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Capri Global: More Caution Needed With Gold Loans? | NDTV Profit
NDTV Profit
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10/17/2024
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00:00
Rajesh Sharma, M.D. at Kepri Global Capital, joining us.
00:05
Mr. Sharma, always good speaking with you, first off.
00:08
Just give us trends on what is happening on ground with regard to especially SME.
00:14
And I'm not talking Kepri Global specific, I'm talking about the industry as a whole.
00:19
From a lending perspective, just give us a lens.
00:22
How is asset quality shaping up?
00:24
Are you seeing a collection problem in the industry as a whole, including peers, etc.?
00:31
What you've got your ear on the ground, give us some perspective.
00:36
I believe that MSME collection efficiency is relatively good, except those cases which
00:43
are restructured during the COVID and some of the MSME units are affected.
00:48
That is where we see some delinquency trends rising, but the demand of the new loan as
00:54
well as the collection efficiency in the loans which are not restructured, I think they are
00:58
doing pre-COVID levels.
01:02
And in second half, as usual happens, we're clearly seeing a very good growth trend.
01:07
So MSME, there's a huge gap, particularly in the segment where we operate on the non-income
01:12
group and small customers.
01:14
So I believe that with the growth of the economy, a lot of orders, a lot of business also flow
01:19
down to MSME.
01:20
And I see that MSME sector will continue to grow.
01:23
Government have also the focus on that.
01:25
There is a slight interest rate hike have happened.
01:29
So that is where we feel that there is a pressure in terms of the interest rate on the MSME,
01:35
but believe that they are small size, they should be able to cope with it.
01:40
Right, and shouldn't that also reverse if at all the repo were to maybe be taken down
01:46
by maybe 25 to 50 basis points?
01:48
And how quickly will that pass through happen for you in particular?
01:51
Because you spoke about it and hence I'm just quickly asking you that question and trying
01:55
to cover it.
01:56
So probably every agent may require a local meetings everywhere it takes place.
02:02
They take into account their cost of fund and the market.
02:06
So I think market is so competitive, the interest rate, cost goes down that immediately in the
02:11
next month or so for the floating rate loans, it will start to pass down.
02:16
And now the RBA has also suggested that no foreclosure should be charged.
02:20
So I think the market will decide if anybody is charging more, the customer will move out.
02:24
So that is a healthy trend that the rates will be competitive.
02:28
And whenever the repo rates come down, I think the same benefit will be passed to the customer.
02:34
In his latest address, the finance, the RBI governor suggested, of course, that NBFCs
02:43
have a large role to play in the economy.
02:45
He underlined how growth has been extremely strong.
02:48
But he also said that certain practices need to be curtailed.
02:55
Do you believe that on ground as well?
02:57
And I'm again talking from an industry wide perspective.
03:01
Do you believe that competition is heightened?
03:04
Risk has been adjusted well or not adjusted well?
03:07
What's your sense with regard to lending?
03:12
I think there is more coming.
03:14
My belief is there is more coming for the unsecured and digital lending where collections
03:19
are not possible and all the losses essentially most of the time need to be written off.
03:28
So I think there are more cautions towards lending and unsecured backed by a lot of growth.
03:34
A lot of new players are coming there.
03:36
As far as the secure lending piece is concerned, affordable housing, MSMEs or anything else,
03:41
still the loan to value norms are quite robust to take good care of any kind of losses.
03:48
So regulators see from the 360 degree view and I think they are well capable to assess
03:54
all the data and caution.
03:57
I think RBA over time working to strengthen this sector by bringing good practices and
04:02
that will help us when anything goes wrong.
04:05
These good practices are going to make the sector to face those adversities.
04:11
So I think it's a good trend that now the compliance, the risk mechanism, the risk analytics,
04:16
everything is now RBA is focusing, the MVFC also should come up.
04:21
And that is happening over a period of time.
04:23
So I think it's a good thing.
04:26
And you know, gold loans is something you do.
04:29
It's probably 30% of your portfolio.
04:31
There's been plenty spoken about where gold loans is concerned.
04:36
Now, let me talk from a Capri Global specific perspective.
04:40
Any gaps that you believe or you are trying to address within your processes out of all
04:46
the 7 or rather 6 deficiencies which the RBA has highlighted?
04:53
So we have taken the note of that.
04:55
The independent audit department decides that we also get audited by our co-learning partners
05:02
or a statutory auditor and sometimes ASF auditors.
05:05
We have multi-layer audit.
05:07
We are making processes more robust.
05:10
We have engaged with the outside firm, accounting firms to do their independent technology audits
05:17
if there are any gaps.
05:19
So we are all seeing that we are also able to plug the gaps.
05:24
Having said that, I think the concern more comes when somebody places a gold letter.
05:29
It is any kind of a situation in the economy overall.
05:34
So I believe that small borrowers borrow these money for short-term requirements rather than
05:39
they don't get that money from the formal banking system.
05:43
And that is where we come in.
05:45
If the gold loan and BFC will not land, then the customer will be forced to go to the money lender
05:51
with a much higher rate of interest.
05:54
In some way, we are helping customers to reduce their costs.
05:57
There is enough competition in this segment.
05:59
This is ensuring that the customer also gets a reasonable pricing.
06:03
But everybody is enhancing their governance standards and assurance practices based on RBA's advice.
06:12
Point taken.
06:13
With regard to all of this, you have guided for FY27 AUM of 30,000 crore.
06:21
You are roughly at 18,000 crore at the end of Q1.
06:24
Do you believe a slowdown coming in likely due to all of these factors playing out?
06:31
Asset quality, gold loans, some amount of regulatory overhang also?
06:38
So I think we are a subset of the growth of the economy.
06:41
If the economy will continue to grow, if the demand of the term loan working capital will
06:46
continue to rise, the sector will continue to grow.
06:50
It happens only when we see clearly either the liquidity is not available or the demand
06:55
is not available.
06:56
So I believe that demand is there and the way our government, every other state government
07:03
and central government is targeting the growth and enabling visualization in the policy,
07:10
I believe the growth will percolate to the MSME and hence the loan demand will be there
07:14
and without credit being made available, even the growth can't be complimented.
07:20
It is interlinked.
07:21
So I believe the growth trend, it will continue, the demand will continue to rise and back
07:25
of that demand, we hope to achieve that AUM growth.
07:29
Of course, the caution is there.
07:33
Our board is also now looking more into this.
07:37
In fact, our board is following the policy of compliance first and business later.
07:41
So with that, but I see that if there's no downturn in the economy, there's no reason
07:48
that we will not commensurately grow the book and overall sector and the business will grow.
07:54
But some competitors engaging in practices which the regulators are not happy about,
08:00
give us that context.
08:03
So I think the regulator when they take the conditions, he firstly warn them and I believe
08:08
they are well capable to take the required guidance and action.
08:14
So regulatory framework is strengthening the practices.
08:17
And I believe that going forward, every NBFC is investing in technology processes,
08:25
assurance practices, and that is going to make the sector very, very robust.
08:29
So I think it is very healthy move.
08:32
It might give the short term some pain and the cost, but in the long run, it makes the
08:38
sector very, very robust.
08:40
So we welcome that.
08:41
Everybody is engaging nowadays, every quarterly basis to strengthen their internal audit,
08:46
their compliance, their outside advisors to audit and to suggest how do we improve that.
08:53
So I think that is a good thing that regulator is guiding, regulator is intervening,
08:59
and that is going to result in improving the sector.
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