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JWST May Have Just Detected Alien Life at Exoplanet K2-18b
Nasa Space
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4/18/2025
Reporting on whether James Webb Space Telescope May Have Just Detected Alien Life at Exoplanet K2-18b. Either we found a new chemical process we've never run across before, or we found alien life.
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00:00
It's always been murmured in slightly hushed tones in the scientific community that the
00:05
wildly successful James Webb Space Telescope has within its capability, just barely so,
00:12
the possibility to characterize exoplanet atmospheres to the level of potentially picking
00:16
up a biosignature.
00:18
Now burning down the media, we have a story of an increasingly solid case that JWST may
00:24
have actually found one, and this detection, if validated, changes everything in regards
00:30
to the question of alien life in the universe.
00:33
I do not say that lightly, this may well be our first detection of alien life.
00:39
This is in regards to the exoplanet K2 18b, which is a sub-Neptune world about 2.6 times
00:45
the radius of earth and about 8.6 times as massive and about 124 light years distant.
00:53
It's well distant enough to have never interacted with earth life, thus this would not be contamination,
00:59
but a true, separate abiogenesis.
01:02
This planet orbits within its star's habitable zone, and the planet receives a comparable
01:07
amount to earth of solar radiation from its star.
01:11
More on that in a bit, because that star is a red dwarf.
01:15
The planet is on a 33 day orbit, and interestingly was another discovery of the Kepler space telescope,
01:21
just like another candidate for alien life, Tabby's star.
01:25
The age of the star system is about 2.4 billion years.
01:29
It's worth noting that oxygen has not been detected at this exoplanet, which means that
01:34
there may not be photosynthesis there.
01:37
When earth was 2.4 billion, there was already photosynthesis occurring.
01:42
What that means will be a matter of debate as this progresses.
01:46
This exoplanet became very interesting in 2019 when water vapor was detected in its atmosphere.
01:52
That could indicate that it is an oceanic world.
01:56
Researchers using JWST found in 2023 that the planet also has carbon dioxide and methane
02:03
in the atmosphere.
02:04
Both are gases linked to life, but not solely made by life.
02:08
Not by a long shot for carbon dioxide.
02:11
There have been several different interpretations of the data as to the question of what this
02:16
world is really like, whether it's a gas planet, like Uranus or Neptune, just smaller,
02:21
or if it's an ocean planet of some sort.
02:24
If a water world, this planet is a candidate for what is called a Heischen world, a hypothesized
02:30
class of planet where you have a liquid water ocean existing in a hydrogen rich atmosphere.
02:36
Hydrogen.
02:37
Ocean.
02:38
Heischen.
02:39
Heischen worlds would be water worlds, with likely little or no land, and thus any life
02:45
on one would be aquatic in nature.
02:48
There are a number of candidates for this type of world discovered by Kepler, but K2-18b
02:53
has rocketed to the top of that list.
02:56
In 2023, JWST made a detection of a very interesting gas in the atmosphere of this world, dimethylsulfide,
03:04
which as far as anyone knows, is only produced by life.
03:08
There is a link in the description below to an Event Horizon interview I did with Dr. Niku
03:12
Madhusudan on that detection.
03:16
The problem is that the detection was very weak, leading to much skepticism in the scientific
03:20
community as to whether this detection was actually real or just noise.
03:25
The researchers at the University of Cambridge, involved, were able to get more time on JWSTs
03:31
to use a different instrument to redo the measurement and if it's valid, it's staggering.
03:36
The detection is now at the three sigma level, that's huge because it means that there is
03:41
only a 0.3% chance that this is a random fluke detection.
03:46
The detection could be one of two gases, or a combination of them both, and both are thought
03:51
to be unique to biology, dimethylsulfide and dimethyl disulfide.
03:56
Only further work will constrain which one it is, or if it's both.
04:01
What the scientific community is going to want for this discovery, however, is a five
04:05
sigma detection, because extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.
04:10
Which a five sigma detection would bring the chances of it being a fluke down to a .00006
04:17
chance.
04:19
That level would make this a robust detection.
04:22
The team believes that they can do that, with further time on JWST, which with a three
04:28
sigma detection seems very likely to happen.
04:30
It's worth noting that the measurement from 2023 was done with JWST's nearest and near-spec
04:37
instruments.
04:38
Whereas the new detection was by the MIRI instrument, which qualifies as an independent detection.
04:44
The chances are good that the observations are in fact indicating what could be a biosignature
04:49
on the sexoplanet.
04:51
But there is still some weirdness and reason for caution.
04:54
This is not a confirmed detection of alien life, and if the observations continue to hold
04:59
up, the first question scientists will ask is if the chemists can think of a way where
05:04
these gases could be produced in huge concentrations without biology.
05:08
Maybe this is some unknown chemical process we weren't aware of going on here.
05:14
One potentially weird aspect is that this planet has on the order of 20 times higher concentrations
05:19
of these gases than Earth has.
05:22
Interestingly, other theoretical work indicated that Heishin worlds with life would actually
05:27
have these high concentrations of these two gases.
05:30
It was expected.
05:32
Everything so far is consistent with a Heishin world with microbial life.
05:37
I want to stress caution as always, but this is the best candidate we've ever seen for
05:42
a detection of a biosphere outside of Earth.
05:45
If the observations hold up, then this will be difficult to knock down.
05:49
It's worth noting here that these two chemicals are linked to microbial life on Earth primarily,
05:54
specifically marine phytoplankton.
05:57
If this is indeed an inhabited ocean world, then an analog of that seems possible.
06:03
Phytoplankton are ultimately a kind of plant, which means that further observations in infrared
06:09
with much larger telescopes might allow for the detection of a vegetative red edge where
06:14
plant cells on Earth become highly reflective.
06:17
This probably is not possible with JWST, it's simply watching the exoplanet transit its star,
06:24
with the light passing through the atmosphere, and coloring it with its constituent spectra.
06:29
But in the future it may be possible to directly image the planet and look for the red edge.
06:35
But there are also problems.
06:36
One problem is that some thinking in astrobiology is that worlds larger than two earth masses
06:41
are not good candidates for life, because at some stage gravity starts getting crushing.
06:47
This may not be a problem for some microbial life, extremophiles of some sort, but it does
06:52
get to be a problem for anything more complex.
06:55
And that high gravity would make for some very calm oceans, at least on the surface, though
07:00
it's possible that there is tidal action as the planet interacts with other members
07:04
of the system.
07:06
This would be a very alien world indeed.
07:08
If you were able to stand on it, you would feel the titanic gravity.
07:11
But if you could smell these gases, the world would smell something like cooking cabbage.
07:18
And oddly the analog of life there might actually taste good, as dimethyl sulfide is a food additive
07:24
with a savory flavor.
07:25
You taste it in things like asparagus.
07:28
But you wouldn't last long in concentrations this high, because while dimethyl sulfide
07:32
is normal and present in the human body, it causes medical issues, including severe bloodborne
07:38
halitosis at high levels and other medical issues.
07:42
And whatever is producing these gases is a massive process, because dimethyl sulfide is
07:47
short lived in atmospheres.
07:50
Because whatever is doing it is replenishing it actively and on a truly huge scale.
07:56
That also ticks a box for life.
07:59
It can do that in principle.
08:01
Some other chemical process that we aren't aware of and haven't ever come across, less
08:05
so.
08:06
But now to the implications of this.
08:08
The planet, as I mentioned, orbits a red dwarf.
08:11
This would be huge news if indeed this is a biosphere detection.
08:16
Because the question of red dwarf's inhabitability has been raging back and forth for years.
08:22
The argument against it is that red dwarfs, when they are young, are flare stars, meaning
08:27
that they would seemingly strip off the atmospheres of their habitable zone planets early on.
08:32
Because the habitable zone is so close in to the star.
08:36
So far, the JWST work with the TRAPPIST-1 system has borne this out.
08:41
The two innermost planets appear to have no atmospheres.
08:44
K2-18b does.
08:47
Other work suggested that the stellar physics of red dwarfs is such that they do not flare
08:51
through equators, meaning that the flares never hit their planets, which makes them
08:55
completely viable for life.
08:58
If this detection is valid and life remains the simplest explanation, then that changes the
09:03
landscape and answers the question.
09:06
The most numerous type of star by far, 73% for the Milky Way, in the universe is indeed
09:12
habitable, and 80% of them are believed to have habitable zone exoplanets.
09:18
And that we saw life just 124 light years away, coupled with red dwarf habitability, would strongly
09:25
imply that the entire universe teems with microbial life at least.
09:30
This detection probably does not hold the potential for intelligent alien life.
09:35
If it holds up, then life on earth is not alone.
09:38
But then comes the sad part, if all this holds.
09:41
High gravity planets like this are probably not good candidates for civilizations, and that's
09:45
a good thing on two counts.
09:47
The first is that they would be stuck.
09:49
It's unlikely that chemical rockets or any easy means could launch from this world.
09:54
They very likely would have no way to perform space travel.
09:58
Which means no satellites, and so on, which would greatly hamper their development.
10:03
If they could develop at all in that kind of gravity.
10:06
But there is a bigger problem.
10:07
Heishen worlds like K2-18b might be, are thought to be exclusively oceanic worlds.
10:16
If this holds for lower gravity planets, then any complex life there would be locked in a
10:20
very deep ocean.
10:22
And most, not all, ocean life on earth exists near the surface.
10:28
Any intelligence there would be locked in their ocean with no method of smelting metal.
10:34
If the majority of inhabited planets in the universe are large Heishen worlds, then there
10:39
is the solution to the Fermi paradox.
10:42
Intelligent life that can leave its planet is simply very, very rare.
10:46
That's a sad universe to envision indeed, because if we ever spread out into the stars and start
10:51
colonizing exoplanets, then we will probably be doing a lot of rescue work when we come
10:56
across locked in intelligences.
10:59
We will be the uplifters that rescue the Milky Way's intelligences, providing we can
11:03
figure out a way to get them off their planet.
11:06
Another odd effect of this would be that if this planet is fully oceanic, then that suggests
11:11
that abiogenesis can indeed happen at oceanic hydrothermal vents.
11:17
Yet research on earth was starting to point to hot springs in a volcanic environment on land.
11:23
That might mean that abiogenesis actually has two ways to happen, again bolstering the
11:27
case that microbial life is everywhere.
11:30
And with a separate abiogenesis detection, it implies that abiogenesis is not complicated
11:36
however it happens.
11:38
So there you have it, this may, just may be it, and we are very close to the ability to
11:44
confirm the first detection of alien life.
11:47
If it gets shot down, we still learn something new about how these gases can form, and how
11:52
it is they can end up in the atmosphere of exoplanets like this.
11:56
If this is proven, it's likely this will result in Nobel Prizes and reinforce the glory of
12:02
the James Webb Space Telescope.
12:04
But I leave you with this, if K-1218b turns out to not be a Haitian terrestrial type world,
12:11
and indeed is a sub-Neptune gas planet, the detection of these gases gets very strange indeed,
12:18
because that constrains the possible non-biological chemistry option.
12:23
It removes the geology from the equation, in which case,
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