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Can Georgia Cover the 32.5 Spread Against Mississippi State?
SportsGrid
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10/12/2024
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00:00
where it's another very large spread for Mississippi State as
00:07
an underdog. They were catching 37 and a half against Texas.
00:11
They're getting 32 and a hook today between the hedges in
00:14
Athens against the Georgia Bulldogs. Georgia not one of
00:19
the teams exposed to the chaos of college football a weekend
00:22
ago. They did bounce back against Auburn 3113. However,
00:27
did not cover in that game laying three scores. In fact,
00:30
Lacey Guy, Georgia 0 and 3 ATS and SEC play so far this year.
00:35
They were 16 and 12 against the number in the last 3 years
00:39
entry. Can the Bulldogs cover 32 and a half? They can because
00:43
Miss State again a little bit one dimensional with their
00:46
offense attack. I think Miss State will look to run the
00:49
football the way they did against Texas. Shorten the game
00:52
and try to get it into the fourth quarter because
00:54
quarterback play isn't at an elite level. I thought Georgia
00:57
would bounce back with a win, but I also thought they would
01:00
cover that large number against Auburn, right? They get the
01:03
win. It's a little ugly in regards to how they grind it
01:06
out and then they do have Texas on deck. There's always the
01:09
potential look ahead lay in such a huge number. I can only
01:13
look Georgia here guys. You know, I'll just say this. They've
01:15
won four straight in the series and another factor if we're
01:18
looking big picture, we know they have a great quarterback
01:20
in Carson Beck, but we talk about the dominance of them
01:23
running the football and we talk about that crazy stat that
01:26
I used to talk about last year. Every time they're over 200
01:29
dating back since 2016, 49 and oh, that's a 49. FPS opponents
01:36
are 45 and oh every time Georgia's pounded the rock for
01:39
over 200 this year. No game over 200 yards. They're going to
01:44
need it next week. I'm just going to say that against Texas,
01:47
but can only look Georgia here. So to me, I look Georgia
01:50
because I still think they are pound for pound the best team
01:54
in college football and I saw Texas with Archley six more
01:57
points than this spread. Math tells me go Bulldogs. I pulled
02:01
back though because the Texas number was just completely out
02:04
of bounds. So I don't want to base too much. They didn't
02:07
score 38 and at least 30 and a half to 35, right? They were
02:11
never covering that number. Carson back over 280 and a half
02:15
passing yards is the number that I look for. If you look
02:18
last season when Beck and Georgia won by 27 plus, he
02:22
averaged 318 yards per game there. We've not seen it this
02:26
year, but at some point they have to let him open it up.
02:29
Just a quick thing. The last three games misstates pass
02:32
defense is not just allowing 295.7 and 10.2 yards per
02:36
attempt. 86.2 completion percentage. Goodness gracious
02:40
and I think I think Grand Mertz of Florida. We're in the
02:43
26 of 28. It was crazy and that was pretty much all DJ
02:48
Lagway, which is nuts in that matchup. Grand Mertz was
02:51
sensational against Mississippi State, who is the
02:53
worst rushing defense in the SEC. You talk about the ground
02:56
game. I think you're getting a slightly low number on Trevor
02:59
Etn. I expect him to go over 85 and a half. I think it's a big
03:03
day for Georgia at home in Athens.
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