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Americans start casting votes for next U.S. president
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11/5/2024
Americans start casting votes for next U.S. president
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00:00
And to give us an update live on the casting of ballots for the U.S. presidential elections,
00:04
we have VOA correspondent Jessica Stone live from Arlington, Virginia.
00:09
Good evening, Jessica, and good morning.
00:12
Good morning all the way.
00:13
Good morning and good evening to you.
00:16
Wow, we are finally at this date.
00:18
I can't believe that the year has flown by and we're finally at this pivotal moment.
00:23
You know, the U.S. presidential election is actually underway and the world is holding
00:27
its breath.
00:28
What do you feel right now so far as the current voter turnout?
00:33
Well, it's hard to say what the national voter turnout is, but we definitely saw a spike
00:39
in certain groups coming to the polls for early voting.
00:42
We saw more rural voters and more Republican voters take advantage of early voting, which
00:47
started in some cases across the country as far back as a month ago.
00:51
And that definitely indicates not only a desire to participate in the process, but also to
00:55
make sure that barriers are reduced to participating in the process, right?
01:00
Here in Virginia, we have seen a steady stream of voters.
01:03
The wait right now, I'm told, behind me is about five or 10 minutes.
01:06
When I early voted on Friday, it was quite a bit longer, closer to 20 or 25 minutes.
01:11
So there, too, we saw an increase in early voting, although not as large as we saw back
01:18
in 2020.
01:19
But of course, that was in the height of the pandemic and all of those pandemic precautions.
01:25
I think there was quite a bit of interest, but also a lot of disappointment in the candidates
01:33
themselves.
01:34
Both of these candidates have record low popularity ratings, although interestingly, Trump's popularity
01:37
is slightly ahead in some polls of Harris's.
01:41
And then, you know, just how this campaign came about, the comeback potentially of an
01:47
impeached president going against the vice president, which was elevated at the last
01:51
minute to the presidential nominee, really without any primary vetting.
01:56
So there's a lot of controversy on both sides, but a lot of interest, too, because we have
02:01
a world that is getting much more interested and much more dangerous.
02:05
We have U.S. soldiers abroad that are still involved in conflicts in the Middle East,
02:10
and the U.S. dollar is certainly also at play in Europe with the war in Ukraine.
02:15
So a lot of implications and a lot of eyes watching, and that's not even to say anything
02:19
of what's going on in Asia with the U.S.-China competition being front and center for many
02:24
of our friends in East Asia and Southeast Asia.
02:28
So even if we are actually on the ground right now with voters pouring in to their respective
02:33
polls, what strategies would you say are Harris and Trump still pushing for at the last minute?
02:40
Well, what we've seen from the Harris campaign is a hope and change message similar to Barack
02:47
Obama's successful message, which got him twice sent to the White House, a looking forward
02:52
and not looking back, a turning the page.
02:55
These are phrases that she uses on the campaign trail and used again in Philadelphia in her
02:59
final closing arguments on the steps of the rocky, the famous rocky steps from the movie
03:04
in the city of brotherly love.
03:06
She again and again talks about a new day in America, a new generation of leadership,
03:12
not acknowledging that she's already been in office for three and a half years and has
03:15
not been able to change some of the very policies that she's running against currently.
03:20
That said, we also have, you know, Donald Trump making a largely negative message about
03:24
his opponent, drilling down on the negative consequences he says would happen if Harris
03:30
leads the country economically, particularly on immigration.
03:34
And both of these camps really running to their core issues, right?
03:37
Trump running to the economy and the immigration where he's perceived by voters as being strong
03:43
and Harris running to sort of the democratic process and keeping stability as well as defense
03:48
of reproductive rights, which is bringing a lot of voters to the polls, particularly
03:52
young voters.
03:54
So these are the final arguments from both campaigns.
03:57
Both of the campaigns are now back at their campaign headquarters.
04:03
Harris is here in the Washington, D.C. area at Howard University, where she will make
04:08
the election.
04:09
She'll be watching the election from there.
04:11
And then Donald Trump, of course, down in Mar-a-Lago in Florida.
04:14
Jessica, back in 2020, Joe Biden took four days to declare victory, largely due to delays
04:20
in counting ballots in Pennsylvania.
04:22
When do you think we can expect clarity on these election results?
04:28
You know, that is a really important question and one I've been studying just to cover this
04:32
election because election laws have changed so much around the country since 2020, when
04:37
we had a lag in vote counting and that raised questions in parts of the country, particularly
04:42
in Arizona and in Pennsylvania.
04:44
But we still haven't had key changes in some critical battleground states.
04:48
While we've had changes in when the count and the processing of the early vote begins
04:51
in Arizona, we did not have those changes in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Georgia.
04:56
They started counting absentee mail-in and early votes this morning at 6 a.m. or at 7
05:02
a.m., depending on when those polls began opening.
05:06
And so what that says is that in those states which are going to decide the Electoral College
05:10
vote, if they are already behind at the beginning of the day, we expect the vote to continue
05:15
for the day of vote well into the next day and perhaps even beyond.
05:18
That's even before potential court cases are raised.
05:21
If there are challenges on voter irregularities, on the counting process, on who's voting,
05:26
on how they're voting, all of those things can take place.
05:29
As you said, we had a four-day waiting period for the election result last time.
05:33
We could be looking at easily that much because we're already seeing a tighter race now in
05:37
terms of the polling than we did four years ago.
05:40
And remember, it was only 43,000 votes across three critical swing states that gave the
05:46
Biden-Harris administration victory.
05:48
If it swings in the other way or it's even tighter, you can bet that there's going to
05:52
be extra eyes on every single ballot being cast during this election.
05:56
OK, just one more question, Jessica, if you will.
05:59
Based on data or perhaps popular opinion, what do you feel or think would be the likely
06:03
outcome of all the votes that's been counted?
06:06
Are we looking at the president-elect again winning by the narrowest of margins with no
06:10
more than 275 electoral votes?
06:13
Are we looking at a 2020 scenario?
06:14
Are we looking at the president-elect winning four more swing states to include Pennsylvania
06:21
or a landslide win in the electoral count like former President Donald Trump states?
06:27
So I'll be one of the people that will tell you I could not possibly predict the outcome
06:31
of this election.
06:32
If I could do that, man, I would probably put that in a predictive ability to work in
06:36
some more personally advantageous ways.
06:40
But certainly this is a very tight election, as I stated earlier, 43,000 votes swung the
06:45
election four years ago.
06:47
More people are voting.
06:48
This is a tighter race, according to the polls.
06:51
That doesn't mean we can't be surprised because we've certainly seen in the last four to eight
06:55
years that polling doesn't always reflect the electorate accurately.
06:59
So we continue to watch the polling.
07:02
We continue to hear from the campaigns what their own internal polling is indicating.
07:06
But it could run the gamut from a very close election that stretches for days to a landslide
07:10
if the polling is really off.
07:12
I couldn't really say.
07:13
And again, I'm unfortunately not able to be in the prediction business.
07:17
But I am closely watching, I can assure you.
07:19
All right.
07:20
Thank you very much, Jessica Stone, live from Arlington, Virginia.
07:24
Thanks for your updates.
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