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Report
Incumbent centre-right coalition likely to form next govt
FRANCE 24 English
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11/30/2024
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00:00
Well, for the moment, nobody is elected, not a single deputy member
00:04
of Parliament. Counting usually happening here behind me, those
00:10
counting are on a little break. But there is no doubt that here behind
00:14
me in Dublin Central constituency, a key constituency in this country,
00:18
Marylou MacDonald will be the first one to be elected, probably topping
00:23
the poll. Her party, Sinn Féin, on the Nationalist left, has a very
00:28
narrow majority at the moment, but could win the popular vote. Now,
00:34
it is very unlikely to be able to have enough members of Parliament
00:39
to be able to form a government. They did not the last time around,
00:43
and they have less votes this time. So it is very unlikely they will be
00:47
able to go into government, which was very much their wish. On the
00:52
other hand, Fianna Fáil, one of the outgoing parties that were in
00:59
government for the last five years, could be there with not enough
01:04
members of Parliament to form alone a government, but to go back into
01:08
government, sharing with their coalition partners of Fianna Fáil,
01:12
the party of the outgoing T-shirt Prime Minister Simon Harris. If you
01:17
look at the last opinion polls during the vote yesterday, the man who
01:24
was seen to be the most, you know, the favourite to be T-shirt Prime
01:29
Minister was Micheal Martin, head of Fianna Fáil. This is very much
01:34
where we are going. As you mentioned, the key issue in this election was
01:40
the housing crisis. One economist described the situation here as
01:44
Ireland is a rich country, but people feel poor because there is an
01:49
infrastructure problem. In fact, experts say this country needs at
01:54
least 250,000 new houses built every decade. Now, the outgoing
02:00
coalition, Simon Harris, the T-shirt Prime Minister has told us, he would
02:06
like to build over 300,000 houses in the next five years. Will that be
02:11
possible? He will certainly be judged on this promise, whether him or his
02:17
coalition partner are able to deliver that. But definitely, the
02:21
cost of living is, you know, one of the key problems in this country. And
02:28
you mentioned immigration. One out of five people working in this
02:32
country comes from abroad. And that also shows that the country is
02:37
changing. Just very quickly, one far-right independent candidate
02:42
could be elected. What can you tell us about him? Yes, well, it's going
02:49
to happen again in this constituency here behind me. And this man, Jerry
02:54
the Monk Hutch, is described by Simon Harris, the Prime Minister, as a
02:59
criminal. He is the head of a gang. And he is on bail, currently on bail,
03:08
of a money laundering charge with organised crime in Spain. And he is
03:14
very likely, despite his almost lack of campaign, to be elected. This is
03:19
a man who has millions of followers on TikTok. This is a man who stood on
03:23
an anti-immigration ticket. And that's the key. You now have far-right
03:28
extremists, including criminals. This will be the first time ever anybody
03:32
here in this country is elected to Parliament on an anti-immigration
03:36
ticket. And the first time the head of a crime family is indeed elected. So
03:40
you have a bit of Trumpism, populism in this country. And this is now
03:44
becoming clearly visible.
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