- 6/30/2025
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00:00As DRS has been so apt and correctly so to remind you during these doldrum days at the end of June where it doesn't seem like we have many sports still out there NBA finals came to a close college world series ending last weekend the Stanley Cup playoffs now done basically right now lie we've got Major League Baseball in the middle portion of its campaign and the WNBA we're waiting on football.
00:27Frankly we're always waiting on football once a season comes to a close and on this final day of June it's our final day of the final month without an NFL football game albeit a preseason contest but our final day of the final month without an NFL football game until March of 2026 that is because starting tomorrow it's July about two weeks after that the first team show up for training camp.
00:56The Chargers and the Lions why because for the first time in history an NFL game the Hall of Fame game in Canton will be contested at the end of July on July 31st.
01:11So DRS football is truly on the horizon and that horizon is tomorrow you have called it the fastest offseason you can remember around the National Football League well starting tomorrow which is July we'll have football truly to break down.
01:27Yep and here's what I like to say too because I get excited and then I don't get excited because here's what happens now July turns like yeah football football month like and then we get to training camp for another two weeks all right two weeks come all right I'm watching people run around in t-shirts helmets and we're not doing that many hitting here.
01:43Then like yes preseason game number one is here damn this stinks and it's boring as hell when is the season start like see what I mean like we are technically in football season but understand this like football season for me theoretically starts July 1st but we don't get down the business so the first week of September so there are going to be interesting storylines but nothing really gets done in preseason like hey preseason football game what are you looking for tonight.
02:05I don't know the starters getting one snap where the questions come up why isn't Aaron Rodgers playing a single snap for Pittsburgh here in the preseason is Jalen Hurts going to play one snap for the Eagles how about you know Josh Allen or you know take a look at Lamar Jackson like I get really excited we all do just by the words of football this month but understanding there's really not much football to be played until we get to September and then we wind up saying okay Eagles Cowboys night number one why they look out of gas why is the game not bad well they haven't played football for an entire year because it did
02:35nothing in the preseason so as much as much as I love football season to begin I'm with you guys it's damn boring for a long time but at least you can say the words oh football and I do like that of course there is no doubt about it these are not regular season NFL games they are preseason games they are training camp but these guys that practices DRS or maybe who's not there at practice or who is out there with the starters all of that is legitimate conversation not just speculation and hype
03:05hypothetical to set the hypothetical to set the stage for a new season which we will do here throughout this week in a week in a month where football will return in the month of July let's start very big picture DRS of course the grandest prize in all of football that Lombardi trophy as a Super Bowl champion this year it will be contested in Santa Clara California the home of the San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl 60 here are the odds as of this moment
03:35where we have a three-way tie at the top some moving markets throughout this offseason on who is the lone favorite who is the solo favorite who has the shortest price from the AFC among the trio now DRS we've got three teams all at a seven to one number Eagles Bills Ravens of course Philadelphia the reigning Super Bowl champions all at seven to one all three of those teams a dollar in front
04:05of the Chiefs of the Chiefs at plus 800 and the Lions round out our top five a 10 to one number DRS let's start with those three co-favorites Ravens Bills Eagles is that grouping of three teams all at the same number feel fitting to you it does feel fitting but also maybe a slightly into the Buffalo Bills you said wait a second Donnie the Philadelphia Eagles just won the Super Bowl last year the Ravens are always in it what would separate the Bills for you out of those three teams that are each listed at seven to one
04:35well it's the actual schedule that they have I think it's one of the easiest schedules you're going to get and all you're just betting right now not and as much as this doesn't make sense well you've done it you're betting to win the Super Bowl but you're telling me you're not I'm betting on who's gonna have the highest statistical advantage entering into the playoffs which is what Ben of course your team being healthy but number two being the number one overall seed where you control home field advantage and the number one overall seed again is the only team with a buy entering into the playoffs it is a major advantage
05:05I think is going to have the best advantage to get to that buy week here and be the number one seed it's the Buffalo Bills so I give them the edge I love the Ravens in the regular season I hate the Ravens once they get to the playoffs the Philadelphia Eagles just won a championship bringing back a lot of pieces here they did lose some key components here but that offense is completely intact they should absolutely hum on offense and we'll see if that happens but there are question marks with the Eagles Kelly Moore is no longer their offensive coordinator did a fabulous job last year he's down in New Orleans and then you take a look again at the Baltimore Ravens
05:35in order just the way it appears here on the FanDuel Sportsbook not on the list there I would put Bills Ravens and Eagles in that list here of one two and three for me with those odds prices I would not I believe that Philadelphia deserves to be the solo favorite as the reigning Super Bowl champ and basically bringing back everybody outside of of course the offensive coordinator Kellen Moore Kevin Petullo now takes over the reins of that Eagles offense I I've said
06:04this point a few times I'm going to say it without getting worked up here at least I am going to try I will not understand until it happens Baltimore or Buffalo being priced in front of Kansas City if you want to pick Baltimore or you want to pick Buffalo to win the AFC all power to you but with a shorter number than that of the Chiefs nope not me not ever Lamar Jackson has not earned any bit of respect in terms of playoff success in
06:34in fact his lack of postseason success taints his overall career legacy at this moment in the Buffalo Bills Donnie I get your point in terms of being in position there is no doubt out of the contenders in the AFC Buffalo has the most favorable path to being a one seed in a conference of course controlling home field advantage and its destiny in terms of a postseason but we've seen Buffalo have that pedigree before has not worked out for the Bills the Bills have won five consecutive
07:04AFC East crowns Buffalo is an incredibly heavy favorite to win a sixth consecutive divisional crown as every other team in the AFC East has gotten worse year over year in the last few the Dolphins fine but probably not even going to be 500 the Patriots may be on the way up but still probably battling for seven or eight wins in the Jets without Aaron Rodgers certainly did not have that preseason expectation of the past two years Buffalo in the five consecutive years they have won the AFC East has been
07:34ousted by Kansas City four of those five years they have been ousted three of the five seasons in the division around they have never even reached a Super Bowl let alone won a Lombardi trophy until that happens Donnie I think you're getting value on Kansas City and frankly I feel it to be a slightly disrespectful number on the Chiefs as well you want to pick Baltimore
08:04outside in front of the Chiefs but it is only a dollar difference and understand this like I've been on this show multiple times in the past couple years is Patrick Mahomes there check is Andy Reid there check yeah I'm just going with the Kansas City Chiefs and rightfully so like it's not as if they're priced at 12 to 1 13 to 1 or 14 to 1 back but I just think like these pricings are coming out where the way the season ended for the Chiefs this should be a little bit better Rasheed Rice is coming back into the fold you still have Patrick Mahomes we understand that we'll see what we get out of Kelsey next year
08:34and now but for me I just look at it again like Kansas City used to be Ben the same way we're talking about the Buffalo Bills and I'm not saying pedigree where they can win championships but Kansas City just snapped your finger they won their division because the division absolutely stunk that's not the case like Denver's making big moves here say what you even want about the Raiders who I don't think are very good at least they have a veteran quarterback here and a change of philosophy with Pete Carroll they'll compete for a little bit more and also the Chargers are a very good team
09:04every single year and also the Chiefs schedule they're playing the NFC East that's a tough schedule they have so I agree with the pricing we're not giving up on Kansas City because they'll be there in the end but at the beginning of the season I just like other teams a little bit better they're based on schedule we'll talk MVP odds up next from Super Bowl 60 odds to NFL MVP odds here on the final day of the final month without an NFL game until March of 2026 the RS the individual component of course that will
09:34highlight team success the MVP race as we see it right here right now for the 2025 NFL campaign Lamar Jackson won the award two years ago many thought he had a better statistical year even than his MVP award-winning season of 2023 the second of his career last year and yet Josh Allen edged him out for the first MVP trophy of his career Jackson the favorite entering 2025 5-1 Allen at 6-1 Patrick Mahomes
10:04at plus 600 as well and there is Joe Burrow at a 6-1 price tied for the second best number alongside Allen and Mahomes Jaden Daniels after cruising to NFL offensive rookie of the year in a historic campaign both individually and for his team in Washington fifth best price at plus 850 DRS whether it be the top five or anybody else on the right side of that graphic where do you think the value might lie in the MVP odds by the way
10:34it is interesting to see like after the season that Jalen Hurts had right because so much was placed on like Saquon Barkley and a lot will be placed on him again this year but I think he now moves up in credibility Super Bowl champion Super Bowl MVP where if he leads the Eagles let's just say it again they have such a tough schedule which is going to help him out to be honest he's going to have a lot of primetime games against a lot of really good opponents where you could say like hey he might be the catalyst for this team and if they do wind up with the best record in the NFC
11:04pedigree now on your side now coming in the season I wonder what we got out of Jalen Hurts had a great season last year elevated himself in the playoffs Super Bowl champion Super Bowl MVP you're sort of getting that bump it's like when I always talk about like let's just say the MVP in the NBA Ben right you said you got to have a year or two under your belt as an MVP catalyst here before you can win it and you get that respect and he might get that so let's get back to the favorites here right Lamar Jackson is always going to be up there do I think Lamar Jackson wins it not necessarily that's a really good team
11:34meddling well hey this guy won one before let's give it to somebody else Josh Allen of course always up there Patrick Mahomes up there I don't want him at six to one because it doesn't feel like the Patrick Mahomes years of I need to throw for 50 plus touchdowns are still there he's going to put up good statistics they're going to have a very good record he's going to be there but no longer do I fear Patrick Mahomes like well he's going to run away and throw 10 more touchdown passes than anybody else in the NFL the interesting one to be honest to me is Joe Burrow because if we're factoring in that offense should hum and it should
12:04does he get bonus points because he has to score 30 plus points a game now we're being facetious again the defense is going to be probably decent at this point even though we're expecting it not to be great but how many points is he put up but also the detriment of can you be an MVP if your team wins 10 games or 9 games but you were the complete catalyst and the only reason why you're in the playoffs is you were there that's a question but Justin Herbert I see it's a 20 to 1 price stop it like a hardball quarterback is not getting that his perfect scenario
12:33is 17-14 where the quarterback throws a touchdown pass and manages that game really well Herbert's an unbelievable talent but he's not going to realize his hey I can be a 5,000 yard passer with 50 touchdown passes not happening Jaden Daniels coming off that unbelievable rookie season does make some sense but I think we are looking at Ben the first four there Jackson Allen Mahomes and Burrow being legitimate which again Jalen Hurts at 20 to 1 is interesting that tough schedule and his pedigree now being a champion that's going to help him in the MVP race if
13:03things go well for the Eagles I don't think there's any doubt about that DRS I think at the moment if you were to give me Jackson Allen Mahomes Burrow versus the field yeah I don't know exactly what that price would be if you ask me right here right now I would look to one of those four but I do think the value in terms of a longer shot is on Jalen Hurts at 20 to 1 the numbers will be there are they going to be outlandish at times because of Saquon Barkley maybe not but as
13:33Barkley going to go for over 2k once again also probably not so if Saquon's only going for 1500 which is still a ridiculous year the touchdowns are going to be there for the Jalen Hurts for Jalen Hurts the tush push still lives do not forget and I do believe DRS that despite leading Philadelphia to two of the previous three Super Bowls there was still a component of all right but is this guy really like one of the three or five best quarterbacks in the NFL I think he has proven his elite status
14:03the value from a longer shot Justin Herbert is interesting start of last year it was how Harbaugh and Greg Roman said they were going to build this team up front in the trenches establish the run and then later in the year they're like oh let's open it up a little bit for Justin Herbert in the first three years of his NFL career that's all he did in LA was throw the football a ton put up stats but not many results backing it up
14:33if you're asking me to pick and I guess price is not all that bad here if you're asking me to pick an NFL MVP winner right here right now to me it's the guy in Cincinnati it's Joe Burrow you look at the numbers a season ago led the National Football League with 4918 passing yards led the National Football League with 43 passing touchdowns had a completion percentage north of 70 percent and you might
15:03know why didn't he win MVP his team stunk not even stunk they finished above 500 but they started oh and three if Cincinnati made the playoffs last year Donnie I think there's a real argument that Joe Burrow was deserving of the MVP hardware so if Cincinnati is a 10 win football team and a playoff team this year and believe me I still have my questions I think Joe Burrow wins that MVP award yeah and that also means that Jamar Chase probably had an incredibly good season along with T Higgins there and those are going to be the
15:33catalyst to see if they can make it but that's the caveat right because typically we always look at one of the best teams in the league the best player that's the MVP as the way it goes down but it's interesting to find out where if your numbers are so far crazy than anybody else and you are the reason why you just got to the playoffs yeah there's going to be some added incentive that's going to be thrown in the direction because the expectations of Joe Burrow having a poor season this year are very low because he can't afford to have a poor season at this point that defense just might keep them in every game the wrong way if that makes sense
16:03hey we're up 14-0 first quarter let's sit back no that game could be 14-14 the way we're playing it out a brand new defensive field Al Golden's a brand new coordinator the one constant in Cincinnati is that offense if it's healthy can get up and down that field and they're going to need to see it that's why it's interesting like he's right up there at 6-1 but you don't get the hey you know what but also how about if the Bengals end up having a great season win 12 games he runs away with this thing at that point
16:26absolutely so Cincinnati right now DRS 21-1 to win a Super Bowl because of that turmoil this offseason on the defensive side that's going to be a big key
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