Army vs. Navy Preview: Historic Rivalry and Odds Analysis

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00:00For the one hundred and twenty-fifth time, it's the Army

00:06Navy game on Saturday between the Black Knights and the

00:11Midshipmen. Our active member of the army. That's Mark Zinna

00:15joining us here on this Thursday on the early line on

00:19Sports Grid. You know where his allegiance lies but really for

00:23all of us, our allegiance lies to this game. A rivalry between

00:28two bitter foes on the football field on Saturday and then

00:31teammates off of it for the foreseeable future. Zinno, as

00:35we look at the odds, six and a half points spread in favor of

00:39the cadets. A total that is as high as we have seen in the

00:43Army Navy game since 2019. Standing at thirty-nine and a

00:48half. And Zinno, DRS made mention of this earlier. This

00:52is not the Army Navy game of the past few years. In fact,

00:55this is not the Army Navy game we have ever seen. We have two

00:59great football teams squaring off in Landover on Saturday

01:04afternoon. Eleven wins for Army. Eight wins for Navy.

01:08Nineteen combined wins between the two programs. The most we

01:13have ever seen for both teams entering an Army Navy game.

01:17What will the result look like on Saturday afternoon at

01:22Northwest Stadium? Well, I mean, Army's going to win the

01:27game. I mean, I'm just being objective about that but also

01:30passionate. That's it. Them covering the numbers of

01:32different conversation. Now, when this thing opened at seven,

01:35I can't tell you how excited I got and prayed that it went to

01:38seven and a half because if it had, boys, and I'm looking at

01:42dead in the eye, I would have hammered the midshipmen like

01:44you would not have believed. Period. Look, there's an

01:48interesting situation here that's never materialized

01:50that we have to account for. You know what Navy did last

01:53week? Nada. They got ready for Army. You know what Army did

01:56last week? They played a football game. Pretty

01:59emotional one too, right? Uh a game against Tulane that they

02:03were an underdog in. Little chip on their shoulder. I don't

02:07know that Army can get back up again for another game. Like

02:13Navy has had nothing to do but salivated this opportunity and

02:15get ready for it. Army just played a game. They know what

02:18you know what it does to your body. These guys had a

02:20recuperate. They had to get ready. Now, they've gotta go

02:22install a game plan despite the fact they know the opponent

02:25very well. On a shorter week and go play Navy again. I said

02:30going into the whole situation. I stayed off the Army Tulane

02:32game in the AAC. I said, you know what? If Army loses this

02:36game, I'll come back and I'll play him the next week because

02:39I believe that they'll be ticked off that they lost the

02:41game and they really wanna take it out on Navy. However, the

02:44celebration, the elation of winning their first ever

02:47conference title, if they had won that game, I was gonna go

02:49the other direction and I feel like I still have to maintain

02:52that that Navy can keep this thing within three or four. I

02:56I tell you this much. I think the correlation is Army in the

02:59over Navy in the under because Army's a wagon on offense,

03:03right? Like like nobody really is other than Notre Dame.

03:05Nobody's been able to slow them down all that much. Maybe North

03:08Texas game when they only scored fourteen in the Air

03:10Force game where there was no Bryson Daly but beyond that,

03:13this is a team right now that if Navy can't stop them from

03:16scoring fourteen in the first half, guess what? This game is

03:18dead. Uh for Navy that is and I think Army will run away with

03:21it because their defense is also really good. Good. Let me

03:25take a let me take a look at that total in this game because

03:27it's always fun to say now we have two really good teams

03:30between Army and Navy. No doubt about it. They'll be able to

03:33put down scoring drives to get over the forty points. They

03:36seem never to get into the forties here. Thirty-nine and a

03:39half. I just heard you say like basically a correlation but

03:42let's just say the game plays out similar to what you feel.

03:44Is it a game that gets into the forties or no? I think so.

03:48I I genuinely do. Um again and a lot of that is dependent on

03:52Army. Army has to get to to twenty-four for it to get

03:58there. Like twenty-four seventeen kinda gets you home,

04:00doesn't it? Um that's that's kinda the way this thing goes.

04:03Remember, Army Navy games are typically more sort of NFL

04:06scoring numbers where the key totals matter, the key numbers

04:10matter, right? When you're sitting here at thirty-nine,

04:12it's either thirty-eight or forty-one. You know, you'd

04:15have to, there's just not enough scoring drives for the

04:17most part in these games where you can get two field goals

04:20instead of a touchdown and all of a sudden thirty-nine and a

04:22half as opposed to forty becomes a real thing, right?

04:25Whereas it's thirty-eight or forty-one, you know, you get

04:27twenty-one seventeen or you get twenty-four seventeen, right?

04:31That's the difference. So, uh I I take that into account when

04:33these two teams play but you know, look at Army's team total

04:37at twenty-three and a half. If they're gonna win this thing

04:39and cover it, they gotta get to twenty-four. I'd have a hard

04:41time believing that this thing stays under when they win the

04:43game twenty to ten.

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