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00:02 Lions at Chiefs tomorrow night.
00:04 Lions get the primetime game.
00:06 Chiefs are the best draw on television going right now.
00:09 Point spread is Chiefs minus five and a half.
00:13 That's on FanDuel.
00:14 On DraftKings, I'm seeing some fives and even lower in some spots.
00:17 I feel like this is too big of an adjustment though for one player.
00:20 I understand he's great, Jacob, but he is a tight end after all.
00:24 This isn't a quarterback being out.
00:26 I mean, Kansas City can win without him, can't they?
00:29 I think they can win, but I still like the Lions to cover here.
00:32 And it's not just the one player I'm focused on.
00:35 Obviously, Travis Kelsey's absence is huge.
00:37 And we see teams without their top receiving target a lot struggle to cover larger spreads.
00:43 Now, five isn't huge, but it's significant enough that if the Lions get out to a lead or keep it close in the first half,
00:49 they'll at least have the opportunity to possibly cover in the second half or have the opportunity for a backdoor cover.
00:55 But the other player I'm looking at is Chris Jones.
00:58 With him not playing, Kansas City's defense is completely different.
01:03 If you remember in 2021, Chris Jones played that whole season, I believe,
01:08 but they moved him from defensive tackle to defensive end.
01:11 And in the first eight games of the season, the Chiefs went four and four, and were allowing 27.5 points per game.
01:17 So without Chris Jones in the middle of that defense, they are just a very different unit.
01:23 So I'm a little bit worried about how much his absence is going to impact that defense.
01:27 And the Lions have a very confident offense in the top-tier offensive line.
01:31 So I think that they can cover this spread.
01:34 And the addition of Kelsey being out in addition to Jones, it's just going to make it a little harder for the Chiefs to move the ball.
01:40 So I like the Lions to cover here, believe it or not.
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