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  • 6/10/2025
During a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing last week, Rep. Young Kim (R-CA) questioned Mark Montgomery, CCTI Senior Director and Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, about deterrence against China and Russia.
Transcript
00:00This hearing and thank you for joining us today. I want to ask my first question to Mr. Montgomery.
00:08You know, NATO's ability to deter threats from Russia depends on a robust and responsive
00:14defense industrial base. However, Europe's defense industries face critical vulnerabilities
00:19in supply chains, production capacity, and procurement strategies as highlighted by
00:26Russia's war against Ukraine. And with some NATO allies still falling short of the 2% GDP defense
00:33spending pledge, that also limits investments in modernization and readiness. So can you talk about
00:40the specific steps that NATO allies can take to address any vulnerabilities in Europe's defense
00:47industrial base, especially when it comes to critical munitions and advanced systems production?
00:53Thank you for bringing that up. And you're absolutely right. You know, as we look, as we
00:59sourced Ukraine over the last three years, 95% of the U.S., what U.S. provided was U.S. equipment,
01:07but more than 50% of what, of the Western equipment provided by the Europeans was U.S. equipment.
01:13They do not have an effective defense industrial base. I also don't believe they can properly
01:17conceive of what is needed. It took you, Congress, 40 years to build the current defense industrial
01:23base and trillions and trillions of dollars in direct investment. And the Europeans have
01:28not made those commitments. And when I hear President Macron talk about a European solution
01:33to this, the amount of money he discusses is way too low. So the truth is the Europeans
01:37going to need to rely on us for over the next decade to rearm themselves. And they're also
01:42going to need to build their own defense industrial base.
01:44We have some specific ideas as to how United States can help European allies in overcoming
01:50those shortfalls. And at the same time, we need to ensure the interoperability within
01:57our alliance.
01:57I think we should take the example we have right now with Reinmantel, a German artillery
02:03firm, which is partnered with U.S. firms so that they can scale their production properly.
02:09So what I think is joint ventures between U.S. companies and European companies that build
02:13both in the United States for jobs in the United States, but also in Europe for jobs in Europe
02:17with that European money. That is the most logical, cost-efficient way. It's not what the
02:22French are proposing. But I think long-term, that's how NATO needs to settle out.
02:26MS. Next, I want to talk about Russia and China. In your testimony, Mr. Montgomery,
02:33you made it very clear that Russia under Putin is the, in quote, single greatest threat to
02:39peace and democracy in Europe. You also noted the role that China has played in helping sustain
02:45Russia's war in Ukraine and providing dual-use technologies and economic support. So we know
02:52China is bolstering Russia's defense industry base with microelectronics, telecommunications equipment,
02:58and drone technology. So in that context, how should NATO adapt its deterrence and defense strategies
03:06so they can address the combined military and technological threats posed by Russia-China partnership?
03:11MR. No, you're exactly right. What I was saying there is that Ukraine is actually fighting four countries right now,
03:17Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran. And I would say most of us think North Korea and Iran are the next biggest problems.
03:23They're not. It's China. China's backstopping Russia's economy. They've increased their imports and exports more than 30 percent.
03:30As you said, they provided the microelectronics. They're going to KH-10 – into cruise missiles and ballistic missiles.
03:35They're striking Ukraine every night. We absolutely have to hold China accountable for its support to Ukraine.
03:42Is there specific capabilities or partnerships that NATO should prioritize to counter those threats?
03:48MR. Yeah. So I do believe it's – NATO's role in an Asia-Pacific context will be very European in nature – very economic in nature, I'm sorry.
03:57So what we need to do is start working together on how we sanction and export control China properly.
04:05And we need to get the Europeans more engaged in that and committed as we are.
04:08One more question regarding the NATO and Western Balkans.
04:12The Western Balkans is a critical region for NATO's efforts to promote stability and counter-external influence.
04:18Russia has intensified its efforts to undermine NATO and EU integration in countries like Serbia.
04:26using disinformation, economic leverage, and political interference.
04:30So what specific strategies should NATO employ to counter-Russia influence in the Western Baltics or Balkans,
04:37and particularly in Serbia, as I mentioned, and where the, you know, favorable perceptions of Russia are growing,
04:44especially, like I said, in Serbia?
04:46MR. Well, I think you're exactly right.
04:48President Putin has supported both Vucic in Serbia and Dudik in Republic Srpski.
04:54We need to fully support Kosovo in its efforts to enter the European Union and NATO.
04:59But more importantly, we need to ensure that the stabilizing force, NATO's K4 force in Kosovo,
05:05is properly manned and equipped to do its job to provide the warning that's necessary
05:09so that Washington can hold Serbia accountable for threats to Kosovo.
05:14Thank you very much.
05:14My time's up.
05:15I yield back.
05:17All right.
05:17Now, right.

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