Analyzing NFL Matchups: Pitts vs. Ferguson Strategy

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00:00Here, the Bucs secondary is a topic of discussion and allows for some underneath stuff here.

00:09Jake Ferguson for Dallas here, could be in play.

00:12Or is it Kyle Pitts?

00:13Now, Michael Penix will be under center.

00:14We know with young quarterbacks, they'll often look at a nice little safety valve.

00:17Could Pitts be that guy here against the Giants?

00:20Joe Ferguson or Pitts, what says you?

00:22Man, there is a morbid curiosity that makes me want to say Pitts because young quarterbacks

00:27typically check down real quick, look for the tight ends, look for the quick outlet

00:31passes.

00:32So that's where Kyle Pitts could shine, especially against the New York Giants.

00:34I think Ferguson's the safer play against the Tampa secondary.

00:37Tampa's a team you could throw on and Cooper Rush has had some decent moments there.

00:41So because we're in the playoffs and because I don't want to get shut out here, I'm going

00:46to just try to play it safe here with Ferguson, take my maybe underwhelming floor because

00:52the downside of Kyle Pitts is a much lower floor because I really, none of us know what

00:57the Penix start's going to look like.

00:58A couple preseason snaps is not enough to go on here for us to see what Michael Penix

01:03looks like in week 16 in the NFL.

01:05So intrigued, definitely excited to see what Kyle Pitts might be with Michael Penix.

01:12But at the end of the day, I'm going to lead towards Ferguson in the matchup there too.

01:14Just can't do it yet.

01:16All right.

01:17Moving on here.

01:18A quarterback question.

01:19Tua against San Francisco or is it Matthew Stafford at the Jets?

01:23This has to be a set up question here because I mean, the lean is extreme for me and I know

01:28I see Joe's evil smile when we're talking about the Jets, but it's a cold day here.

01:32It's a cold day in New York, Joe, but what do you got?

01:35It is.

01:36Look, Tua is higher ranked and I understand that.

01:39Waddle is out.

01:40San Francisco is a team that's kind of clinging on there, but you know, just something about

01:46Matthew Stafford with something on the line that I want to go there.

01:49I want to go with Matthew Stafford, knowing that the playoffs are close.

01:53Matthew Stafford's time in the league, I think, is borrowed right now.

01:57I know last week was so bad.

01:59He has been up and down.

02:01He has had just a run through the last couple of weeks, QB20, then QB5, QB8, QB22, QB9,

02:07QB26.

02:08So it's a lot of up and down.

02:11If you are afraid of the variants, I understand, and Tua at home is the safer play.

02:17So I think right now, if you are a team that has withstood some of the early games and

02:22you have Tua, you just play Tua.

02:24You take the points and you make it simple.

02:27But if you're playing from behind, I think it's intriguing to take a look at Matthew

02:31Stafford and what he might be able to do because that Jet secondary just has not played very

02:34well.

02:35They've given up points to Matt Jones.

02:36They've given up points all over the place.

02:38I just have a feeling here that Matthew Stafford, with something to play for, is going to be

02:41dangerous and you're not going to get goose egg back-to-back weeks from Cooper Cup.

02:44I just don't see that happening.

02:45The problem is everybody is shaking out of their memory what they last saw of Matthew

02:50Stafford, and I get that.

02:51So Tua is the safe play.

02:52I think Stafford is the upside swing.

02:54All right, continuing on here.

02:57Oh, I love this one.

02:58This is great.

02:59Okay.

03:00Bryce Young has Arizona, or Michael Penix has the Giants here.

03:04So this is a great start-sit question.

03:06Now, for me, it's Young kind of is the devil I know, dare I say, and it's the devil I don't,

03:12but I am excited to see the devil I don't.

03:16So isn't that what the devil is supposed to do?

03:17He is the spirit of temptation.

03:18Joe, take it away.

03:21Once again, I think this is a floor-ceiling kind of thing.

03:23So in Superflex Leagues, if you're looking at a situation where you're in a good spot,

03:27you play Bryce Young, you take your points and get out because there's variance here

03:30with Penix.

03:31It could be great.

03:32It could be terrible.

03:33We don't know.

03:35If you are from behind already and you're in a spot where you're playing against Lamar

03:39Jackson and he's already crushing you and you're looking around, you're like, man, this

03:43is not a good situation for me right now, Penix is the big swing.

03:47That's the home-run swing because maybe he just shows up there against the Giants at

03:50home and just starts throwing 30, 40-yard passes all over the place.

03:55The next thing you know, we're all very excited and he has some rushing mobility too.

03:59But let's not pretend like Bryce Young hasn't been better because he has.

04:03He has been much better.

04:04He's at home.

04:05The Cardinals are a team that's reeling a little bit.

04:06So again, Penix is the home-run swing.

04:09I'll take the points and get out, try to get to the finals because the variance of Penix

04:14is huge.

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