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00:00 India has announced a stop to export rice to control domestic consumption.

00:06 This has raised the price of rice in the global market to 12 years.

00:11 In other words, the price of rice has risen from 500 USD per ton to 648 USD per ton.

00:22 We will talk about the exportation of rice from now on.

00:30 We will talk to the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Thammatat, the head of the Thai Exporting Union.

00:36 Hello, Mr. Jaren.

00:38 Hello.

00:40 What is the situation of rice exportation in Thailand?

00:46 If you talk about India's announcement of a stop to export rice,

00:52 what happened is that it has caused uncertainty in the rice market,

01:00 which is not good for the industry.

01:05 This year, we have been talking about Algino since the beginning of the year, right?

01:11 The rain is less than usual, so the market is starting to tighten.

01:16 The price of rice is gradually rising, from 400 USD per ton to 500 USD per ton.

01:24 When India announced two weeks ago that it would not export rice,

01:31 it caused uncertainty in the market and the price of rice in the global market rose.

01:41 I don't think this is a good result for the long-term price.

01:46 The only good thing that has happened is that our tenants are getting rice.

01:53 The rice price of the farmers is rising.

02:01 I think the rice price will be around 1,000-2,000 baht per ton.

02:09 This is the best result for India's rice exportation.

02:18 But this is still uncertain and uncertain, so we have to keep an eye on the market.

02:26 You said that the rice price of the farmers is rising,

02:30 but in terms of the production, is it enough?

02:36 Or the farmers are growing less rice because of the effects of Algino?

02:41 This year, the weather is not as bad as we thought.

02:49 In the first three months, the numbers were not as good as before.

02:52 The rain was less than usual, around 30%.

02:56 But now it's starting to balance out.

03:01 In the first three months, the rain was less than usual, around 40%.

03:07 But today, it's more than 2%.

03:11 So Algino is a different phenomenon.

03:19 We have to monitor it.

03:22 But overall, I think our profits are not less than usual.

03:28 Will there be more countries that will not export rice in the future?

03:39 I think if there are countries that do not export rice,

03:46 it will make the market more unstable and the price will go up.

03:52 Of course, it will have a good effect on the farmers.

03:58 Especially in Thailand, we have never had a shortage of rice.

04:02 It is a very stable source for the world market.

04:06 So the confidence of our country from the buyers should be better.

04:14 But I don't know how true it is that they have banned export rice.

04:24 Since the announcement, there has been no reaction from the government.

04:32 They really want to ban export rice.

04:35 Mr. Chalern, if we look at the price, how long will it last?

04:45 I think we have to see if there are any more reactions in India in the next few weeks.

04:53 Because the government has only announced, but there is no action plan yet.

04:59 Will the price of rice affect the production?

05:06 Will the price of rice go up to 1,000 USD per tonne like 2008?

05:13 I think the price of rice is not affected by the Algino that I mentioned.

05:21 Even next month, the rice will be 7 kg.

05:27 The rice is very good.

05:29 It is not damaged.

05:31 For India, the rainwater has returned to normal.

05:35 The planting area is not damaged.

05:37 For Thailand, the rainwater has started to flow.

05:41 So the rice has started to get water.

05:45 I don't think it's that bad that we have to worry about it.

05:51 Mr. Chalern, recently, the Thai government has asked for cooperation

05:59 to plant less rice this year.

06:01 They are worried that the water may not be enough.

06:05 What do you think?

06:07 It doesn't matter what the situation is.

06:10 If the price of rice is this high, I think the government will continue to plant rice.

06:15 Even if they have to pump water from the dam, or do anything, they have to plant rice.

06:20 Because the price is very good.

06:26 The price of rice has dropped a lot compared to last year.

06:34 So the use of rice is quite high.

06:38 I think the price of rice has increased.

06:42 The production of rice has increased.

06:45 How much has the price of rice increased?

06:49 5% of rice is sold.

06:52 Normally, it is about 89,000 baht per ton.

06:57 Today, it is 12,000 baht.

07:00 So it depends on the market.

07:04 If the price of rice increases by 2,000 baht, it will be a big deal.

07:09 Last year, we exported 8 million tons of rice.

07:15 So the rice price will increase.

07:21 Mr. Chalern, the price of rice in the global market is now rising.

07:26 Will this affect the price of rice in the country?

07:29 Of course, if the price of rice rises by 2,000 baht, it will be impossible for the rice to rise.

07:35 So we have to be realistic.

07:39 If the price of rice rises, the market will be happy.

07:43 If the price of rice rises, the market will be unhappy.

07:47 So we have to find a balance.

07:53 How much rice have you exported this year?

07:59 We have exported 8 million tons of rice.

08:02 But I think it is between 8-8.5 million tons.

08:07 What countries are the main markets this year?

08:10 The main markets are the Middle East, Iraq, South Africa, and Canada.

08:27 What about the competitors?

08:36 We don't care about the rice production.

08:43 We don't care about the market demand.

08:50 We export only the old rice products.

08:56 The export price is low.

08:58 Our export price is only 400 kilograms.

09:02 It is the lowest in the world.

09:03 In India, the export price is 800-900 kilograms.

09:07 In China, the export price is only this much.

09:09 So the competition is very high.

09:11 It is difficult to compete with them.

09:14 We have to give money to subsidize the rice producers.

09:18 It is not beneficial in the long run.

09:20 It is only helpful in the short run.

09:22 I hope that the new government will give importance to the development of rice.

09:29 The rice produced must be the rice the market wants.

09:33 We don't want to ban anything.

09:35 We ban it.

09:36 Then we raise the price of the rice.

09:39 It is a kind of end to the competition.

09:42 It is not beneficial in the long run.

09:45 I hope that in 30 years, we will not change.

09:51 I hope that we will change the idea of helping the farmers.

09:55 We will help them develop the rice.

09:59 We will not only help them with the price.

10:01 It is not beneficial in the long run.

10:03 In the end, we cannot compete with them.

10:06 Besides developing the rice,

10:10 what do you want to develop the most

10:13 to produce more efficient rice?

10:16 I think the rice is the most important.

10:19 We don't have rice that can be stored for 90 days.

10:23 We grow rice that can be stored for 110-120 days.

10:27 The rice we sell is 30-40 days.

10:29 The rice we grow is the same kind of rice.

10:34 It is a hard rice.

10:35 It is suitable for steaming rice, but not suitable for barricades.

10:39 We still grow that kind of rice.

10:42 There is no change at all.

10:44 The Society has been pushing for 4-5 years.

10:48 We are now on the right track.

10:53 But we are thinking about what will happen if we change the government.

10:58 We don't know who will be the government

11:00 and what policies they will have to deal with the issue.

11:03 Not only rice, but all kinds of crops need to be developed.

11:07 Plants, rubber, you need good plants

11:11 that can produce more oil.

11:13 The rubber is the same.

11:15 Instead of growing the same crops, we need to support them.

11:19 We spend more than 100,000,000 baht a year

11:22 without any long-term benefits.

11:24 We don't make a profit.

11:26 And we can't compete with them.

11:28 Mr. Chalern, from the perspective of the people,

11:31 are you worried that if there is a new government,

11:33 there will be a change in the current minister?

11:36 Panit and Kaset are from the same party.

11:39 But I don't know what the new government will look like.

11:42 That's what I'm most worried about.

11:46 Thai farmers are struggling.

11:50 We don't know yet.

11:52 The rice is starting to grow in the new season.

11:55 It's about to start growing.

11:57 It will take another two or three months.

12:00 But we don't know what the government will do.

12:03 Insurance? Tax? What will they do?

12:05 We don't know.

12:07 We can't predict the future.

12:12 We don't know what will happen in the near future.

12:16 This is an uncertain situation.

12:21 I hope the government will be more careful.

12:24 We have a policy.

12:26 Do you think Panit and Kaset should still be in the same party?

12:32 It's best if they are in the same party.

12:37 Otherwise, one person will be in charge of the production and the other will sell.

12:41 The producer doesn't know what to produce.

12:43 The producer has to sell.

12:45 Whatever is produced has to be sold.

12:47 As Mr. Churin said,

12:49 the market is the most important thing.

12:53 Panit has to sell.

12:55 After selling, Kaset has to know what to sell.

12:58 Whatever is sold, whatever kind of rice is grown, it has to be grown for us.

13:02 Okay.

13:04 I don't think we need to talk about the differences.

13:07 It's very difficult.

13:09 Thank you, Mr. Chareon.

13:11 Thank you, Mr. Chareon.

13:13 Goodbye.

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