Chiefs vs. Bills Showdown: Mahomes as Underdog Analysis

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00:00All right bloat so the the game that everyone is going to be interested in over the weekend is an orchard park with the bills

00:06Take it on

00:07The Chiefs and a lot of people feel that the Chiefs are living on borrowed time here all but two of their wins

00:15Have been by one score, so they've gotten a ton of breaks including last week here, but

00:22My homes as a dog in any spot has always been a money bet here

00:28Is it a money bet this week as they're getting two and a half?

00:31Yeah a lot to this game obviously with the numbers my home is 12 1 and 1 against the number and 11 and 3 straight

00:38Up as an underdog in his career

00:40including the postseason

00:42They're 9 and 0 but only 5 and 4 against the number had not covered that any of their last three games

00:48They played each other seven times in the last four years

00:52Kansas City's four and three against the spread and straight up and it's four and three to the over

00:57So these games are not quite that easy to bet right there coming on both sides of the number

01:03The bills are five and five against the number but have covered for their last five that three

01:08You know back to three and two what's wrong with the bills?

01:10They've been on a they've been on fire since right and and scoring a lot of points in doing so yeah

01:16I think that

01:18The bills slow starts Joe. We've seen this pretty consistently when we've been on air on in-game live has been something

01:25We've talked about every week. Their first quarters have been bad

01:29It's they are still I believe at a negative point differential in the first quarter of games

01:34So I could see this being a low scoring first half

01:38The team's checking each other in that first quarter and we have a low scoring game and that the defense checking each other

01:46It's going to be a really fascinating second half. I think it's when it's all going to be decided

01:51I have to lean with my homes getting the points

01:54You know

01:54But this would not surprise me based on the emotional way in which they've been winning these close games

02:00That the Chiefs finally have a letdown if they win this game

02:04You have to start thinking that undefeated season is a reality because this would be a really

02:11Unbelievable game to pull off on the road against this Bill's team is on fire right now

02:16Yeah, absolutely. So the Chiefs of course undefeated perfect nine and oh an underdog just once this year

02:22It was the Super Bowl 58 rematch also on the road in Santa Clara

02:27They beat the Niners by double digits the Chiefs now an underdog here since the start of last year a perfect five and oh

02:35outright as an underdog Buffalo in this five-game win streak has covered though in four of

02:41Five blue, let's talk to quarterbacks because both quarterbacks

02:45Of course are trying to lead their team to the postseason

02:48Promised Land Patrick Mahomes has all of the pedigree Josh Allen has very little of it

02:53And in fact has faltered in the most significant of stages

02:56This is not so much a playoff question

02:59But rather an MVP question both have been booked at times this year as the MVP favorite

03:05But despite some of the numbers not being overly impressive

03:09What can we expect out of the quarterbacks in Orchard Park on Sunday?

03:14You know that 42 to 36

03:17Classic in the playoffs the 13 seconds left and Mahomes gets the win in overtime

03:23Josh Allen played the game of his life

03:25I know you said he faltered but it wasn't really his fault a little bit of coaching issue there and defensive issues. I

03:33Think Allen is the more likely one to put up the bigger numbers not just this weekend

03:38But for the rest of the season, you heard me say it before I think mom's his presence still distracts people to some extent on

03:45how good this defense is I

03:48Really am wavering a lot on this game. I have to take my homes plus the points, but I think the Kansas City defense's has

03:56Might meet their match this weekend in Josh Allen. I expect big numbers out of him

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