Kentucky and Missouri's NCAA Tournament Odds Analyzed

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00:00Hey, but I really believe that the loser of Kentucky, Missouri,

00:05I could very definitively tell you is not winning the NCAA

00:10tournament. Now maybe people will feel like neither one of

00:13these teams is going to ultimately cut down the nets.

00:15And certainly the market would reflect that. But we all like to

00:17take our long shots. We're trying to figure out our

00:19brackets who can make final four runs this that and the third

00:23Missouri loses, it's kind of obvious that that that they

00:25wouldn't qualify, it would be a third straight loss for within

00:29their last five games. And the losses is not necessarily as if

00:32it's been Auburn, and A&M, it's Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, and

00:36Arkansas, they cannot win on the road right now, Missouri. For

00:40Kentucky, it's that it's been a while since this team has won

00:43consecutive games. And a loss to Auburn at home is tough, no

00:47doubt. But the way that they respond against LSU was big,

00:50that was their most dominant victory yet. And I think if

00:53Kentucky is going to be the real deal, at a minimum, Joe, they

00:57need to hang the whole way against the Mizzou team that is

01:01now laying nearly double what it was at open. I've seen six and a

01:06half in the market. Yeah, it's something that we don't know

01:09about. Because this line opened up at four and a half. And it's

01:12up to six and a half two points of movement on Missouri. I

01:15understand that Missouri is a very good home team. And to your

01:18point, they can't win on the road. And that's why I don't

01:19like them actually big picture in the tournament. You're

01:22talking about a team that has lost three of the last four now

01:25some of them have come at home, right? They shot 29% against

01:28Oklahoma from three, they've lost three of the last four

01:31games by an average margin of defeat of 7.6 points per game.

01:35On the flip side, you talk about the dominating performance by

01:38Kentucky, they have struggles, they've only won one of the last

01:41four road games, they lost the three games by an average margin

01:45of defeat of 10.3 points per game. But away with a big

01:48performance against LSU with 24 points. I think that carries on.

01:52I just think Kentucky, whether you like them or not, is just

01:56more athletic to Missouri and can hang in within six and a

01:59half today. Yeah, I

02:01was initially going to leave this game alone, a lean to

02:05Kentucky, but it is four and a half, six and a half a lot. I

02:08mean, you're you're now talking over two possessions. That is a

02:12big move. I cannot imagine that this would get up seven. The six

02:16and a half, by the way, is not

02:19five and a half. There's one five and a half left, though.

02:22Six and a half is becoming the number pretty much anywhere that

02:25you look on this game. I want to just throw something at you

02:28quickly here, Joe, before we kind of move over to get into

02:30some of the battles within the Big 12. But Tennessee today,

02:33just because we've talked a lot of the one line, we'll get to

02:36Florida Ole Miss, but Tennessee length 15 and a half, South

02:39Carolina. What are your thoughts there?

02:42Well, they've won four straight home games by eight points per

02:44game. But again, I don't think they're going to take South

02:46Carolina seriously. And South Carolina playing a little bit

02:49better. Now they've gotten two conference wins over the last

02:52four weeks. I think they definitely covered the 15 and a

02:55half. It's an ugly type of game. I just seen too many times

02:59Tennessee on the road at home played down to mediocre

03:02competition. And lane 15 and a half is just way too much for

03:06me.

03:06I want to see how some of those Kai Ziegler numbers check in

03:10coming off of an eight point game against Ole Miss where he

03:13was two of nine from the floor. I'm sure he'll kind of take

03:16some of the brunt of that loss on his inefficient shooting.

03:19Only the second time in SEC play, he has not scored double

03:23digits so could be a bounce back spot there for Ziegler.

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