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Why Americans are so anxious about paying off their credit cards
The Street
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11/22/2024
Bankrate's Ted Rossmand joins TheStreet to explain why Americans are so anxious about their credit card payments.
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Sports
Transcript
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00:00
So a recent Fed study showed that Americans are more anxious than ever before when it comes to
00:07
making their credit card payments. What's driving this trend? Inflation and high interest rates have
00:13
been a nasty combination. We're seeing record high credit card balances right now, according
00:18
to the Fed, and rates that haven't backed off all that much. The average credit card rate is still
00:25
at 20.5%. It's only down slightly from its peak a few months ago. There's a cumulative effect to
00:31
all this. We're seeing more people financing daily essentials. People tend to get into credit
00:36
card debt for practical reasons. Everything from day-to-day bills to one-offs like a medical bill
00:42
or a car repair. It's not usually a vacation or a shopping spree. It's usually practical stuff,
00:48
but it's hard to dig out with interest rates as high as they are.
00:51
And what do you make of the data? When I looked at the data, it was the people in the peak
00:58
earning years that were the most worried and people that were like over $150,000 a year.
01:06
Those people, we consider that kind of high-income earners, yeah?
01:11
It is kind of surprising. You could maybe say there's a bit of keeping up with the Joneses
01:15
going on here, but I don't believe a lot of these people would view it that way. I think
01:20
they would come back to just the rising cost of living. Yes, if somebody has an impressively high
01:25
income on paper, they may say that evaporates pretty quickly. When you think about high housing
01:31
costs, high childcare costs, high just-about-everything costs, especially expensive
01:37
parts of the country along the coast, life is really expensive these days. That cumulative
01:43
toll is important. We recently did a study. We found that the cumulative toll of inflation these
01:49
past three years has been about 20 percent, and wages have only gone up 17 percent on average
01:54
during that span. And it depends on the category, too. I mean, if we're talking something like
01:59
insurance bills have really skyrocketed, childcare, higher education costs, it's becoming harder for
02:06
people to pay these bills, and more are relying on credit to make ends meet. So are you actually
02:13
seeing a follow-through? I know sometimes when we look at the Consumer Confidence and Consumer
02:18
Sentiment Reports, people say one thing, but then when we get the Retail Sales Report, the numbers
02:23
are up. So this survey said that people are anxious that they won't be able to make the
02:28
credit card payment. Are you actually seeing the delinquency rate go up? Credit card delinquencies
02:36
are at their highest point since 2011, and they've basically doubled in the past couple of years. So
02:41
that does sound alarming. On the other hand, though, a lot of banks view this as normalization.
02:46
After the pandemic weirdness, credit card balances and delinquencies fell a lot in 2020 and 21. And
02:53
you know, yes, they've gone up a lot since then, but banks view this as kind of normalization,
02:58
more or less. Now, I know you could say, well, 2019 was normal, and if we've blown past that,
03:03
and we're back to 2011 levels, that is a bit alarming. Banks don't seem overly concerned
03:09
in the aggregate. I would describe it more as pockets of trouble, you know, especially people
03:14
with lower incomes, lower credit scores, they're certainly going to be more vulnerable. Credit is
03:19
still flowing freely in general. It has gotten harder around the margins. You know, we have seen
03:25
about a 15% drop in originations the past couple of years. So credit is still flowing freely if
03:31
you have a hefty income and a good credit score. Those on the lower end of those spectrums are
03:37
finding more difficulty.
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