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John Deere Classic Prop Bets: Player Placement Odds
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Top Picks for the John Deere Classic: Denny McCarthy & More
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yesterday
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Transcript
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00:00
All right, we said, let's get the outrights going first, Keith.
00:03
Of course, I mentioned before the break, reading the same mail, dangerous Denny McCarthy.
00:06
Love to see him at the top of the card.
00:09
Well, you know what?
00:10
You like to call him dangerous.
00:11
I like to call him dirty.
00:12
And when it's a track to tournament, I'm always going for dirt.
00:14
That's right.
00:15
Denny McCarthy, plus 2,500.
00:17
The number keeps dropping.
00:19
You know, at the beginning of the week, he was in the mid-30s, and now he's down to the
00:22
mid-20s.
00:23
Everyone's reading the same mail as you and I are, Mike.
00:25
The last three times he's been here, a sixth, a sixth, and a seventh, right?
00:29
Over those three starts, he's gaining an average of 10 strokes on the field, right?
00:33
An average of 10 strokes.
00:35
He had a nice little quiet T-12 there at Travelers, took a week off, and now he's back.
00:40
And, you know, I spoke with the guys this morning on the early line, and one of my Keith's keys
00:43
was that you got to love scramblers this week.
00:46
And this is why guys like Denny McCarthy are so good here, because you got a lot of terrain
00:51
changes at TPC Deer Run.
00:53
This place is hilly.
00:54
Last week was super flat.
00:55
This place is hilly.
00:56
And the guys that are good around the greens on these uneven lies, like a Denny McCarthy,
01:01
always are able to distance themselves from the pack.
01:04
And then you take his putter and you add it to it.
01:06
Those are the types of guys I'm building out lineups and my outright card with.
01:10
The second guy, New Jersey kid, Chris Goddara, plus $4,000, another price that's dropped huge
01:15
since Monday.
01:16
First time he played here out of college, Oklahoma, 2022, he's tied fourth.
01:21
It's the 4th of July, whatever you want to take from that.
01:24
He's first in the field, strokes gained off the tee, which is more important this week
01:28
than last week.
01:28
Last week, obviously, you saw the poltergeist.
01:30
You could blast it anywhere, 380, and play from there.
01:33
It's a little bit tighter challenge this week.
01:35
In five straight events, Goddara's having one of the best stretches of his career.
01:39
In five straight events, he's gaining off the tee and with the approach.
01:42
The putter's a little shaky, but it was positive last week.
01:45
Mark, Mother Hubbard covered.
01:46
Whatever you want to say.
01:47
Plus 5,500, right?
01:49
Here's a guy.
01:50
He's 89th in the FedEx Cup points.
01:51
We talked about this in the last segment.
01:53
He needs points, right?
01:55
He's got four top 15s in his last six regular tour events.
01:59
No signature events, the last regular one.
02:01
So when you're in an average field, Mark Hubbard is absolutely near the top of the leaderboard.
02:07
He's contending on Sundays, right?
02:08
He's got two top 15s in his last three years here at the tractor tourney.
02:13
Par four scoring, all the above, wedge play.
02:15
Love him.
02:16
And my last one, Sammy Valamaki.
02:19
Triple digits, 100 to 1, plus 10,000.
02:22
And here's a guy.
02:24
He gained six strokes with the putter at the rocket, right?
02:28
You got to putt this week.
02:30
Better than you did last week at Detroit.
02:31
You got to be able to, you got to be the boss of the moss this week on these greens over there at the John Deere, right?
02:37
Last year, he gained over eight strokes on the field with the putter.
02:40
He can go deep.
02:41
You've seen it before.
02:42
I know you always have him on your card on Thursdays.
02:44
You're going to need a hot start this week.
02:46
I love where Sammy Valamaki's at with his game.
02:49
He can score a lot, and we're going to have to do it here.
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