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More market chaos could come in hot this week
Insider
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4/9/2025
For weeks the main focus for investors has been how Trump's wide reaching tariffs will impact economic growth, fearing a recession.
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00:00
For weeks, the main focus for investors has been how Donald Trump's wide-reaching tariffs
00:05
will impact global economic growth, with fears mounting that recession could strike.
00:10
That narrative just got its latest big development.
00:12
Wild swings in the market continued on Wednesday as the global trade war was largely put on hold.
00:18
After opening lower, the S&P 500 quickly reversed and ultimately spiked more than 7%
00:24
after President Trump paused tariff hikes on non-retaliating countries.
00:28
The inflation report at 8.30 a.m. Eastern on April 10th will be the next major input for the stock market.
00:34
Here are a couple of likely scenarios.
00:36
If inflation comes in cooler than expected, this would be a positive for the prospect of rate cuts,
00:41
which would stimulate the economy. This would likely elicit a positive reaction.
00:45
If inflation comes in hot, this would hamstring the Fed's ability to cut interest rates,
00:50
further adding to economic growth concerns and worries that the central bank's hands are tied.
00:55
This would likely be stocks negative.
00:57
After the dust settles on the inflation report,
01:00
Trump's guidance on tariffs will be key going forward.
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