Is Russia producing a year's worth of NATO ammunition in three months?
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has repeatedly said that Moscow’s annual ammunition production capacity is four times greater than that of the western alliance.
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00:00Is Russia producing four times more ammunition than NATO?
00:07The NATO Secretary General Mark Rutter has warned that the alliance is severely lagging behind Russia on ammunition production.
00:17In terms of ammunition, Russia produces in three months what the whole of NATO produces in a year.
00:25We verified Rutter's claim that Russia's annual ammunition production is four times that of NATO against the available data.
00:34The sources we consulted put Russia's ammunition production at up to 4 million rounds in 2023 and up to 4.5 million rounds in 2024.
00:45In 2024, the US and Europe, which are the major NATO economies, were producing an estimated 1.2 million shells per year combined,
00:57which is roughly what Russia was producing in three months, as Rutter claimed.
01:01According to Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service, Moscow plans to produce 7 million artillery and mortar shells in 2025.
01:10Europe and the US's combined targets for 2025 stands at 3.3 million, which means that if they do reach those targets, they will be closing the gap.
01:22These figures are estimates. The real volumes produced by Moscow are classified.
01:28But the estimates do suggest that while Rutter's claim that Russia was producing a year's worth of NATO ammunition in just three months may have been true for last year,
01:38there are signs this is changing as the alliance tries to catch up.
01:43Yet it's clear that NATO is still well and truly behind Moscow, despite Russia's GDP being almost 25 times smaller than the combined GDP of NATO members.
