Iowa vs. Michigan State Game Analysis: Key Insights

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00:00We go to East Lansing, Michigan State and Iowa. The Hawkeyes rolling over Washington

00:12last week. But Kev, this line has been on the move throughout the week. It is less than

00:17a touchdown in favor of the Hawks. It is dipped as low at times to only five and a half in

00:22favor of Iowa. How do you break down the game in East Lansing between Michigan State and

00:26Iowa?

00:27The reason, I mean for Michigan State here, the issue is I wanted to get up to that seven.

00:33Sparty off of a bye, where Jonathan Smith's been incredible off a bye during his time

00:38in college football. Last two games, Ohio State and Oregon, this is what I call swinging

00:43without the donut. Now all of a sudden you play Iowa and it looks like you're playing

00:47an FCS level team. And that's not disrespect to Iowa. That's the fact that they just played

00:51Ohio State and Oregon and they're now coming off of a bye. Kitchen sink game for Sparty.

00:56If we get to seven, they get on call. I took them plus a six and a half. I really like

01:01Sparty. I'm a guy swinging without the donut. I love it. I will say last year, I was one

01:11two straight in the series. They won this game 26 to 16 last year in Iowa city. There

01:16were 13 and a half point favorite. That was the Cooper Eugene punt return. That really

01:20corrects the complexity of that matchup. But the fact that they're at home, this could

01:24be a marquee win for Jonathan Smith. Lower scoring, ugly type of game. I think, I think

01:30they win it potentially. I just not sold on Iowa in a road spot. Even with that offense,

01:35even though they stepped up and got the turnovers against Washington last week, give me, give

01:40me mistake. Iowa as a road favorite since 2021 four and one against the number covering

01:45by an average margin of 11 points per game, a perfect two and O against the spread as

01:49a favorite in big 10 matchups. These not your brothers, Iowa Hawkeyes. They've been

01:54over in five of six games. I think this is a low total. Keep an eye on Caleb Johnson.

02:02Second leading rusher in college football, 937 yards, 12 rushing scores. If I just may,

02:08he's accounted for 44% of Iowa's yardage this year. The most rushing touchdowns in a single

02:14season for the Hawks since 2015, Iowa's played six games.