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00:00 [MUSIC]
00:04 Stale is not the word for the Buffalo Bills, Warren.
00:07 There's no doubt about that.
00:09 There's a ton of pressure on the Bills.
00:11 I mean, how long can they go with this grouping and this coaching staff and
00:15 this quarterback and not get to and win a Super Bowl?
00:19 So what do you see this year with the Buffalo Bills?
00:22 We know the offense has been dynamic, but they just,
00:26 the Chiefs are sitting in their way.
00:27 It just feels like they keep falling short every year.
00:30 >> Yeah, they're on the precipice.
00:32 They need to figure out a way to get over that final hurdle.
00:36 And they're gonna need a lot this season.
00:38 And one of the things that they're going to start leaning into more is 12 personnel,
00:42 which we've seen in the preseason.
00:43 That means two tight ends are out on the field, only two wide receivers.
00:47 They obviously went out and they drafted Dalton Kincaid in the first round.
00:50 He is going to be a big factor in this passing attack.
00:54 They used 35% 12 personnel on early downs in the first half of
00:59 their preseason games to date.
01:01 That's because they're trying to get these looks.
01:03 Now, I don't anticipate it staying at 35% during the regular season, nor
01:08 do I anticipate them running the ball at as high of a rate as they were doing out
01:12 of their 12 personnel sets this preseason because the run rate was egregiously high.
01:18 And I absolutely think that they're gonna revert back to their same style of offense,
01:21 which is the pass first style.
01:23 But this is a big change year over year because last year,
01:27 the Buffalo Bills used the league's lowest rate of 12 personnel.
01:31 And one of the things, Craig, that we've seen more around the league is more two
01:34 high safeties, and those two high safeties are really bad against 12 personnel.
01:41 That's the way to kind of attack those teams is to utilize a little bit
01:44 extra tight end out on the field, attack them in the seams,
01:48 attack in front of those two safeties, and get a lot of efficiency out of it.
01:51 But I think Buffalo is now going to be more equipped to do that.
01:55 They are gonna have to get efficiency out of their run game as well.
01:58 But I absolutely think that the Buffalo Bills,
02:00 the changes they've made this offseason should help.
02:04 But now it's gonna come down to their offensive coordinator calling the right
02:07 plays, and I think the defensive minded coach allowing this offense to really
02:12 spread its wings.
02:13 If he now calling plays himself for the defensive side of the ball,
02:17 constrains things like some of these defensive minded head coaches do,
02:20 that's gonna be a negative EV situation for Buffalo.
02:23 [MUSIC]