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Apa Saja Saham Potensial Secara Teknikal di Akhir Tahun?
IDXchannel
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12/18/2024
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Market Buzz, Rabu (18/12/2024) dengan tema Apa Saja Saham Potensial Secara Teknikal di Akhir Tahun?"
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00:00
Game Plus Arcade is available only on RCT Plus Super App. Play it now!
00:05
Let's go to the highlight emitter, viewers. We are waiting for some news about the emitter.
00:09
Among them, there is Sido Muncul who prepared a capex of up to 170 billion rupiah in 2025.
00:16
Then there is the emitter Prajokopangestu Petrosi or PTRO Stock Split with a ratio of 1 to 10.
00:22
There is Roda VivaTex or RDTX with Interim Dividend of 40.58 billion rupiah.
00:28
Next, let's see the agenda of the Global Economy.
00:32
There is a raw oil inventory from the United States, Consumer Price Index from the European Union,
00:37
Consumer Price Index from the UK, Trade King from Japan, and some other global economy agendas.
00:48
Let's take a look at the emitter agendas.
00:52
Among them, there is RUPS, quite a lot of RUPS, starting from HATM, then there is also KKGI,
01:01
then there is IATA, and VIVA, and a number of other stocks.
01:07
Meanwhile, for the current dividend, there is RELLF, IDEA, POWR, and WIKA,
01:14
and there is the Call Option Obligation with the continuation of the first stage,
01:18
and BAYEN, Ex-Dividend-to-Night Interim.
01:22
An update from the Asian Stock Exchange that can be a reference,
01:25
such as the opening of trade in the IASG or the Indonesian Stock Exchange,
01:29
Nikkei Japan fell 0.57%,
01:32
Street Time Singapore fell 0.2%,
01:35
KOSPI South Korea was anomalous with an increase of 0.77%,
01:40
and Hang Seng Hong Kong fell 0.48%.
01:56
Now, this time we will discuss the dividend related to the analysis of potential mutual funds in a technical way,
02:02
at the end of the year, together with Mr. Angelo Michiel, CEO of AMTA.
02:05
Good morning, Mr. Angelo.
02:07
Good morning, Mrs. Prisa.
02:09
Thank you for your time, Mr. Angelo.
02:11
What do you think of the index of mutual funds?
02:14
It looks like it's in bad shape, Mr. Angelo.
02:17
It's in the negative territory, and yesterday the weakening was quite significant.
02:21
Yes, I'm worried.
02:23
You're worried? It looks like the window dressing is starting to fail, or what?
02:28
Yes, it looks like that.
02:30
Wow, that's a tough answer from Mr. Angelo.
02:33
The yes is a bit long.
02:35
Are you a bit disappointed, Mr. Angelo?
02:38
Yes, I've been hoping for dotcom, but it still hasn't happened.
02:42
You were given a hint of 75, and then it went down to 71.
02:48
How is the technical analysis, Mr. Angelo?
02:51
Technically, it looks like mid-December, the market is selling well,
02:57
and we want to know if it's going to go down again or not.
03:01
We can look at the hourly chart,
03:03
and it turns out that on the 16th, and yesterday in closing,
03:11
on the 17th, the market is selling again,
03:13
so it looks like the decline will continue.
03:16
The decline will continue.
03:18
If we look at the one-month range, the lowest was at 7,041.
03:24
It lasted for three months, the lowest was 7,041.
03:27
Six months later, it was at 6,698, the lowest.
03:32
Mr. Angelo, do you see a weakness?
03:34
If it continues, what level will it test?
03:39
If it continues, the decline will be bigger,
03:42
and it's quite...
03:45
Look at this.
03:47
It can reach 6,500 to 6,000,
03:52
if there is no new demand.
03:55
Here, 6,500 to 6,600.
04:00
6,500 to 6,600.
04:03
Yes, around there.
04:05
So there is a potential for the lowest level in six months.
04:07
Yes.
04:09
Will it be more confirmed, Mr. Angelo,
04:12
if it's still at 7,100,
04:15
so it's not too vague,
04:18
why is there a potential for 6,600?
04:22
What are the levels that should be strong resistance?
04:27
It's a process, isn't it?
04:30
There is support at 7,000, psychological support,
04:33
but it doesn't look strong.
04:36
It doesn't look strong?
04:37
Unless there is a new demand.
04:40
Okay.
04:41
If we look at the percentage,
04:44
the weakness is quite deep,
04:46
but Mr. Angelo,
04:47
the main indicator that Mr. Angelo sees
04:50
that there is a potential for price index
04:52
and further correction, what is it?
04:54
First of all, from the volume,
04:57
I always use market volume analysis
04:59
because it reflects the strength of price movement.
05:03
When selling, the volume is very large,
05:05
so the pressure to bring the market down is also very big.
05:10
So it's hard to go up.
05:12
Hard to go up.
05:13
Yesterday, net sales were 1.54 trillion rupiah in the regular market.
05:16
One last week, it was 4.5 trillion.
05:19
One month, 10.16 trillion.
05:21
The last three months, 30.41 trillion in the regular market.
05:27
This number is quite large, isn't it, Mr. Angelo?
05:30
Yes, but the most important thing
05:32
is the comparison between buying and selling.
05:35
The selling is very large.
05:37
While the buying...
05:39
Not much.
05:40
Not much, okay.
05:43
So, Mr. Angelo,
05:44
what is the current trend in the price-to-join index, sir?
05:50
For the short term, it's okay.
05:53
For the medium term, it's starting to be okay.
05:57
The medium term is also starting to be okay.
06:00
Yes, so be careful.
06:02
Be careful, sir.
06:04
Mr. Angelo,
06:06
wherever the price-to-join index is placed,
06:08
there is always an opportunity.
06:10
It's impossible for hundreds of stocks in the stock market
06:13
to follow the IHSG.
06:15
So, this is a good opportunity for Samsung.
06:18
What do you think, Mr. Angelo?
06:20
Samsung with small to medium liquidity.
06:24
For the big caps, it's difficult.
06:27
Okay, let's go to the big caps first.
06:29
Because for investment,
06:30
there must be a lot of people who rely on big caps.
06:32
So, which big caps do you think
06:34
are in a state of anxiety right now?
06:38
Everything is not good.
06:40
Everything is not good.
06:41
Maybe except for the brand.
06:43
Except for the brand.
06:44
So, the banking,
06:45
then the infrastructure,
06:47
telecommunications there,
06:49
according to you,
06:50
at the moment, not yet.
06:52
There are no good signs yet.
06:54
There are no good signs yet.
06:55
Even if it enters, not yet, Mr. Angelo.
06:57
Don't, it will get stuck.
06:59
Don't, it will get stuck.
07:00
Mr. Angelo,
07:01
if we talk about the biggest,
07:04
it's usually the banks.
07:05
For example, the big caps banks.
07:07
Let's go to BBRI, for example,
07:09
which will divide the dividends.
07:10
Mr. Angelo, technically speaking,
07:13
what is it like?
07:14
So, Mr. Angelo feels,
07:15
don't do it first, it will get stuck.
07:18
Yes.
07:19
At the end of September,
07:20
it is clear that there will be a big sale.
07:22
Then,
07:23
in early November,
07:24
there will be a big sale again.
07:26
Until,
07:28
if we look at the initial chart,
07:32
in the initial chart,
07:34
the big sales are at the beginning of this month.
07:37
At the beginning of this month.
07:38
So,
07:40
it's less promising to expect
07:43
it will rebound in the near future,
07:45
unless there is a new demand.
07:47
This is until the closing of yesterday afternoon,
07:49
the sales.
07:50
If, for example, we accumulate for the medium term,
07:54
Mr. Angelo still doesn't recommend it first?
07:57
For the medium term,
07:59
the timing is still not good.
08:01
Although,
08:02
in the long term, it will definitely be good.
08:04
Because there is support that must be tried first,
08:06
around Rp3,800.
08:09
But you don't have to try here.
08:11
If the demand suddenly appears,
08:13
it will continue to the top.
08:14
But if the new demand hasn't appeared yet,
08:16
it can be to Rp3,800 first.
08:17
To Rp3,800 first, right?
08:19
Yes.
08:20
For the medium term,
08:22
what pattern is being formed by BBRI?
08:26
For the medium term,
08:27
there is no pattern yet.
08:29
He is waiting for a reversal pattern
08:32
in this spot area.
08:34
Okay.
08:35
That's it for the analysis.
08:37
The analysis of the seller
08:38
is not recommended by Mr. Angelo
08:40
about this BBRI.
08:41
What is it that Mr. Angelo recommends?
08:44
We will discuss it in the next segment.
08:45
Don't be a seller,
08:46
stay in the marketplace.
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12:58
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