Pittsburgh vs. Indianapolis: Game Expectations and Analysis

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00:00Let's get to Pittsburgh and Indianapolis here, and this is one of these spots where I was

00:10so wrong when I saw that, you know, this number, the algorithms and projecting and making your

00:16own lines.

00:17I did not expect to see Pittsburgh as a favorite in this game.

00:21I know they are 3-0.

00:23I know Indianapolis is 1-2.

00:26I think the Steelers' defense is great.

00:28I've seen Tomlin have a million letdown spots.

00:30This signs up just for that.

00:32And I'm still a big-time believer in Shane Steichten.

00:35In his entire coaching career with Indianapolis, only once has he failed to score 20 at home,

00:40and it was last year's regular season finale where they scored 19.

00:44I expect the Colts in this game to get to 21, 24 points, and what I've seen from Pittsburgh,

00:50that's enough to run and hide here.

00:52I took the 2-1⁄2 with the Colts.

00:53Of course, I think they win this game outright.

00:55Yeah.

00:56I like Pittsburgh here.

00:57I think Justin Fields, again, starting to get more acclimated.

01:00They're taking deeper shots.

01:01You saw him throw for over 200 yards.

01:04The rushing attack got going as well with Najee Harris.

01:07And for me, it's that secondary going up against Anthony Richardson.

01:11I don't think Jonathan Taylor will have a breakout performance over 100 yards.

01:16They'll be able to contain him and keep him in long third downs.

01:19I do want to take the over, Donnie, but I just can't get there in regards to that.

01:24They did play last year, right?

01:25Jonathan Taylor had a big performance.

01:28This was the game Pickens was called out.

01:29I do think Pickens gets through his number today.

01:32By the way, Najee Harris picked up at 63-1⁄2 rushing yards.

01:35He's now up to 67-1⁄2 rushing yards.

01:37I think that's going to be a big deal.

01:38The reason why I like the Pittsburgh Steelers in this game is, if you would have told me,

01:42Joe, you're going up against one of the best run defenses in football, I'd be like, oh

01:45no.

01:46Like, Fields and that offense are going to be in trouble.

01:47Not the case.

01:48Almost 180 yards rushing per game given up here for the Indianapolis Colts.

01:52I think that makes a big difference.

01:53But to Kevin's point, if you do like points, and if you do like the Colts in any aspect

01:58today, just look at Anthony Richardson's rushing prop at 36-1⁄2.

02:02If he doesn't run for 36, he's not throwing for a lot of yards, I'm telling you right

02:04now.

02:05He might hit a deep shot or what a beautiful 65-yard pass, but against that Pittsburgh

02:10Steelers defense, sustained drives, I don't think it's going to be there.

02:13If he's not running the football against that elite pass rush, which means he should have

02:17more lanes to get through, they're not going to win this football game.

02:20So for me, if I say I like the Colts, I'm not even betting the Colts.

02:23I'm just taking Richardson's over 36-1⁄2.

02:28I hear you.

02:29I kind of feel like Lee's a little bit, and I say that as a compliment, like I think he's

02:33going to have a monster day.

02:35I really do.

02:36I think Richardson, 225-1⁄2 passing rushing, I think he smashes through that number.

02:40At some point, I think there will be a little bit more efficiency throwing the football,

02:45and we haven't seen the monster breakout run game just yet.

02:47He did run for 56 in the opener, 37-24 in the last two games.

02:52That's a guy who was capable of running for 80, 90 yards in any given week here.

02:55I still think there's a lot of talent with Anthony Richardson.

02:58The interceptions are a big problem, and look, he's heavily expected to throw one in this

03:02football game, and he probably will throw one in this football game here, but I think

03:07Richardson has a chance, props-wise, to, again, slam through a lot of numbers in this one.

03:13If he gets going, that's how they win the game, right?

03:16This game gets through the 39-1⁄2, no problem, because then they would push tempo, obviously

03:20force Justin Fields to get out of the comfort zone, open it up, and get those playmakers

03:25involved.

03:26Manny, sell me something segment, me and you, right?

03:30He won't do it.

03:31Richardson and Fields to combine for 500, 10-1.

03:36You know what?

03:37I'll do it.

03:38I'll be good.

03:39I said, well, that wasn't very...

03:40Yeah, but look at how much he doesn't like it.

03:42I know, even better.

03:43You know what I'm saying?

03:44Anyone in the back who doesn't like it, all in on the Rams!

03:48Oh!

03:49Shots are coming!

03:50Wow!

03:51This guy's a pumpkin.

03:52This guy's a pumpkin over here.

03:53It's a system.

03:54System play.

03:55System play.

03:56Pumpkin spice and pumpkin over here today.

03:57Principle play for Donnie.

03:58Bears.

03:59I gotta tell you, maybe the nicest thing you've ever done is call me Pumpkin Spice and not

04:02Pumpkin.

04:03Donnie would love a do-over on that one if I know my guy, the D-R-S.

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