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Analysis: Trump Targeting Taiwan’s Chips Dangerous for Taiwan, U.S. Businesses
TaiwanPlus News
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2/14/2025
As the United States reportedly moves to ask Taiwan's chip giant TSMC to open a joint venture with Intel or face tariffs, Neumonda COO Marco Mezger warns of the potential downsides ahead for businesses in both countries.
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00:00
The United States is reportedly asking TSMC and Intel to start a joint venture or TSMC
00:08
face tariffs for their semiconductors.
00:11
What is your opinion about this reporting?
00:14
I think when I heard the first time about the potential tariffs on TSMC, I was actually
00:19
quite surprised because I think we need to understand when you put the tariffs on, you
00:25
know, and I think they said it on a broader base on semiconductor, but you need to divide.
00:30
So you basically you have chips, you have kind of subsystem and you have computing systems.
00:38
And so it has not been really clear what is exactly targeted.
00:42
But one thing what I can tell you, all three would affect American companies to a quite
00:48
big extent.
00:50
We are talking now about roundabout 50, 55 billion U.S. dollars, which could be affected.
00:56
So it's not clear what the Trump administration wants to put the tariffs on, pure chips, modules
01:03
or full systems.
01:05
And because these semiconductors are so vital to the economy and everyday technology, ultimately
01:12
North American businesses will still need these semiconductors.
01:17
So what can TSMC do in the instance of tariffs?
01:21
Will they pass the cost down to consumers?
01:24
I think they will pass the tariffs down to the consumers.
01:28
They cannot suck this up.
01:30
So I think the point is, like, if there are tariffs which will be imposed, the end customer
01:36
is normally the ones who has to pay the bill.
01:39
And especially, you know, if there are no alternative to produce, and I have to say
01:45
on large scale in the USA.
01:47
So USA with the TSMC perhaps with the committed investment, which have been also attracted
01:53
by the CHIPS Act from the USA.
01:56
Now, recent reports basically say that the Trump administration potentially might also
02:05
change some of the regulations looking forward, but potentially also backward.
02:11
And I think this would be a bad sign.
02:13
Because I think if companies make this decision based on a government statement, they rely
02:19
on this because without these incentives, they probably would not have decided to build
02:25
up a factory there.
02:27
Because it's higher cost, higher labor cost.
02:29
TSMC will not be the only company affected by these proposed tariffs.
02:35
There are other smaller but still vital semiconductor manufacturers in Taiwan.
02:41
How would these other companies who do not have the weight that TSMC does react?
02:45
I mean, these companies, I really feel sorry for them.
02:49
Because you are talking about companies, they have major process nodes.
02:52
I mean, there I would use the term major process nodes about 20 nanometer, 25, 30 nanometer,
02:59
which is which is used here, you have on another front, extreme competition from China, because
03:06
China has no access to the newest cutting edge technology.
03:10
As you know, they cannot get UV technology.
03:13
But they find a way, for example, for DUV technology.
03:17
Now when the Taiwanese companies now, in addition to this, are also faced with additional tariffs,
03:26
you know, moving to the USA or serving US customers, I think it's a lot of pressure
03:32
for them.
03:33
It's a huge challenge.
03:34
I cannot imagine that it would make so much sense, you know, to to build up major process
03:42
node factories in the USA on large scale.
03:46
Not only because of the questioning, you know, of the just focusing on this in the USA, but
03:52
also knowing how much capacity has been built up the last three years in China.
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