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NewsTranscript
00:00What is your take on Israel-Iran conflict and how it will affect India in the current scenario?
00:30But after looking back after the five rounds of talk initiated by Oman as the mediator, there is no conclusive evidence of a solution to the problem.
00:47Iran adopts a policy of going for nuclear enrichment. Iran is not willing to stop the nuclear enrichment program.
00:56At the same time, Iran vows that Iran is not going to make atomic bomb at all.
01:03So this is contradictory. Enrichment will naturally lead to making of the atomic device, atomic weapons.
01:10Weaponization is something which Israel is really, really concerned about.
01:15Israel is a small country facing a very normal security threat from the vicinity.
01:20The major threat comes from Iran. Iran has been dealing with the situation in a very harsh way in the sense that it has been using like an octopus.
01:30It has been using the tentacles in the form of Hamas, in the form of Hezbollah and Houthis to encircle Israel.
01:41So Israel wants to eliminate threat one after the other.
01:45So Hamas is almost wiped out because Gaza is totally dominated by Israel at the moment.
01:53And Hezbollah is almost neutralized because they have a truck, no war at all.
01:58And Houthis continues relentless pounding on Houthis centers by Americans and Israel.
02:05That is nullifying the Houthis threat also.
02:08Now Iran stands almost all alone.
02:11Now both the countries face almost a similar kind of threat, security threat.
02:17So that is when the nuclear talks between America and Iran came to a standstill.
02:24That is an opportunity Iran, Israel seized with both arms and pounced upon Iran and sending really strong signals by eliminating top military leadership, top IRGC leadership and also attacking nuclear installations.
02:45See, look, the targets include, you know, Mohammed Bagari, the army, the Supreme Commander Bagari is the Arms Forces Chief, General Bagari, eliminated.
03:02And also the IRGC chief, Hussein Salami is also eliminated.
03:09Maybe his residential complex may be attacked or military installations.
03:13They are not very sure about it because some of the attacks happened on the residential towers and all that.
03:20See, that is catastrophe.
03:22So these leaders are eliminated and also the top advisor to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khomeini also is eliminated.
03:32So pinpointing, see Israel's policy of pinpointing individuals to eliminate them continues in the case of Iran also.
03:41Earlier also, Kazim Soleimani, the IRGC top gun, Kazim Soleimani eliminated a few years back with American assistance.
03:49So this kind of assassination continues on the one side.
03:53There are 13 installations in Iran hit badly by Israel.
03:57We don't know the extent of the damage, but Iran confirms that there have been hits on 13 installations.
04:03At least six of them happen to be nuclear installations, including Nathan's nuclear capability.
04:09That is where big time atomic enrichment of the uranium taking place.
04:14The Iran has almost reached 90% of the enrichment capacity.
04:18That is almost tantamount to making nuclear bombs.
04:22Once Iran attains the nuclear capability, Israel becomes so vulnerable.
04:28Therefore, Israeli brains worked this way.
04:32We will conduct a preemptive strike.
04:35This is exactly what happened.
04:37And Israel has found it as a pretext that the talks between America and Iran has failed.
04:43Therefore, Israel has taken the honors and chose to attack Iran.
04:48And Iran retaliated.
04:49No matter what happened, Iran retaliated with the hundreds of drones, which is the initial wave.
04:55And Israel calls it a wave of attack, which is they just started.
05:01Another wave is likely maybe on the offing because they called it Operation Rising Lion.
05:08That means it's almost equivalent to India's Operation Sindhur, which is a never ending process.
05:16It's a continuous process, which is stopped for the time being.
05:20It can continue.
05:21That kind of a dynamics is seen from Israel's policy also.
05:26But Iran is not going to sit idle.
05:29Iran now loses its hold through the proxies.
05:33It comes into the direct picture.
05:35Nobody knows whether Iran has actually attained nuclear capability.
05:39Maybe having some Hiroshima type crude atomic devices.
05:43We will never know.
05:44So Saudi Arabia also becomes highly concerned because any attack against Israel can ultimately lead to an attack against Saudi also.
05:52Because Iran-Saudi relations also has been extremely shoddy.
05:58Therefore, the entire region becomes so vulnerable and fragile.
06:04Oil is heating up.
06:06The crude oil prices have skyrocketed.
06:08Almost one night, overnight, 79% jump in the crude oil prices.
06:13And gold prices have gone up because there's a jittery in the global markets.
06:17The stock markets world over, including India's market, has come down.
06:22So then now the ultimate question, where does India put itself in?
06:28Indo-Israeli relations have been extremely cordial for last one decade or so.
06:35Because India has learned to balance beautifully between the Arab interest,
06:39because basically oil interest and diaspora interest, and Israel.
06:44Israel has been a trusted partner for quite some time because Israeli intelligence provided by Mossad
06:50that is well received by India when it comes to the terror network operated from Pakistan.
06:56So therefore, India has to balance between Israel on the one side and the Arab world on the other side.
07:03And Iran, although not an Arab country, but a major Muslim country, has been very friendly with India.
07:09So Iran also is a strategic cog in the scheme of things for India.
07:13So India is trying equidistant, keeping non-committal on this device.
07:18And Kerala's chief minister, Pranav Ijian, of course, you know, he has its politics and all that,
07:23declaring Israel as a rock state.
07:26And that is something which is political, looking at the Muslim votes possibly.
07:31So there are nuances, there are several angles to Indian politics to it.
07:36But generally, diplomatically, India takes a stance for Israel's right for existence.
07:42At the same time, the right of Palestine also to exist, and also as an independent state.
07:47And Iran, Israel, Tassil.
07:49India is unlikely to take any sights.
07:52Although, India's strategic interests converge with those of Israel when it comes to terror.
07:58When it comes to terror.
07:59But Iran, mind you, is not a terror state.
08:01It aids and abets terror alright.
08:03But state is not a terror state.
08:05Iran is a credible state.
08:07But the nuclear capability is something which can make the entire region fragile.
08:14India also is a nuclear power.
08:16Pakistan is a nuclear power.
08:17Israel is a nuclear power, although it is undeclared.
08:20So, in Asia, so many nuclear powers in West and South Asia coming into the spectrum is not to India's comfort as well.
08:28Therefore, India may not be very much pleased with Iran's nuclear program, although it may not comment on it.
08:35Israel, India interests converge on that point.
08:38But for that, certainly India would want the stoppage or the escalation because air traffic, oil prices, everything goes topsy-turvy.
08:47So, that is the situation when it comes to escalation between Iran and Israel.