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Watch Nidhi Razdan: 5 takeaways from India results
Gulf News
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2/17/2025
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00:00
The results of the state elections are in, and here are my big takeaways. First, that
00:10
as far as the 2024 Lok Sabha elections are concerned, Prime Minister Modi and the BJP
00:15
are clearly far ahead, and it looks like they will come back for a third term. If you look
00:20
at the Madhya Pradesh elections in particular, it's quite remarkable that the BJP has come
00:24
back, beating almost 20 years of incumbency. It's a historic victory for Shivraj Chauhan
00:31
and for the BJP leadership. The second big takeaway is that these results are a huge
00:36
blow to the opposition India alliance and to the Congress, barring the Congress party's
00:40
performance in Telangana, where it has won big. Now, if you look at the Congress in particular,
00:47
it seems that the party got both arrogant and complacent after its win in Karnataka
00:51
earlier this year. Party leaders were sure that they were going to retain Shaktisgarh
00:56
and that they were going to win Madhya Pradesh back from the BJP. The opposite has happened.
01:01
The India Alliance in the process has also suffered in the last few months. They haven't
01:05
met since the end of August. And on the day of the election results, suddenly Congress
01:10
President Malik Arjun Kharge called up India Alliance leaders asking for a meeting next
01:15
week. What these results will do now is to really reduce the Congress's bargaining power
01:21
within the India bloc. That will be relief to some of their allies, but bad news certainly
01:26
for the Congress party. The third thing is, as far as issues are concerned, because it's
01:31
clear that the caste censors, the issue of attacking Gautam Adani's links with Mr. Modi,
01:38
these really didn't resonate with voters for the opposition. And that will be something
01:43
of a worry as we head into the Lok Sabha elections for the opposition camp, because they've really
01:47
been banking on the OBC vote and on the need for a caste census as being key in attracting
01:54
voters to the opposition bloc. The fact that this hasn't worked at the state level right
01:58
now is something that they will need to recalibrate. Then there is also the fact that as far as
02:06
the BJP is concerned, its election machinery and organization is clearly way, way superior
02:11
to that of the Congress party. The party, despite facing incumbency, for example, in
02:16
Madhya Pradesh for so many years, was able to convince people of a pro-incumbency narrative.
02:22
And even though there was voter fatigue with Shivraj Singh Chauhan and his four terms as
02:26
chief minister at the beginning of the campaign, the party was also flexible enough to give
02:31
him credit and to bring him back into the campaign fold as things went on, when they
02:36
realized that actually a lot of his schemes that were directed towards women were actually
02:41
very popular and resonating with people. These are some of the takeaways that I see
02:47
in the immediate aftermath of these election results. Still a lot to analyze over the next
02:51
few days and weeks. We'll be doing that as we go along.
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