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JD Vance Discusses Trump Administration Vision For 'Rebalancing The Global Economy Vis-A-Vis China'
Forbes Breaking News
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5/12/2025
In remarks at a Munich Security Conference event in Washington, D.C., on Monday Vice President JD Vance discussed rebalancing the global economy and trade with China.
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00:00
Great, thank you very much.
00:02
If I can just offer two footnotes to that.
00:06
I think for us, Europeans living as neighbors of Ukraine,
00:12
and if you wish also as neighbors of Russia,
00:16
we have begun to understand that what we're looking at here
00:20
is not just the defensive war by Ukraine against the Russian aggression,
00:26
it is also a confrontation that puts at risk all of European security.
00:34
In other words, it's indirectly our defense also.
00:39
It's not just Ukraine.
00:41
And this is why we're so desperately interested in seeing that this comes to an end,
00:47
hopefully, and I think the real trick for negotiations and for a conclusion of this
00:52
is going to be that it's going to be lasting and not broken in the next three, six, or nine months again.
01:01
Let me, Mr. Vice President, since we have so little time, there are so many issues.
01:06
If you allow, let me turn to another issue, China.
01:11
That's a key, as we understand, a key challenge for the United States, for your foreign policy.
01:19
It's also of tremendous interest for us in Europe.
01:23
So the United States has defined China as the key strategic challenge going forward for coming probably many years.
01:34
This has also been the justification, the reasoning, when American staff members of yours tell us
01:45
the United States must be much more present in Asia
01:49
and will therefore need to reduce their presence, their strength, et cetera, in Europe.
01:57
But now there are some signals in the media that you, that the United States government,
02:04
that the White House might actually be interested in a strategic deal with China,
02:09
maybe even including on Taiwan.
02:12
Could you talk a little bit about the China strategy of the Trump administration?
02:17
Yeah, so I haven't seen those reports that you mentioned, a strategic deal on Taiwan,
02:21
so I wouldn't speak to that.
02:23
I certainly would say that there has been no conversation between our governments about a strategic deal
02:28
on that particular question.
02:30
What we have talked about, of course, is that we cannot absorb the producer surplus of the entire world.
02:37
That has been the role of the American economy for the past 30 years.
02:41
In some cases, vis-a-vis Europe, and by the way, we don't blame, for example, the Germans
02:45
for pursuing a policy that makes their exporters strong.
02:48
We just wish that American leadership had pursued a policy that made our exporters strong,
02:52
because now we find ourselves in a very precarious place.
02:56
When I say we, I mean the entire West.
02:58
I mean the NATO alliance.
02:59
I mean the United States and Europe, which is that we become, in a world of hyper-complicated,
03:05
hyper-globalized supply chains, we find ourselves more and more reliant on countries
03:12
that may not have our best interests at heart.
03:13
And even if they're halfway decent trading partners, it's still a little bit risky to put all of your eggs
03:19
in one proverbial basket economically.
03:22
And what the president has said is we must rebalance the global economy vis-a-vis China.
03:27
We cannot absorb hundreds of billions of dollars, close to a trillion dollars per year,
03:35
an annual surplus, most of it coming from the People's Republic of China.
03:39
And what that's going to mean in the rebalancing is that we think that the PRC
03:44
is going to have to frankly let their own population consume a little bit more.
03:49
They've held consumption levels down in order to increase these massive exports.
03:54
It means that American manufacturers are going to have to be treated more fairly
03:57
in some of these global trade deals.
03:59
It means we're going to have to cut some new trade deals with some of our friends in Europe,
04:03
but also with some of our more adversarial nations.
04:06
But that also, you know, we have to be careful here because while we want to rebalance global trade,
04:13
and that has certainly been the explicit goal of our policy,
04:16
we also want to make sure that we do this in the right way.
04:19
And yes, you've seen media reports that the Chinese reached out to the United States.
04:24
Of course we're going to sit down and talk to them.
04:26
I'm not going to divulge too many details or prejudge the negotiations,
04:30
but we want to rebalance trade in the interests of American workers,
04:34
in the interests of American manufacturers.
04:36
That is our policy.
04:38
We think that we can do that while preserving at least an open dialogue with the PRC
04:43
and with a lot of other nations all over the world,
04:46
but that doesn't mean the old way of doing business is going to be stable
04:50
or that it's going to persist.
04:52
It simply cannot.
04:53
It was not sustainable 10 years ago.
04:56
It was certainly not sustainable four years ago,
04:58
and we're very, very committed to changing it.
05:00
But we're open to having conversations with both, again,
05:03
our friends and more adversarial nations about what that rebalancing ultimately looks like.
05:08
And people have to remember, you know, Liberation Day,
05:11
which was where the president announced this fundamental change,
05:16
I think, in the global trading system,
05:17
that was almost exactly 30 days ago.
05:20
So we are in the early innings of a very significant shift.
05:24
I think that shift is going to really inure to the benefit of both the United States
05:29
but also of Europe.
05:30
But it's fundamentally it has to happen,
05:33
and it's going to happen under President Trump's leadership.
05:36
All right.
05:38
I think it's great if there are beginning discussions between you and the Chinese.
05:44
Could you expand a little more on what would your expectations be
05:51
for an EU-US successful discussion of these trade issues?
05:58
Is there any message that we can take home to our friends in Brussels?
06:03
Because that's also, from our point of view, obviously a very urgent issue.
06:07
Yeah, so to put it very simply,
06:11
and we've obviously had great conversations with a lot of our European friends
06:15
at the very senior levels between, you know, the president and heads of state,
06:19
between me and officials in European governments,
06:22
but also with trade representatives
06:24
and also the very nitty-gritty technical details of a trade agreement.
06:28
So these conversations are ongoing.
06:30
But I'll throw a few general principles out there.
06:32
I think the first is that, again, America wants its exporters
06:37
and, by implication, its workers to be treated much more fairly.
06:41
We want American markets, sorry, excuse me,
06:44
in the same way that American markets have been open to a lot of European goods,
06:48
we'd like a lot of European markets to be open to American goods.
06:51
Now, there's an agriculture component to that.
06:53
There's a value-added manufacturing component to that.
06:56
We think that we have, in both the software
06:58
but also the more harder technology side,
07:00
we have some great defense technology firms
07:03
where, on the one hand, we have our European friends saying,
07:08
we want to actually build up our defense,
07:10
we want to do more burden sharing,
07:12
but on the other hand, it seems like some of our European friends
07:16
are less open for business
07:17
if the people selling software and hardware are American firms.
07:21
Well, we think that's inconsistent.
07:23
We think that we have some of the best military hardware and software in the world,
07:26
and we think part of being good allies is, yes,
07:29
we obviously want the Europeans to take a bigger role in the continental defense,
07:33
but we also think that there are a lot of great American companies that they can work with,
07:37
and so, again, this doesn't have to be a zero-sum dynamic.
07:40
This can be a very synergistic relationship,
07:42
but the fundamental principle is we think that most nations,
07:46
most nations in the world have been way too hard on American exporters and American firms.
07:52
We want to make the entire world a little bit more open to the products built by American workers.
07:57
We're obviously biased.
07:58
We think that they're the best in the world,
08:00
and we think that we can have a much better trading relationship
08:03
with a lot of our European friends
08:06
if they just drop some of those both tariff but also non-tariff trade barriers.
08:11
There are regulatory barriers.
08:13
Sometimes you have an official at the Ministry of Defense
08:16
completely disconnected, as far as we can tell,
08:19
from an actual law or regulation who will just say,
08:22
we're not buying American products.
08:24
Sometimes you have officials in Europe who will say,
08:27
well, we're going to penalize American technology firms
08:30
in a way that we would never penalize European technology firms.
08:33
We just want a little bit more fairness,
08:35
or, to use the president's favorite word, reciprocity.
08:38
And again, with Europe, we think that's a very, very easy conversation to have.
08:43
We hope our European friends agree.
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