"What is BJPs strategy for opposition-ruled states? Is there a pattern in the way the party operates? Can their strategy be defined as a mathematics formula when it comes to numbers in the state legislative assemblies?

There are many questions - and all have to know the broad answers. But never before has their strategy been examined in such detail. Unfortunately, politics is not about maths, chemistry, or even moral science.

For a long, the BJP has been targeting opposition-ruled states, so the Maharashtra episode surprises no one. In fact, it was Udhav Thakre who first betrayed the BJP by switching sides post-elections. Everyone knew that the unholy alliance had to fall apart someday. However what no one predicted was that the enemy would come from within the Shivsena, rather than from Congress or the NCP.

There was precedence of Karnataka and Madhya Pradesh, which of all the people, were neglected by none other than Udhav Thakre.

That brings us to the question, that which state could well be next in the firing line. You will get the answer by the end of this episode.

A numerical analysis of the election results of eighteen (18) major Indian states shows a pattern of how the BJP strategizes itself. For the first time on social media, you will find a 'best-fit' formula, using which you can yourself predict the outcome of a power game.

I term this as BJP Striking Index (SI). The number defines the probability of the BJP moving in and putting an opposition-ruled state under pressure. If it is successful, the power changes side.

The Striking Index also shows the stability factor of states Telangana today remains the most stable state politically. In fact, Telangana remains the most stable state in the country. However so, although the BJP may wish to take away power from the TRS, it does not appear that this will happen in the next state elections.

Can the SI predict when BJP will strike? Check out the answer in the video.