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Analyzing Game Stats: Darnold vs. Stafford Showdown
SportsGrid
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1/13/2025
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Sports
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00:00
all these steps along the way. So regardless of that, let's actually get into the details of this
00:04
game. Again, 47.5 overrunner, two and a half points spread in favor of the road vikings. When it comes
00:10
to the head-to-head stuff for the different quarterbacks, it's Sam Darnold, 264.5, Matt
00:16
Stafford, 242.5 when it comes to their yards. I have a large interest in Sam Darnold over
00:25
33.5 passing attempts. That is sitting at minus 128. It also correlates with some of my other
00:33
plays, which would be Aaron Jones under 14.5 rushing attempts. What we saw from the vikings
00:41
last week is not an accurate description of what we saw from them for the majority of the season.
00:51
And what we saw from Sam Darnold to close out the regular season versus the lions
00:56
isn't an accurate description of what we saw from him throughout the entirety of the regular season.
01:02
So complete inefficiency from Sam Darnold last week, 18 of 41, no passing touchdowns,
01:11
only 166 yards. This is all bad, bad stuff. So I have the most interest in his attempts,
01:17
but I also have interest in when it comes to his completions. And that's also kind of
01:21
correlated with the fact that I just don't think Aaron Jones could be running the ball
01:24
at a super high rate. When we look back at over his game log, yes, he had the 41 attempts last
01:29
week versus Detroit, but he had 43, 35, 40, 28, 31, 34, 32, 38, 34. So he's getting there,
01:38
not every game, but the majority of the games he's getting there. I also have interest in the
01:42
completions because they're coming off this game where he went 18 of 41. So if I don't think Aaron
01:48
Jones would be able to move the ball on the ground, Sam Darnold, A, because they just need
01:52
to build his confidence coming off of this ugly loss to the lions, they need to get out there and
01:57
just pick up the easy completions and pick up first downs. Move the ball, get points on the
02:03
board, pick up these easy completions and continue to move the ball. So the attempts for Sam Darnold
02:10
are my favorite. You could make the argument for the completions again that it's a little bit
02:14
riskier just in terms of what needs to be accomplished for him to reach, you know,
02:19
cashing that prop. So 33 and a half attempts is my favorite for Sam Darnold. You could certainly
02:24
go to the 22 and a half. It is juiced at minus 140 to the over. So keep that in mind.
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