Israel-Iran War: A Dangerous Mess? Expert Sushant Sareen Breaks It Down

Asianet News English

Foreign Affairs Expert Sushant Sareen calls the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict an 'unpredictable mess.' In a sharp analysis, he explains Iran’s revenge agenda, the global fallout, India’s economic risks, and the UN’s limited role. Sareen warns the crisis could spiral in any direction, with major consequences for world peace and diplomacy.  #SushantSareen #IsraelIranWar #India #UN #MiddleEastCrisis #Fordow #Trump #GlobalTensions #ForeignPolicy #IranStrike #india  @pmoindia @NarendraModi   🔊 LIKE ➡ SHARE ➡ SUBSCRIBE  For More Updates:  English: https://newsable.asianetnews.com/  Hindi: https://hindi.asianetnews.com/  Malayalam: https://www.asianetnews.com/  Kannada: https://kannada.asianetnews.com/  Tamil: https://tamil.asianetnews.com/  Telugu: https://telugu.asianetnews.com/  Bengali: https://bangla.asianetnews.com/  Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/AsianetNewsa...  Follow us on Twitter:  https://twitter.com/AsianetNewsEN  Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ann.newsable/  ➡ If you like our video, give us a thumbs up and subscribe to our channel to get the daily dosage of news, entertainment, sports and more.

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00:00They could not wait for two weeks. So I don't think there's any real surprise that the attack

00:04happened. If the damage assessment is that the damage is only superficial, then they might need

00:11to go and bomb the place again. Can they simply go back to the table after this attack? Or will

00:18they say that no, we will now take revenge? I don't know if anybody even takes the UN Secretary

00:25General seriously anymore. Look, it will impact India. I don't think we can say it won't impact

00:30India. It was being expected that the Americans are going to bomb the Iranian nuclear facilities.

00:40The thing is that Donald Trump had earlier made a statement that he will take until two weeks.

00:46Now, you know, many people thought that if America will do something, it'll do after two weeks.

00:52But I think it was becoming very clear that given the way the buildup was taking place,

00:57that the attack would happen. They could not wait for two weeks. So I don't think there's any real

01:04surprise that the attack happened. The question is one, how much damage has it actually done?

01:10There are some reports which say that from one or two of those plants, a lot of the material had

01:17already been shifted out. Now, if that is the case, then how much damage has actually been done to the

01:23facilities really? Number two, if the damage assessment is that the damage is only superficial,

01:33then they might need to go and bomb the place again. So we don't know about that.

01:38From what we have learned is that the Americans have offered to the Iranians to enter into new negotiations

01:47and they have said that this is only a one-off strike. But then the call is for the Iranians.

01:56Can they simply go back to the table after this attack? Or will they say that, no, we will now take revenge?

02:04Now, if they take revenge, what can the Iranians do? Will they only keep striking at Israel?

02:09Or will they attack American targets? If they attack American targets, where will they attack

02:15American targets? Will they attack them at sea? Or will they attack them at their bases in other

02:21countries? If they attack bases in other countries, then one, America will also want to strike back.

02:28Number two, many of those countries will see it as an attack on themselves.

02:33So then the war starts widening. That is one. The second thing that the Iranians can do is block the

02:41Straits of Hormuz from where almost 30% of the world's oil flows. And if they do that, then the

02:49impact is global. Then this impact does not, at least the economic impact is global. So there will be

02:55that particular issue. And then all countries get affected. India gets affected. All other countries

02:59get affected. China gets affected very badly. Because all their oil flows from that area.

03:05Now, will the Iranians go down that road? Are they that desperate? Will they agree to some kind of

03:12negotiated settlement even now? And will that negotiated settlement become a total surrender,

03:19which Donald Trump wants? Or will that negotiated settlement leave some, you know, face saver for the

03:28Iranians? So I think there are a lot of unknowns right now. And not enough clarity on how the future

03:35trajectory of events will play out. The president gave a white statement over this attack. He also

03:41warned Iran. Says from long period of 40 years, they were claiming that they will bomb down Israel

03:47or America. And also says that Iran will not give statement like this if they have to choose

03:53two-part mission piece. You know, look, right now, there are a lot of statements during the rounds.

04:00One is Donald Trump's statement. How seriously does one take Donald Trump? I think there is an open

04:05question about that. Donald Trump says many things. And you don't know what he's actually going to

04:13stick to and what he is not. So one is that part of it. The second is there are a lot of statements

04:20coming from the Iranian side as well. And a lot of rhetorical flourishes are coming from the Iranian

04:27side. The gates of hell will open and all sorts of other things. Cities will burn. All kinds of stuff

04:33is coming from them. That this will be a never-ending war. Do the Iranians actually want a never-ending

04:41war with some country like the United States? Does the United States want a long-drawn-out war?

04:47It's already got into two or three wars and not really come out with any kind of an end game.

04:55So it's a very messy situation. I think statements will, of course, be played up. But beyond that point,

05:03I don't think statements necessarily point to the trajectory of events that will take place.

05:10Sir, one question could be the United Nations government. General Secretary Antonio Guterres

05:16gave a very strong statement, says that America has broken up the law and also escalations were not

05:22at the world level. How would you look at the U.N. statement?

05:26I don't know if anybody even takes the U.N. Secretary General seriously anymore. What is his worth

05:32to anybody anyways? He just keeps talking endlessly. He has, as Stalin said in the Second World War

05:41about the Pope, how many divisions does the U.N. Secretary General command? Only losing

05:47or losers from Pakistan quote Antonio Guterres and take his statement seriously. I don't think

05:55any serious country in the world takes the U.N. seriously anymore.

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