Basin,
00:05
a couple of other tropical waves.
00:06
But Felipe is a storm that's had a lot of longevity and it also is not just bringing
00:11
impacts right now to some of the Caribbean.
00:13
You can see it's centered not too far to the east, northeast, at least the deeper convection
00:17
just of the Puerto Rico area and also into the U.S. Virgin Islands.
00:21
We're dealing with some locally heavy rain.
00:23
We've seen some very heavy rain.
00:25
Some areas are retaliating four plus inches into some of the northern Leeward Islands,
00:30
the British Virgin Islands, the U.S. Virgin Islands, the Vieques, Culebra, and eastern
00:34
Puerto Rico seeing two to four inches out of this event.
00:37
It's bringing some risk to lives and property.
00:39
It is a manageable storm, but still flash flooding is a true danger in a lot of these
00:43
areas here.
00:44
This storm is bringing an active weather real impacts scale rating of less than one to the
00:48
northeast Caribbean.
00:49
Now, this storm has a future that is a pretty compelling storyline.
00:53
It's going to barrel right across Bermuda as a tropical storm late this week.
00:58
It's also probably going to make landfall somewhere close to where tropical storm Lee
01:03
made landfall.
01:05
At that time, it was a tropical rainstorm when Lee finally made it so far north.
01:10
But this system will be either a tropical storm, a subtropical storm, or kind of a hybrid
01:16
as it morphs into a cold, angry, North Atlantic low.
01:19
And it's also going to be dealing with some extra moisture and some changes in the atmosphere
01:24
as a cold front also reaches the northeast within 12 hours of Philippe's arrival.
01:28
So it's going to be a very high impact time.
01:30
In the meantime, for Bermuda, 40 to 60 mile per hour wind gusts.
01:33
It's going to be moving swiftly to the north, so two to four inches of rain expected there.
01:37
Some risk to lives and property.
01:38
Bermuda is well prepared for this storm like this.
01:41
But here we go into the end of the week.
01:43
This is where it really gets interesting from a New England perspective.
01:47
Here's our cold front.
01:48
That's going to bring some very heavy rain.
01:50
We could see some flash flooding into areas around Albany, New York and into places near
01:55
say Burlington and Plattsburgh, down into western parts of Massachusetts, Adams, North
02:00
Adams and so forth.
02:02
But then here we have Philippe and this is going to be a really interesting merger more
02:06
or less for at least the shield of rain between the front and then the tropical moisture.
02:11
Widespread rain rolls in Saturday night to Sunday through eastern Maine and into places
02:16
like the Canadian Maritime.
02:18
So it turns sharply cooler across the northeast.
02:20
It's going to be a really murky time here into the state of Maine with widespread rain
02:24
from Philippe.
02:25
That map was only showing Philippe's rain though as we're going to have heavier rain
02:28
farther to the west.
02:29
And we're looking at 40 to 60 mile per hour wind gusts for eastern Maine, so down east
02:33
Maine into the Canadian Maritimes.
02:34
And also two to four inches of rain possible for places like Calais and Batchias up into
02:38
areas around Caribou, Presque Isle and Holton.
02:41
Once you get down to the southwest near Bangor, one to two inches of rain.
02:44
Portland, probably under an inch of rain tied to this.
02:46
So some risk to lives and property, but a fairly manageable storm on at least hurricane
02:52
standards.
02:53
Again, we're looking at a tropical storm, probably either a tropical, subtropical or
02:56
some kind of a hybrid system as it morphs into a cooler system moving farther north.
03:02
So we're going to have a lot more on this over the next couple of days.
03:05
Lots of action in the northeast Friday night, Saturday and Sunday.
03:08
[BLANK_AUDIO]
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