Analyzing Game Strategy: George Pickens' Key Role for PIT

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00:00This game you have a much clearer prop menu though, which is nice and probably my favorite prop on the board today

00:06Is gonna come from this one George Pickens for a 30-plus yard reception

00:10He said this in every single game with Ross as his quarterback to me. I don't listen. I know everybody loves their incentives

00:17I like to try and make my own because I just don't feel like jumping on the incentive train if I can avoid it

00:22Picking things a hundred yards for a thousand yard season

00:25I just imagine that that matters to guys and I

00:28Also think that you look at George Pickens going up against his Cincinnati defense and he probably sees food quite frankly there

00:35I think George Pickens is in for a good day

00:37But I think that means he he does what he always does and connects on a deep shot with Russell Wilson Joe

00:43Yeah, it's a great look. I love him over the 67 and a half first game that they played

00:47He wasn't really that much of a factor. It was the secondary

00:50Wide receivers that got involved in Russ, you know

00:53Even though Pickens ate in that matchup didn't eat like Jamar chase and T Higgins on the other side

00:58So I'm expecting them to step up playing at home

01:01Also like Najee Harris in regards to the screen game seven and a half is his receiving total in this matchup

01:07I think he has life on

01:09Cincinnati side gets icky 29 and a half. He's coming off a performance 12 targets

01:14I believe he had 10 receptions for 86 yards last week against Denver

01:19I know Higgins is the main target along with chase, but give me gets icky to potentially get 40 or 50 plus Donnie

01:25Yeah, and also if sack prop wise if you're looking from that direction for the Steelers

01:28I don't think you can go wrong with a couple players because the one thing we know about Cincinnati is chase Brown isn't healthy in

01:32This football game. He's not getting 20 carries

01:34I'm just gonna have to hand that off to the backup running backs

01:36Maybe even more passing for Joe Burrow, but if we do focus on the Pittsburgh Steelers

01:40I think you're right on the longest catch and also Joe the usage rate for George Pickens. These aren't X's and O's

01:45This is we haven't played good football. My best wide receiver is furious at this football team

01:50So what do we do in this game two targets 21 yards?

01:53And he maybe doesn't even show up next week in the playoffs

01:55You need to get him going which means he will be a catalyst for that offense

01:59Which I love now counterpoint for me at the running back position for the Steelers. I love Jalen Warren

02:03It's apparent and you started to see it last year

02:05Sometimes Jalen Warren gets nicked up a little bit and I G Harris is always there

02:09Pittsburgh Steelers mentality give it to the big guy give it to him a lot

02:12But at the same time you're watching the evolution of Jalen Warren is the more explosive back and you're going up against a bad defense

02:18But also a good offense, which means if you're going back in a shootout today

02:21And I don't mean 35 35 in the fourth quarter

02:24But each team moving the football Warren's gonna get those extra possessions and extra chances to run the football

02:29I like I'm going over 39 and a half yards today and also as a pass catcher himself

02:33I believe it's back-to-back weeks five catches because they're in games that they're not winning or it not ahead where Nadja would get to 16

02:3917 or 18 carries. It's a fun game to try to handicap, but I agree on a lot of spots here with Pittsburgh

02:44That's a bad defense. You need to get going. It starts with pickings and it ends with the running backs

02:49Yeah, I just I think it's gonna be very interesting to see though if you are Pittsburgh again

02:54The win is is there any usage management at all in this football game? That's why I backed off the running backs

03:01I think you you make great points Donny

03:03But that kind of confused things a little bit on the running back position

03:06Just if we do get chase Brown out, which by the way, he looked at six score calm

03:10Certainly, but I don't think those guys if I'm reading correctly, I don't want to speak on that rabbit

03:14We're reading correctly. They don't seem to think chase Brown's gonna be playing in this one here

03:18Full gas Khalil Herbert. I mean, can you you know you the the number?

03:23Books most often feel confident hanging is a touchdown price because there isn't a no so they can't kind of get wrapped around on it

03:30So the chase Brown numbers up there plus 120 they put the Herbert number up at the same exact price Donnie

03:35you think Khalil Herbert is

03:38Just kind of copy-paste style for chase Brown. Yes. I do because again, we're not functioning on how many carries

03:45Will he get in the football game? You know, you have to throw the football lot

03:47Yeah, that's the way you beat the Steelers

03:48But understand this

03:5013 goal from the one Joe Burrow was probably not going to quarterback sneak that in you're going to be handing that football off and it's

03:56Going to be clear Herbert because by the way pretty good short distance running back in Chicago as well Joe

04:00Yeah, I mean Khalil Herbert played in Chicago cold weather

04:03He's very good coming out of the backfield as well in terms of catching the football screen game

04:08Could duplicate what chase Brown has done a little bit slower than chase Brown

04:12So you're not gonna get those chunk type of plays he it takes more time to develop

04:16But again, they have intact a number on him if he's in the area of let's say forty four and a half

04:22Fifty that might be a pretty good look

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