Analyzing Game Stats: Darnold vs. Stafford Showdown

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00:00all these steps along the way. So regardless of that, let's actually get into the details of this

00:04game. Again, 47.5 overrunner, two and a half points spread in favor of the road vikings. When it comes

00:10to the head-to-head stuff for the different quarterbacks, it's Sam Darnold, 264.5, Matt

00:16Stafford, 242.5 when it comes to their yards. I have a large interest in Sam Darnold over

00:2533.5 passing attempts. That is sitting at minus 128. It also correlates with some of my other

00:33plays, which would be Aaron Jones under 14.5 rushing attempts. What we saw from the vikings

00:41last week is not an accurate description of what we saw from them for the majority of the season.

00:51And what we saw from Sam Darnold to close out the regular season versus the lions

00:56isn't an accurate description of what we saw from him throughout the entirety of the regular season.

01:02So complete inefficiency from Sam Darnold last week, 18 of 41, no passing touchdowns,

01:11only 166 yards. This is all bad, bad stuff. So I have the most interest in his attempts,

01:17but I also have interest in when it comes to his completions. And that's also kind of

01:21correlated with the fact that I just don't think Aaron Jones could be running the ball

01:24at a super high rate. When we look back at over his game log, yes, he had the 41 attempts last

01:29week versus Detroit, but he had 43, 35, 40, 28, 31, 34, 32, 38, 34. So he's getting there,

01:38not every game, but the majority of the games he's getting there. I also have interest in the

01:42completions because they're coming off this game where he went 18 of 41. So if I don't think Aaron

01:48Jones would be able to move the ball on the ground, Sam Darnold, A, because they just need

01:52to build his confidence coming off of this ugly loss to the lions, they need to get out there and

01:57just pick up the easy completions and pick up first downs. Move the ball, get points on the

02:03board, pick up these easy completions and continue to move the ball. So the attempts for Sam Darnold

02:10are my favorite. You could make the argument for the completions again that it's a little bit

02:14riskier just in terms of what needs to be accomplished for him to reach, you know,

02:19cashing that prop. So 33 and a half attempts is my favorite for Sam Darnold. You could certainly

02:24go to the 22 and a half. It is juiced at minus 140 to the over. So keep that in mind.