Delhi Exit Poll 2025: BJP's Stunning Comeback, AAP Faces Major Setback | Oneindia News - video Dailymotion

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In a surprising turn of events, exit polls for the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections show BJP poised for a remarkable comeback, with projections of 42-50 seats in the poll of polls. AAP, once dominant, faces a rude shock with just 21-29 seats predicted. Join Keshav Karna and Pankaj Mishra from OneIndia as they break down the numbers and analyse how BJP's resurgence has shaken the political landscape of Delhi.     #DelhiElections #ExitPoll2025 #BJP #AAP #ElectionAnalysis #OneIndia #PollOfPolls #DelhiPolitics #Oneindia

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00:00Well, the poll battle is over and the market of speculation is soaring up and we have the

00:08initial, the starting data of exit poll agencies.

00:12Let us see what is there for the political parties fighting the battle in Delhi.

00:20Let us start with Metris.

00:22We have seen the data of Metris earlier as well.

00:24Metris has given 32-37 seats to AAP, 35-40 seats to BJP, 0-1 seats to Congress and no

00:34seats to others.

00:37After Metris, a new agency is joined by People's Pulse.

00:41Our partner Pankaj will tell you.

00:43People's Pulse, if you would take a closer look here, 10-19 seats.

00:47I would say that they are proving to be insufficient.

00:52You have got very few seats here.

00:55BJP has got 51-60, unprecedented numbers which were expected from AAP till last year.

01:03And then Congress has got 0 seats.

01:05Keshav, you were saying, how did People's Pulse achieve this number?

01:08Yes, absolutely.

01:09Analysts are working in our back-end.

01:12They have told us an equation.

01:15We were discussing how it can be possible.

01:18How can it be a 360-degree turn?

01:21Last time, BJP was at AAP.

01:26How can it be a 360-degree turn?

01:29Pankaj, it is a mathematical equation.

01:31And it is very interesting.

01:33Right now, BJP's vote share is 39% in Delhi.

01:44And AAP's vote share is 54%.

01:48And Congress' vote share is only 4%.

01:52Still, 2% is left.

01:54How can these numbers be true?

01:58In this, AAP's vote share fell.

02:01BJP and Congress' vote share increased.

02:05Only then these numbers are possible.

02:07Now, how much did it increase?

02:08BJP's vote share increased from 39% to 44%.

02:14It increased a lot.

02:16It increased from 39% to 44%.

02:19And AAP's vote share fell below 40%.

02:24AAP's vote share fell below 40%.

02:28But till now, AAP's vote share is 54%.

02:32It should fall below 40%.

02:34Okay.

02:36Now, Congress' vote share is 4%.

02:40If it increases to more than 15%,

02:43then these numbers will be possible.

02:45Now, Pankaj...

02:46But here, in seat share...

02:48That's the question.

02:49That's what we were discussing last time.

02:51In case Congress is improving its vote share,

02:58then where are the seats in their account?

03:00Absolutely.

03:01The number of seats is not the same.

03:02If you look at it,

03:03there is not much difference between others and Congress.

03:06Times of Navbharat is an addition.

03:08JVC has given two seats.

03:10If we consider Alka Lamba and Sandeep Dixit's seats,

03:14then too, there won't be much difference.

03:17Yes, there can be a difference in this situation.

03:20If we see a mixed verdict here.

03:23So, Pankaj, if I follow my instinct,

03:27I think the numbers of Metris,

03:29in the final result, we can see something like this.

03:32This data of People's Pulse,

03:34I don't know which People's Pulse they have checked.

03:37Because Aam Aadmi Party will fall below 40%.

03:40In Delhi, what we have covered so far,

03:42and we have gone together many times,

03:45then such a situation is not visible

03:47that 40 out of 100 people should not vote for Aam Aadmi Party.

03:50I am not disclosing here what is in Delhi's heart.

03:53Keshav, very quickly,

03:54these numbers are on our screen for you.

03:56I would like to tell you the number of PMAR.

03:59In PMAR, Aam Aadmi Party is at 21-31,

04:02BJP is at 39-49,

04:04Congress' account is at 0-1,

04:06and there is no place for others in the Delhi Vidhan Samha.

04:09I think Congress is also treating like others.

04:12Their account will open or not,

04:14it cannot be said.

04:16Absolutely.

04:17We will come to Poll of Polls,

04:19but for the time being,

04:20Navbharat, JVC, 22-31,

04:22Aam Aadmi Party, 49-45.

04:24Keshav, I would like to discuss this whole belt with you,

04:28very quickly.

04:29See, the people of Delhi,

04:31first of all, they have got used to it,

04:34and they have seen Aam Aadmi Party working.

04:37And many people also vote in an emotive way.

04:40Delhi is the Delhi of Dilwale,

04:42they work with their heart.

04:43Along with Arvind Kejriwal,

04:44many leaders of Aam Aadmi Party

04:46were first pushed to jail,

04:48they were even released.

04:49Still, many accusations were put on them,

04:52they were thrown out of the house.

04:54What do you think,

04:56BJP must have done such a turnaround?

04:59It has never happened even in power.

05:01Definitely, Pankaj.

05:02I am rounding up some numbers here.

05:05See these numbers,

05:0635-40,

05:0839-49,

05:1039-45.

05:12Yes.

05:13These are still believable.

05:15But what is coming,

05:1751-60,

05:20wildest dream,

05:21I cannot think about this number.

05:23I was saying,

05:24is it more loyal than the king?

05:25Definitely.

05:26To bring it closer to BJP.

05:28Yes, definitely.

05:29And see, Pankaj,

05:31Aam Aadmi Party has a face,

05:33Arvind Kejriwal.

05:34Yes.

05:35They have Jan Kalyan Gadi Yojana,

05:38you can turn those Yojanas into anything,

05:40you can call them freebies,

05:42you can call them freebies,

05:43you can call them freebies,

05:44you can call them freebies,

05:45you can call them freebies,

05:46you can call them freebies,

05:47you can call them freebies,

05:48after that,

05:49all the things,

05:51Yes, infrastructure,

05:52the Delhi Government has been in question,

05:54so I can agree that

05:55the number of matrices,

05:57it can be plus or minus 5 or above.

06:00Can be close to this.

06:01It can.

06:02But I don't think

06:04that such things have happened,

06:05such a miraculous event has not happened

06:06in this election,

06:07which would turn the tide.

06:09BJP so much.

06:10And you talked about the Chief Minister face,

06:11BJP has not even announced that yet.

06:12It has not been announced.

06:13And if the Aam Aadmi Party

06:15has anti-incumbency,

06:17There is an anti-incumbency obviously after 10 years of governance, but yes, the support

06:32of the people, that is also there because of the political drama that we have seen,

06:37not recently, but from the days of Lok Sabha elections.

06:41We'll be back with more analysis.

06:43Thanks for watching.

06:44Don't miss out.

06:45Log on to OneIndia.com for more updates.

Delhi Exit Poll 2025: BJP's Stunning Comeback, AAP Faces Major Setback | Oneindia News

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