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00:00 The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles.
00:05 How about this pitching matchup?
00:06 Kukuchi versus Rodriguez.
00:09 And look at the line.
00:10 Baltimore is home against Toronto, a minus one 16 price, slight favorite for
00:15 the Baltimore Orioles at the fan dual sports book, a total that's listed at eight.
00:19 If you look at both of these pictures, let's just go back.
00:22 Even over the past 30 days, they have been absolutely sensational playoff
00:27 atmosphere, low total in Baltimore.
00:30 What gives in this game?
00:31 Mike, we back in the Jays, the Orioles and over and under.
00:34 What do you think here?
00:35 Well, there's always off, uh, to me.
00:38 I think this is a situation, as you said, both pictures have been so good.
00:44 I think we're looking for a situation where a run line may come into play
00:50 or an under may come into play.
00:51 I we've talked so much about the bad pitching on the games leading up to this
00:55 that I finally get to flip the script the other way and maybe take an under, as you
01:00 said, play off atmosphere.
01:01 I think these teams are going to be going at it and they've been playing well as of
01:05 late, clearly the Orioles 30 games over 500.
01:08 We talked about the Jays earlier in the show, trying to position
01:10 themselves better for a wild card.
01:12 So let's go when they're under, I like a low scoring game here tonight.
01:15 Yeah, it should be an interesting one too.
01:18 Cause if you take a look at the pitching matchup, again, you say Kukuchi
01:20 started off the season, absolutely horrific, but he's been sensational as of late.
01:24 Let's just take a look at the last month in major league baseball for him.
01:27 You take a look at a K rate combined between lefty and righty batters at 25%.
01:31 You take a look at the ISO power number through 97 batters and Oh 54 and a
01:36 weighted on base percentage of two 39.
01:38 That is absolutely sensational.
01:40 But also when you're taking a look at a picture here, a lot of people on this
01:43 Baltimore Orioles staff, though, you know, they're not really household names, but
01:47 my goodness, Grayson Rodriguez over the past month for himself, 95 batters, he's
01:51 faced an old 47 ISO power number and a weighted on base percentage of two Oh
01:55 nine, even though truly it is a hitter's ballpark down there at Camden yards.
02:00 You take a look at the temperatures tonight, 78 degrees, a light wind blowing
02:03 in, but if I'm looking at a playoff atmosphere and everything on the line,
02:06 two good pitchers here, you might be looking at a first five under, but if
02:09 I'm willing to bet and say, okay, Mike, it takes nine runs to beat me.
02:13 I'm probably more likely not to see nine runs than I am to getting anything
02:17 around that 10, 11 or 12 range.
02:18 I would lean on the under in this game just because number one playoffs.
02:21 And number two, I really like these two pictures coming in hot here.
02:24 We'll see if that certainly can hold up here.
02:26 Let me know.
02:27 (upbeat music)
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